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« 2026-04-02 2026-04-04 2026-04-06 » 3 games
WAS @ MIA 2026-04-04T19:00:00Z
Class E MINIMUM
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: MIA | Away: WAS
WAS 106.0 — MIA 122.1
Total: 228.1 | Spread: -18.2 | ML: 75.7%
Pace: 100.3 poss | HCA: +2.0 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat MIA WAS Edge
ORtg — — —
DRtg — — —
NetRtg — — —
Pace — — —
Record 0-0 0-0 —
MOV 2.4 -12.0 MIA +14.4
Consistency 16.00 14.70 MIA +1.30
Adj 4 Factors 0.24 0.25 -0.00
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat MIA WAS Edge
eFG% 54.2% 53.5% MIA +0.007
TOV% 13.1% 15.2% MIA +0.021
OREB% 29.6% 28.5% MIA +0.011
FTA Rate 0.268 0.235 MIA +0.033
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat MIA WAS Edge
Opp eFG% 54.0% 56.3% MIA +0.023
Opp TOV% 14.4% 13.4% MIA +0.010
Opp OREB% 29.7% 33.6% MIA +0.039
Opp FTA Rate 0.240 0.292 MIA +0.052
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat MIA WAS Edge
eFG Delta -2.2 -0.5 WAS -1.7
ORB Delta -4.0 -1.2 WAS -2.8
TOV Delta -0.3 +0.5 WAS -0.8
FTR Delta -2.2 -0.8 WAS -1.4
Matchup ORtg 121.4 108.1 MIA +13.3
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat MIA WAS Edge
Clutch ORtg 111.5 109.1 MIA +2.4
Clutch DRtg 117.5 120.8 MIA +3.3
Clutch NetRtg -6.1 -11.7 MIA +5.6
HUSTLE
Stat MIA WAS Edge
Deflections 17.8 17.1 MIA +0.7
Loose Balls 4.1 3.8 MIA +0.3
Contested 2PT 24.7 24.9 WAS -0.3
Contested 3PT 17.7 15.0 MIA +2.7
Screen Assists 3.0 8.2 WAS -5.2
Charges Drawn 0.5 0.4 MIA +0.1
REST & FATIGUE
Stat MIA WAS Edge
B2B Win% 66.7% 33.3% MIA +0.334
1-Day Rest Win% 48.5% 22.2% MIA +0.263
3+ Day Rest Win% 25.0% 20.0% MIA +0.050
Rest Advantage 2d / fat 21.72 2d / fat 40.00 +0.5 pts
SHOOTING
Stat MIA WAS Edge
FG% 46.8% 46.3% MIA +0.006
3PT% 36.1% 35.9% MIA +0.003
3PT Rate 40.6% 40.3% MIA +0.004
FG3A/game 37.9 36.4 MIA +1.5
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat MIA WAS Edge
Opp PPG 118.5 124.9 MIA +6.4
Opp FG% 46.5% 48.8% MIA +0.023
Opp 3P% 35.9% 36.8% MIA +0.009
Opp TOV 15.0 13.8 MIA +1.2
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat MIA WAS Edge
Home ORtg 117.9 110.3 MIA +7.6
Home DRtg 113.1 121.1 MIA +8.0
Home NetRtg +4.8 -10.8 MIA +15.6
Road ORtg 113.6 109.0 MIA +4.6
Road NetRtg -0.5 -12.8 MIA +12.3
RECENT FORM
Stat MIA WAS Edge
L5 ORtg 126.3 107.1 MIA +19.2
L5 DRtg 120.9 123.4 MIA +2.5
L5 NetRtg +5.4 -16.2 MIA +21.6
L10 ORtg 123.6 109.5 MIA +14.1
L10 NetRtg -0.3 -17.4 MIA +17.1
Sagarin Overall 91.00 77.95 MIA +13.05
Sagarin Predictor 90.95 77.89 MIA +13.06
Sagarin Strong Recent 91.23 76.82 MIA +14.41
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) +0.28 -1.07 MIA +1.35
DRatings Overall 0.06 -1.06 MIA +1.13
DRatings Inference 0.05 -1.22 MIA +1.27
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) -0.01 -0.15 MIA +0.14
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat MIA WAS Edge
Margin Std Dev 16.8 14.9 MIA +1.8
Skewness 0.22 0.44 —
Kurtosis -3.08 -3.08 —
Blowout Win% 25.6% 6.1% MIA +0.2
Blowout Loss% 14.6% 46.3% MIA +0.3
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM No alerts
✓ No alerts — standard lineups expected
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 3 markets
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss
ML — — —
Spread — — —
Total — — —
4 COMPARISON Classified
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss Math Kalshi Pinnacle Class
ML — — — — — — Class E
Spread — — — — — — Class E
Total — — — — — — Class E
5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.

SAS @ DEN 2026-04-04T19:00:00Z
Class E MINIMUM
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: DEN | Away: SAS
SAS 101.8 — DEN 107.3
Total: 209.1 | Spread: -5.7 | ML: 58.7%
Pace: 97.1 poss | HCA: +0.3 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat DEN SAS Edge
ORtg — — —
DRtg — — —
NetRtg — — —
Pace — — —
Record 0-0 0-0 —
MOV -4.5 12.9 SAS -17.4
Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00
Adj 4 Factors 0.36 0.32 DEN +0.04
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat DEN SAS Edge
eFG% 57.7% 55.9% DEN +0.018
TOV% 12.8% 13.3% DEN +0.005
OREB% 28.6% 30.6% SAS -0.020
FTA Rate 0.294 0.274 DEN +0.020
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat DEN SAS Edge
Opp eFG% 54.3% 52.2% SAS -0.021
Opp TOV% 11.7% 12.8% SAS -0.011
Opp OREB% 28.3% 27.6% SAS -0.007
Opp FTA Rate 0.254 0.228 SAS -0.026
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat DEN SAS Edge
eFG Delta +5.3 +1.6 DEN +3.7
ORB Delta +0.8 +2.3 SAS -1.5
TOV Delta -0.1 +1.7 SAS -1.8
FTR Delta +7.1 +2.0 DEN +5.1
Matchup ORtg 116.0 119.8 SAS -3.8
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat DEN SAS Edge
Clutch ORtg 117.4 122.6 SAS -5.2
Clutch DRtg 120.6 114.4 SAS -6.2
Clutch NetRtg -3.2 +8.3 SAS -11.5
HUSTLE
Stat DEN SAS Edge
Deflections 14.4 15.7 SAS -1.3
Loose Balls 3.5 4.1 SAS -0.6
Contested 2PT 22.0 27.6 SAS -5.6
Contested 3PT 14.9 14.8 DEN +0.1
Screen Assists 8.7 8.1 DEN +0.7
Charges Drawn 0.3 0.3 DEN +0.1
REST & FATIGUE
Stat DEN SAS Edge
B2B Win% 50.0% 80.0% SAS -0.300
1-Day Rest Win% 67.6% 82.5% SAS -0.149
3+ Day Rest Win% 33.3% 100.0% SAS -0.667
Rest Advantage 1d / fat 17.71 0d / fat 70.00 +1.6 pts
SHOOTING
Stat DEN SAS Edge
FG% 43.6% 48.4% SAS -0.048
3PT% 31.1% 37.3% SAS -0.062
3PT Rate 38.6% 37.3% DEN +0.013
FG3A/game 32.2 31.9 DEN +0.3
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat DEN SAS Edge
Opp PPG 116.9 111.5 SAS -5.4
Opp FG% 46.8% 45.1% SAS -0.017
Opp 3P% 34.9% 35.2% DEN +0.003
Opp TOV 11.8 13.0 SAS -1.2
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat DEN SAS Edge
Home ORtg 120.7 120.0 DEN +0.7
Home DRtg 115.1 111.6 SAS -3.5
Home NetRtg +5.7 +8.4 SAS -2.7
Road ORtg 121.7 117.9 DEN +3.8
Road NetRtg +4.7 +8.4 SAS -3.7
RECENT FORM
Stat DEN SAS Edge
L5 ORtg 128.7 121.4 DEN +7.3
L5 DRtg 117.5 116.2 SAS -1.3
L5 NetRtg +11.1 +5.2 DEN +5.9
L10 ORtg 128.0 123.1 DEN +4.9
L10 NetRtg +10.6 +13.2 SAS -2.6
Sagarin Overall 94.92 100.08 SAS -5.16
Sagarin Predictor 95.08 99.92 SAS -4.84
Sagarin Strong Recent 93.75 102.27 SAS -8.52
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) -1.33 +2.35 SAS -3.68
DRatings Overall 0.49 0.89 SAS -0.40
DRatings Inference 0.57 1.13 SAS -0.56
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) +0.08 +0.25 SAS -0.16
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat DEN SAS Edge
Margin Std Dev 13.1 14.2 SAS -1.1
Skewness 0.58 0.36 —
Kurtosis -5.55 -3.97 —
Blowout Win% 0.0% 40.0% SAS -0.4
Blowout Loss% 33.3% 0.0% SAS -0.3
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM No alerts
✓ No alerts — standard lineups expected
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 3 markets
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss
ML — — —
Spread — — —
Total — — —
4 COMPARISON Classified
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss Math Kalshi Pinnacle Class
ML — — — — — — Class E
Spread — — — — — — Class E
Total — — — — — — Class E
5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.

DET @ PHI 2026-04-04T23:00:00Z
Class E MINIMUM
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: PHI | Away: DET
DET 107.2 — PHI 78.3
Total: 185.6 | Spread: +30.2 | ML: 13.2%
Pace: 97.2 poss | HCA: -1.3 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat PHI DET Edge
ORtg — — —
DRtg — — —
NetRtg — — —
Pace — — —
Record 0-0 0-0 —
MOV -9.9 2.7 DET -12.6
Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00
Adj 4 Factors 0.33 0.25 PHI +0.07
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat PHI DET Edge
eFG% 53.0% 54.6% DET -0.016
TOV% 13.4% 15.1% PHI +0.017
OREB% 30.6% 35.4% DET -0.048
FTA Rate 0.275 0.292 DET -0.017
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat PHI DET Edge
Opp eFG% 54.1% 51.7% DET -0.024
Opp TOV% 15.2% 16.8% DET -0.016
Opp OREB% 32.2% 31.1% DET -0.011
Opp FTA Rate 0.270 0.319 PHI +0.049
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat PHI DET Edge
eFG Delta +1.6 +0.1 PHI +1.5
ORB Delta -0.1 +2.9 DET -3.0
TOV Delta -3.3 -0.2 DET -3.1
FTR Delta -4.3 +2.1 DET -6.4
Matchup ORtg 108.8 116.9 DET -8.1
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat PHI DET Edge
Clutch ORtg 115.2 111.2 PHI +4.0
Clutch DRtg 98.6 102.1 PHI +3.5
Clutch NetRtg +16.6 +9.1 PHI +7.5
HUSTLE
Stat PHI DET Edge
Deflections 20.5 20.5 +0.0
Loose Balls 4.7 5.5 DET -0.7
Contested 2PT 24.6 26.0 DET -1.3
Contested 3PT 15.6 16.4 DET -0.8
Screen Assists 7.1 7.0 PHI +0.1
Charges Drawn 0.2 0.2 PHI +0.1
REST & FATIGUE
Stat PHI DET Edge
B2B Win% 50.0% 100.0% DET -0.500
1-Day Rest Win% 51.4% 66.7% DET -0.153
3+ Day Rest Win% 75.0% 80.0% DET -0.050
Rest Advantage 0d / fat 55.34 1d / fat 30.73 -0.7 pts
SHOOTING
Stat PHI DET Edge
FG% 44.8% 45.0% DET -0.003
3PT% 33.8% 35.6% DET -0.018
3PT Rate 39.5% 34.2% PHI +0.053
FG3A/game 32.8 28.6 PHI +4.2
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat PHI DET Edge
Opp PPG 116.1 109.6 DET -6.5
Opp FG% 46.7% 44.3% DET -0.024
Opp 3P% 35.3% 34.5% DET -0.008
Opp TOV 15.4 16.9 DET -1.5
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat PHI DET Edge
Home ORtg 113.6 117.4 DET -3.8
Home DRtg 114.8 106.6 DET -8.2
Home NetRtg -1.2 +10.8 DET -12.0
Road ORtg 115.0 117.1 DET -2.1
Road NetRtg +0.9 +5.9 DET -5.0
RECENT FORM
Stat PHI DET Edge
L5 ORtg 105.4 124.9 DET -19.5
L5 DRtg 108.6 111.6 PHI +3.0
L5 NetRtg -3.2 +13.3 DET -16.5
L10 ORtg 116.0 120.1 DET -4.1
L10 NetRtg +3.4 +12.3 DET -8.9
Sagarin Overall 90.20 96.95 DET -6.75
Sagarin Predictor 89.36 97.04 DET -7.68
Sagarin Strong Recent 90.93 96.84 DET -5.91
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) +1.57 -0.20 PHI +1.77
DRatings Overall 0.08 0.62 DET -0.55
DRatings Inference 0.08 0.77 DET -0.69
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) +0.00 +0.15 DET -0.15
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat PHI DET Edge
Margin Std Dev 20.9 11.4 PHI +9.5
Skewness -0.06 0.28 —
Kurtosis -3.95 -3.83 —
Blowout Win% 9.1% 16.7% DET -0.1
Blowout Loss% 36.4% 0.0% DET -0.4
QUARTER SCORING
Stat PHI DET Edge
Q1 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q2 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q3 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta 0.0 0.0 —
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM No alerts
✓ No alerts — standard lineups expected
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 3 markets
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss
ML — — —
Spread — — —
Total — — —
4 COMPARISON Classified
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss Math Kalshi Pinnacle Class
ML — — — — — — Class E
Spread — — — — — — Class E
Total — — — — — — Class E
5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.