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« 2026-04-01 2026-04-02 2026-04-04 » 6 games
PHX @ CHA 2026-04-02T23:00Z
Class E MINIMUM
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: CHA | Away: PHX
PHX 98.3 — CHA 94.9
Total: 193.2 | Spread: +4.4 | ML: 43.2%
Pace: 95.1 poss | HCA: -1.0 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat CHA PHX Edge
ORtg
DRtg
NetRtg
Pace
Record 0-0 0-0
MOV 4.8 -17.3 CHA +22.1
Consistency 17.80 0.00 CHA +17.80
Adj 4 Factors 0.19 0.22 PHX -0.04
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat CHA PHX Edge
eFG% 55.2% 53.7% CHA +0.015
TOV% 15.7% 14.7% PHX -0.010
OREB% 35.8% 33.1% CHA +0.027
FTA Rate 0.244 0.225 CHA +0.019
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat CHA PHX Edge
Opp eFG% 54.0% 54.1% CHA +0.001
Opp TOV% 13.0% 16.5% PHX -0.035
Opp OREB% 27.8% 32.3% CHA +0.045
Opp FTA Rate 0.232 0.276 CHA +0.044
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat CHA PHX Edge
eFG Delta +1.0 -0.2 CHA +1.2
ORB Delta +3.8 +5.8 PHX -2.0
TOV Delta -0.9 +1.7 PHX -2.6
FTR Delta -3.3 -1.2 PHX -2.1
Matchup ORtg 116.4 113.2 CHA +3.2
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat CHA PHX Edge
Clutch ORtg 101.8 104.0 PHX -2.2
Clutch DRtg 112.9 112.4 PHX -0.5
Clutch NetRtg -11.1 -8.4 PHX -2.7
HUSTLE
Stat CHA PHX Edge
Deflections 13.8 20.3 PHX -6.4
Loose Balls 4.3 4.6 PHX -0.3
Contested 2PT 28.6 21.1 CHA +7.5
Contested 3PT 15.9 14.0 CHA +1.8
Screen Assists 8.6 8.4 CHA +0.2
Charges Drawn 0.2 0.2 +0.0
REST & FATIGUE
Stat CHA PHX Edge
B2B Win% 60.0% 33.3% CHA +0.267
1-Day Rest Win% 51.4% 60.5% PHX -0.091
3+ Day Rest Win% 50.0% 57.1% PHX -0.071
Rest Advantage 1d / fat 12.65 1d / fat 38.96 +0.8 pts
SHOOTING
Stat CHA PHX Edge
FG% 46.0% 44.6% CHA +0.014
3PT% 37.8% 34.0% CHA +0.038
3PT Rate 48.7% 43.5% CHA +0.052
FG3A/game 43.3 37.5 CHA +5.8
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat CHA PHX Edge
Opp PPG 111.2 111.1 PHX -0.1
Opp FG% 46.7% 47.0% CHA +0.003
Opp 3P% 35.9% 34.7% PHX -0.012
Opp TOV 12.7 16.3 PHX -3.6
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat CHA PHX Edge
Home ORtg 118.0 114.7 CHA +3.3
Home DRtg 114.0 111.1 PHX -2.9
Home NetRtg +4.0 +3.6 CHA +0.4
Road ORtg 118.8 113.8 CHA +5.0
Road NetRtg +5.9 -0.8 CHA +6.7
RECENT FORM
Stat CHA PHX Edge
L5 ORtg 118.0 113.1 CHA +4.9
L5 DRtg 113.8 111.3 PHX -2.5
L5 NetRtg +4.2 +1.7 CHA +2.5
L10 ORtg 120.1 116.4 CHA +3.7
L10 NetRtg +6.6 +3.3 CHA +3.3
Sagarin Overall 94.17 90.56 CHA +3.61
Sagarin Predictor 94.70 90.61 CHA +4.09
Sagarin Strong Recent 97.27 89.88 CHA +7.39
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) +2.57 -0.73 CHA +3.30
DRatings Overall 0.37 0.12 CHA +0.25
DRatings Inference 0.57 0.17 CHA +0.40
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) +0.20 +0.05 CHA +0.15
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat CHA PHX Edge
Margin Std Dev 17.4 15.7 CHA +1.7
Skewness 0.36 -0.42
Kurtosis -3.08 -3.07
Blowout Win% 31.7% 19.5% CHA +0.1
Blowout Loss% 13.4% 17.1% +0.0
QUARTER SCORING
Stat CHA PHX Edge
Q1 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q2 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q3 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta 0.0 0.0
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM No alerts
✓ No alerts — standard lineups expected
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 3 markets
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss
ML
Spread
Total
4 COMPARISON Classified
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss Math Kalshi Pinnacle Class
ML Class E
Spread Class E
Total Class E
5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.

MIN @ DET 2026-04-02T23:00Z
Class E MINIMUM
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: DET | Away: MIN
MIN 107.1 — DET 104.5
Total: 211.6 | Spread: 0.0 | ML: 49.9%
Pace: 97.7 poss | HCA: +2.6 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat DET MIN Edge
ORtg
DRtg
NetRtg
Pace
Record 0-0 0-0
MOV 2.7 -3.6 DET +6.3
Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00
Adj 4 Factors 0.25 0.28 MIN -0.03
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat DET MIN Edge
eFG% 54.6% 55.9% MIN -0.013
TOV% 15.1% 14.5% MIN -0.006
OREB% 35.4% 30.2% DET +0.052
FTA Rate 0.292 0.285 DET +0.007
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat DET MIN Edge
Opp eFG% 51.7% 52.9% DET +0.012
Opp TOV% 16.8% 14.7% DET +0.021
Opp OREB% 31.1% 30.9% MIN -0.002
Opp FTA Rate 0.319 0.282 MIN -0.037
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat DET MIN Edge
eFG Delta +1.7 +4.2 MIN -2.5
ORB Delta +4.7 -0.8 DET +5.5
TOV Delta +0.3 -2.3 DET +2.6
FTR Delta +1.2 -3.3 DET +4.5
Matchup ORtg 114.2 109.7 DET +4.5
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat DET MIN Edge
Clutch ORtg 111.2 108.4 DET +2.8
Clutch DRtg 102.1 109.5 DET +7.4
Clutch NetRtg +9.1 -1.2 DET +10.3
HUSTLE
Stat DET MIN Edge
Deflections 20.5 17.0 DET +3.5
Loose Balls 5.5 4.3 DET +1.2
Contested 2PT 26.0 27.2 MIN -1.2
Contested 3PT 16.4 15.0 DET +1.4
Screen Assists 7.0 7.1 MIN -0.1
Charges Drawn 0.2 0.1 DET +0.1
REST & FATIGUE
Stat DET MIN Edge
B2B Win% 100.0% 42.9% DET +0.571
1-Day Rest Win% 66.7% 59.0% DET +0.077
3+ Day Rest Win% 80.0% 100.0% MIN -0.200
Rest Advantage 1d / fat 30.73 1d / fat 35.53 +0.1 pts
SHOOTING
Stat DET MIN Edge
FG% 45.0% 44.3% DET +0.007
3PT% 35.6% 33.5% DET +0.020
3PT Rate 34.2% 34.4% MIN -0.002
FG3A/game 28.6 30.9 MIN -2.3
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat DET MIN Edge
Opp PPG 109.6 114.6 DET +5.0
Opp FG% 44.3% 46.2% DET +0.019
Opp 3P% 34.5% 35.5% DET +0.010
Opp TOV 16.9 15.0 DET +1.9
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat DET MIN Edge
Home ORtg 117.4 112.7 DET +4.7
Home DRtg 106.6 109.0 DET +2.4
Home NetRtg +10.8 +3.6 DET +7.2
Road ORtg 117.1 118.5 MIN -1.4
Road NetRtg +5.9 +2.6 DET +3.3
RECENT FORM
Stat DET MIN Edge
L5 ORtg 124.9 121.6 DET +3.3
L5 DRtg 111.6 121.3 DET +9.7
L5 NetRtg +13.3 +0.3 DET +13.0
L10 ORtg 120.1 112.3 DET +7.8
L10 NetRtg +12.3 -0.6 DET +12.9
Sagarin Overall 96.95 93.17 DET +3.78
Sagarin Predictor 97.04 92.94 DET +4.10
Sagarin Strong Recent 96.84 93.52 DET +3.32
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) -0.20 +0.58 MIN -0.78
DRatings Overall 0.62 0.29 DET +0.33
DRatings Inference 0.77 0.30 DET +0.47
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) +0.15 +0.01 DET +0.14
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat DET MIN Edge
Margin Std Dev 11.4 17.9 MIN -6.5
Skewness 0.28 -0.78
Kurtosis -3.83 -3.80
Blowout Win% 16.7% 18.2% -0.0
Blowout Loss% 0.0% 18.2% DET +0.2
QUARTER SCORING
Stat DET MIN Edge
Q1 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q2 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q3 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta 0.0 0.0
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM No alerts
✓ No alerts — standard lineups expected
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 3 markets
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss
ML
Spread
Total
4 COMPARISON Classified
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss Math Kalshi Pinnacle Class
ML Class E
Spread Class E
Total Class E
5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.

LAL @ OKC 2026-04-03T01:30Z
Class E MINIMUM
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: OKC | Away: LAL
LAL 103.9 — OKC 110.3
Total: 214.2 | Spread: -6.7 | ML: 60.3%
Pace: 96.8 poss | HCA: +0.3 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat OKC LAL Edge
ORtg
DRtg
NetRtg
Pace
Record 0-0 0-0
MOV 16.7 -4.9 OKC +21.6
Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00
Adj 4 Factors 0.25 0.27 LAL -0.03
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat OKC LAL Edge
eFG% 56.1% 57.3% LAL -0.012
TOV% 12.4% 14.6% OKC +0.022
OREB% 26.4% 28.5% LAL -0.021
FTA Rate 0.261 0.320 LAL -0.059
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat OKC LAL Edge
Opp eFG% 51.9% 55.5% OKC +0.036
Opp TOV% 16.5% 14.7% OKC +0.018
Opp OREB% 30.3% 30.0% LAL -0.003
Opp FTA Rate 0.248 0.241 LAL -0.007
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat OKC LAL Edge
eFG Delta +0.2 +5.7 LAL -5.5
ORB Delta -3.6 -1.8 LAL -1.8
TOV Delta -2.3 -2.1 LAL -0.2
FTR Delta +2.8 +7.1 LAL -4.3
Matchup ORtg 118.0 109.1 OKC +8.9
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat OKC LAL Edge
Clutch ORtg 124.5 129.3 LAL -4.8
Clutch DRtg 100.7 103.3 OKC +2.6
Clutch NetRtg +23.8 +26.0 LAL -2.2
HUSTLE
Stat OKC LAL Edge
Deflections 20.7 17.1 OKC +3.7
Loose Balls 4.5 4.1 OKC +0.4
Contested 2PT 27.3 22.0 OKC +5.3
Contested 3PT 19.0 14.4 OKC +4.6
Screen Assists 8.2 8.8 LAL -0.6
Charges Drawn 0.5 0.7 LAL -0.2
REST & FATIGUE
Stat OKC LAL Edge
B2B Win% 33.3% 66.7% LAL -0.334
1-Day Rest Win% 83.3% 61.5% OKC +0.218
3+ Day Rest Win% 100.0% 80.0% OKC +0.200
Rest Advantage 1d / fat 25.45 0d / fat 51.05 +0.8 pts
SHOOTING
Stat OKC LAL Edge
FG% 51.0% 47.2% OKC +0.038
3PT% 38.4% 38.5% LAL -0.002
3PT Rate 41.8% 34.8% OKC +0.070
FG3A/game 36.5 27.0 OKC +9.5
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat OKC LAL Edge
Opp PPG 107.9 114.6 OKC +6.7
Opp FG% 43.7% 48.3% OKC +0.046
Opp 3P% 36.9% 35.2% LAL -0.017
Opp TOV 16.7 14.6 OKC +2.1
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat OKC LAL Edge
Home ORtg 117.5 117.8 LAL -0.3
Home DRtg 105.8 114.2 OKC +8.4
Home NetRtg +11.7 +3.6 OKC +8.1
Road ORtg 118.1 116.2 OKC +1.9
Road NetRtg +10.8 -0.6 OKC +11.4
RECENT FORM
Stat OKC LAL Edge
L5 ORtg 120.7 116.0 OKC +4.7
L5 DRtg 112.9 111.3 LAL -1.6
L5 NetRtg +7.8 +4.6 OKC +3.2
L10 ORtg 120.7 116.5 OKC +4.2
L10 NetRtg +10.8 +3.2 OKC +7.6
Sagarin Overall 101.77 92.92 OKC +8.85
Sagarin Predictor 101.87 92.81 OKC +9.06
Sagarin Strong Recent 102.36 93.00 OKC +9.36
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) +0.49 +0.19 OKC +0.30
DRatings Overall 1.05 0.32 OKC +0.73
DRatings Inference 1.15 0.37 OKC +0.78
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) +0.10 +0.05 OKC +0.05
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat OKC LAL Edge
Margin Std Dev 9.3 14.6 LAL -5.2
Skewness 1.01 0.33
Kurtosis -4.12 -4.02
Blowout Win% 50.0% 10.0% OKC +0.4
Blowout Loss% 0.0% 40.0% OKC +0.4
QUARTER SCORING
Stat OKC LAL Edge
Q1 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q2 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q3 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta 0.0 0.0
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM No alerts
✓ No alerts — standard lineups expected
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 3 markets
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss
ML
Spread
Total
4 COMPARISON Classified
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss Math Kalshi Pinnacle Class
ML Class E
Spread Class E
Total Class E
5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.

CLE @ GSW 2026-04-03T02:00Z
Class E MINIMUM
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: GSW | Away: CLE
CLE 113.1 — GSW 110.7
Total: 223.8 | Spread: +0.6 | ML: 49.0%
Pace: 97.5 poss | HCA: +1.8 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat GSW CLE Edge
ORtg
DRtg
NetRtg
Pace
Record 0-0 0-0
MOV -0.6 1.0 CLE -1.6
Consistency 15.00 0.00 GSW +15.00
Adj 4 Factors 0.28 0.36 CLE -0.09
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat GSW CLE Edge
eFG% 54.9% 56.1% CLE -0.012
TOV% 15.6% 13.8% CLE -0.018
OREB% 30.2% 30.7% CLE -0.005
FTA Rate 0.238 0.265 CLE -0.027
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat GSW CLE Edge
Opp eFG% 55.3% 54.3% CLE -0.010
Opp TOV% 15.8% 14.9% GSW +0.009
Opp OREB% 31.6% 30.8% CLE -0.008
Opp FTA Rate 0.247 0.263 GSW +0.016
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat GSW CLE Edge
eFG Delta +0.7 +0.9 CLE -0.2
ORB Delta -0.9 -1.0 GSW +0.1
TOV Delta +0.5 -2.0 GSW +2.5
FTR Delta -3.1 +1.5 CLE -4.6
Matchup ORtg 113.2 117.5 CLE -4.3
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat GSW CLE Edge
Clutch ORtg 115.1 116.9 CLE -1.8
Clutch DRtg 112.5 102.4 CLE -10.1
Clutch NetRtg +2.7 +14.5 CLE -11.8
HUSTLE
Stat GSW CLE Edge
Deflections 19.1 19.1 -0.0
Loose Balls 5.0 4.5 GSW +0.5
Contested 2PT 25.3 25.8 CLE -0.5
Contested 3PT 15.2 15.3 CLE -0.1
Screen Assists 7.5 7.4 GSW +0.1
Charges Drawn 0.6 0.2 GSW +0.4
REST & FATIGUE
Stat GSW CLE Edge
B2B Win% 40.0% 66.7% CLE -0.267
1-Day Rest Win% 47.2% 71.4% CLE -0.242
3+ Day Rest Win% 20.0% 40.0% CLE -0.200
Rest Advantage 2d / fat 36.76 0d / fat 64.53 +0.8 pts
SHOOTING
Stat GSW CLE Edge
FG% 46.1% 46.8% CLE -0.006
3PT% 35.6% 34.2% GSW +0.014
3PT Rate 49.7% 45.8% GSW +0.038
FG3A/game 44.1 37.6 GSW +6.5
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat GSW CLE Edge
Opp PPG 115.2 115.4 GSW +0.2
Opp FG% 48.0% 46.4% CLE -0.016
Opp 3P% 36.0% 37.2% GSW +0.012
Opp TOV 15.9 15.0 GSW +0.9
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat GSW CLE Edge
Home ORtg 116.8 118.3 CLE -1.5
Home DRtg 115.7 114.0 CLE -1.7
Home NetRtg +1.1 +4.3 CLE -3.2
Road ORtg 110.9 118.3 CLE -7.4
Road NetRtg -2.1 +4.0 CLE -6.1
RECENT FORM
Stat GSW CLE Edge
L5 ORtg 116.5 120.4 CLE -3.9
L5 DRtg 121.6 116.1 CLE -5.5
L5 NetRtg -5.1 +4.3 CLE -9.4
L10 ORtg 113.7 120.0 CLE -6.3
L10 NetRtg -6.3 +2.8 CLE -9.1
Sagarin Overall 88.05 94.80 CLE -6.75
Sagarin Predictor 88.25 94.60 CLE -6.35
Sagarin Strong Recent 84.20 94.72 CLE -10.52
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) -4.05 +0.12 CLE -4.17
DRatings Overall -0.13 0.51 CLE -0.64
DRatings Inference -0.23 0.53 CLE -0.76
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) -0.10 +0.02 CLE -0.12
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat GSW CLE Edge
Margin Std Dev 14.8 10.8 GSW +4.0
Skewness 0.17 -0.91
Kurtosis -3.08 -3.68
Blowout Win% 15.8% 0.0% GSW +0.2
Blowout Loss% 14.6% 8.3% CLE -0.1
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM No alerts
✓ No alerts — standard lineups expected
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 3 markets
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss
ML
Spread
Total
4 COMPARISON Classified
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss Math Kalshi Pinnacle Class
ML Class E
Spread Class E
Total Class E
5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.

NOP @ POR 2026-04-03T02:00Z
Class E MINIMUM
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: POR | Away: NOP
NOP 110.1 — POR 113.8
Total: 223.9 | Spread: -6.8 | ML: 60.5%
Pace: 98.4 poss | HCA: +3.1 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat POR NOP Edge
ORtg
DRtg
NetRtg
Pace
Record 0-0 0-0
MOV -12.4 -4.5 NOP -7.9
Consistency 0.00 13.30 NOP -13.30
Adj 4 Factors 0.25 0.31 NOP -0.06
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat POR NOP Edge
eFG% 53.4% 52.7% POR +0.007
TOV% 16.9% 13.9% NOP -0.030
OREB% 35.4% 31.1% POR +0.043
FTA Rate 0.280 0.284 NOP -0.004
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat POR NOP Edge
Opp eFG% 54.1% 55.5% POR +0.014
Opp TOV% 15.3% 14.2% POR +0.011
Opp OREB% 31.2% 32.6% POR +0.014
Opp FTA Rate 0.272 0.258 NOP -0.014
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat POR NOP Edge
eFG Delta -2.2 -1.3 NOP -0.9
ORB Delta +2.6 +0.1 POR +2.5
TOV Delta +2.7 -1.3 POR +4.0
FTR Delta +2.7 +0.8 POR +1.9
Matchup ORtg 115.7 112.2 POR +3.5
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat POR NOP Edge
Clutch ORtg 111.1 97.5 POR +13.6
Clutch DRtg 115.0 117.8 POR +2.8
Clutch NetRtg -4.0 -20.3 POR +16.3
HUSTLE
Stat POR NOP Edge
Deflections 16.7 18.2 NOP -1.5
Loose Balls 4.0 4.2 NOP -0.1
Contested 2PT 26.2 22.6 POR +3.6
Contested 3PT 14.8 17.0 NOP -2.1
Screen Assists 5.6 6.5 NOP -1.0
Charges Drawn 0.4 0.3 POR +0.1
REST & FATIGUE
Stat POR NOP Edge
B2B Win% 33.3% 20.0% POR +0.133
1-Day Rest Win% 47.6% 29.7% POR +0.179
3+ Day Rest Win% 28.6% 25.0% POR +0.036
Rest Advantage 0d / fat 52.53 3d / fat 24.86 -0.8 pts
SHOOTING
Stat POR NOP Edge
FG% 40.3% 46.6% NOP -0.063
3PT% 30.2% 34.7% NOP -0.045
3PT Rate 43.2% 35.5% POR +0.077
FG3A/game 38.4 32.1 POR +6.3
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat POR NOP Edge
Opp PPG 115.8 120.0 POR +4.2
Opp FG% 47.1% 47.7% POR +0.006
Opp 3P% 35.8% 35.0% NOP -0.008
Opp TOV 15.6 14.5 POR +1.1
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat POR NOP Edge
Home ORtg 115.6 114.4 POR +1.2
Home DRtg 112.4 115.9 POR +3.5
Home NetRtg +3.2 -1.4 POR +4.6
Road ORtg 110.6 112.1 NOP -1.5
Road NetRtg -4.0 -7.3 POR +3.3
RECENT FORM
Stat POR NOP Edge
L5 ORtg 117.6 115.6 POR +2.0
L5 DRtg 112.6 119.3 POR +6.7
L5 NetRtg +4.9 -3.7 POR +8.6
L10 ORtg 117.6 112.4 POR +5.2
L10 NetRtg +13.0 -9.6 POR +22.6
Sagarin Overall 90.63 86.40 POR +4.23
Sagarin Predictor 90.28 86.58 POR +3.70
Sagarin Strong Recent 93.12 88.21 POR +4.91
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) +2.84 +1.63 POR +1.21
DRatings Overall 0.06 -0.40 POR +0.46
DRatings Inference 0.05 -0.44 POR +0.48
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) -0.01 -0.04 POR +0.03
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat POR NOP Edge
Margin Std Dev 9.4 13.5 NOP -4.0
Skewness 1.36 0.13
Kurtosis -5.98 -3.08
Blowout Win% 0.0% 11.0% NOP -0.1
Blowout Loss% 40.0% 20.7% NOP -0.2
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM No alerts
✓ No alerts — standard lineups expected
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 3 markets
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss
ML
Spread
Total
4 COMPARISON Classified
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss Math Kalshi Pinnacle Class
ML Class E
Spread Class E
Total Class E
5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.

SAS @ LAC 2026-04-03T02:30Z
Class E MINIMUM
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: LAC | Away: SAS
SAS 100.8 — LAC 105.5
Total: 206.3 | Spread: -8.0 | ML: 62.3%
Pace: 96.0 poss | HCA: +3.3 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat LAC SAS Edge
ORtg
DRtg
NetRtg
Pace
Record 0-0 0-0
MOV 1.2 12.9 SAS -11.7
Consistency 16.90 0.00 LAC +16.90
Adj 4 Factors 0.23 0.32 SAS -0.08
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat LAC SAS Edge
eFG% 55.9% 55.9% 0.000
TOV% 14.7% 13.3% SAS -0.014
OREB% 28.4% 30.6% SAS -0.022
FTA Rate 0.295 0.274 LAC +0.021
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat LAC SAS Edge
Opp eFG% 54.5% 52.2% SAS -0.023
Opp TOV% 14.6% 12.8% LAC +0.018
Opp OREB% 31.9% 27.6% SAS -0.043
Opp FTA Rate 0.248 0.228 SAS -0.020
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat LAC SAS Edge
eFG Delta +3.9 +1.2 LAC +2.7
ORB Delta +1.0 -1.4 LAC +2.4
TOV Delta +1.8 -1.3 LAC +3.1
FTR Delta +7.1 +3.2 LAC +3.9
Matchup ORtg 112.1 119.1 SAS -7.0
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat LAC SAS Edge
Clutch ORtg 110.1 122.6 SAS -12.5
Clutch DRtg 115.0 114.4 SAS -0.6
Clutch NetRtg -4.9 +8.3 SAS -13.2
HUSTLE
Stat LAC SAS Edge
Deflections 18.4 15.7 LAC +2.7
Loose Balls 3.8 4.1 SAS -0.3
Contested 2PT 25.7 27.6 SAS -1.9
Contested 3PT 16.3 14.8 LAC +1.4
Screen Assists 6.3 8.1 SAS -1.8
Charges Drawn 0.1 0.3 SAS -0.2
REST & FATIGUE
Stat LAC SAS Edge
B2B Win% 20.0% 80.0% SAS -0.600
1-Day Rest Win% 65.8% 82.5% SAS -0.167
3+ Day Rest Win% 20.0% 100.0% SAS -0.800
Rest Advantage 0d / fat 75.00 2d / fat 40.00 -1.1 pts
SHOOTING
Stat LAC SAS Edge
FG% 48.4% 48.4% LAC +0.001
3PT% 36.8% 37.3% SAS -0.005
3PT Rate 40.4% 37.3% LAC +0.032
FG3A/game 33.8 31.9 LAC +1.9
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat LAC SAS Edge
Opp PPG 112.6 111.5 SAS -1.1
Opp FG% 46.9% 45.1% SAS -0.018
Opp 3P% 36.4% 35.2% SAS -0.012
Opp TOV 14.3 13.0 LAC +1.3
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat LAC SAS Edge
Home ORtg 117.8 120.0 SAS -2.2
Home DRtg 114.1 111.6 SAS -2.5
Home NetRtg +3.7 +8.4 SAS -4.7
Road ORtg 114.9 117.9 SAS -3.0
Road NetRtg -1.5 +8.4 SAS -9.9
RECENT FORM
Stat LAC SAS Edge
L5 ORtg 115.9 121.4 SAS -5.5
L5 DRtg 113.9 116.2 LAC +2.3
L5 NetRtg +2.0 +5.2 SAS -3.2
L10 ORtg 116.0 123.1 SAS -7.1
L10 NetRtg +2.4 +13.2 SAS -10.8
Sagarin Overall 91.37 100.08 SAS -8.71
Sagarin Predictor 91.97 99.92 SAS -7.95
Sagarin Strong Recent 90.25 102.27 SAS -12.02
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) -1.72 +2.35 SAS -4.07
DRatings Overall 0.14 0.89 SAS -0.74
DRatings Inference 0.17 1.13 SAS -0.96
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) +0.03 +0.25 SAS -0.22
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat LAC SAS Edge
Margin Std Dev 16.4 14.2 LAC +2.1
Skewness 0.16 0.36
Kurtosis -3.08 -3.97
Blowout Win% 21.9% 40.0% SAS -0.2
Blowout Loss% 20.7% 0.0% SAS -0.2
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM No alerts
✓ No alerts — standard lineups expected
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 3 markets
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss
ML
Spread
Total
4 COMPARISON Classified
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss Math Kalshi Pinnacle Class
ML Class E
Spread Class E
Total Class E
5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

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6 RESULT Awaiting

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