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« 2026-04-01 2026-04-02 » 9 games
PHI @ WAS 2026-04-01T23:00Z
Class E MINIMUM
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: WAS | Away: PHI
PHI 92.2 — WAS 107.8
Total: 200.0 | Spread: -17.2 | ML: 74.5%
Pace: 98.3 poss | HCA: +1.7 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat WAS PHI Edge
ORtg
DRtg
NetRtg
Pace
Record 0-0 0-0
MOV -12.0 -9.9 PHI -2.1
Consistency 14.70 0.00 WAS +14.70
Adj 4 Factors 0.25 0.33 PHI -0.08
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat WAS PHI Edge
eFG% 53.5% 53.0% WAS +0.005
TOV% 15.2% 13.4% PHI -0.018
OREB% 28.5% 30.6% PHI -0.021
FTA Rate 0.235 0.275 PHI -0.040
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat WAS PHI Edge
Opp eFG% 56.3% 54.1% PHI -0.022
Opp TOV% 13.4% 15.2% PHI -0.018
Opp OREB% 33.6% 32.2% PHI -0.014
Opp FTA Rate 0.292 0.270 PHI -0.022
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat WAS PHI Edge
eFG Delta -1.1 -2.7 WAS +1.6
ORB Delta -4.0 -2.8 PHI -1.2
TOV Delta -0.1 +0.2 PHI -0.3
FTR Delta -3.9 -1.7 PHI -2.2
Matchup ORtg 109.6 120.5 PHI -10.9
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat WAS PHI Edge
Clutch ORtg 109.1 115.2 PHI -6.1
Clutch DRtg 120.8 98.6 PHI -22.2
Clutch NetRtg -11.7 +16.6 PHI -28.3
HUSTLE
Stat WAS PHI Edge
Deflections 17.1 20.5 PHI -3.4
Loose Balls 3.8 4.7 PHI -0.9
Contested 2PT 24.9 24.6 WAS +0.3
Contested 3PT 15.0 15.6 PHI -0.6
Screen Assists 8.2 7.1 WAS +1.1
Charges Drawn 0.4 0.2 WAS +0.2
REST & FATIGUE
Stat WAS PHI Edge
B2B Win% 33.3% 50.0% PHI -0.167
1-Day Rest Win% 22.2% 51.4% PHI -0.292
3+ Day Rest Win% 20.0% 75.0% PHI -0.550
Rest Advantage 0d / fat 94.68 1d / fat 47.21 -1.4 pts
SHOOTING
Stat WAS PHI Edge
FG% 46.3% 44.8% WAS +0.015
3PT% 35.9% 33.8% WAS +0.021
3PT Rate 40.3% 39.5% WAS +0.008
FG3A/game 36.4 32.8 WAS +3.6
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat WAS PHI Edge
Opp PPG 124.9 116.1 PHI -8.8
Opp FG% 48.8% 46.7% PHI -0.021
Opp 3P% 36.8% 35.3% PHI -0.015
Opp TOV 13.8 15.4 PHI -1.6
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat WAS PHI Edge
Home ORtg 110.3 113.6 PHI -3.3
Home DRtg 121.1 114.8 PHI -6.3
Home NetRtg -10.8 -1.2 PHI -9.6
Road ORtg 109.0 115.0 PHI -6.0
Road NetRtg -12.8 +0.9 PHI -13.7
RECENT FORM
Stat WAS PHI Edge
L5 ORtg 107.1 105.4 WAS +1.7
L5 DRtg 123.4 108.6 PHI -14.8
L5 NetRtg -16.2 -3.2 PHI -13.0
L10 ORtg 109.5 116.0 PHI -6.5
L10 NetRtg -17.4 +3.4 PHI -20.8
Sagarin Overall 77.95 90.20 PHI -12.25
Sagarin Predictor 77.89 89.36 PHI -11.47
Sagarin Strong Recent 76.82 90.93 PHI -14.11
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) -1.07 +1.57 PHI -2.64
DRatings Overall -1.06 0.08 PHI -1.14
DRatings Inference -1.22 0.08 PHI -1.29
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) -0.15 +0.00 PHI -0.15
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat WAS PHI Edge
Margin Std Dev 14.9 20.9 PHI -6.0
Skewness 0.44 -0.06
Kurtosis -3.08 -3.95
Blowout Win% 6.1% 9.1% -0.0
Blowout Loss% 46.3% 36.4% PHI -0.1
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM No alerts
✓ No alerts — standard lineups expected
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 3 markets
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss
ML
Spread
Total
4 COMPARISON Classified
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss Math Kalshi Pinnacle Class
ML Class E
Spread Class E
Total Class E
5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.

ATL @ ORL 2026-04-01T23:00Z
Class E MINIMUM
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: ORL | Away: ATL
ATL 112.9 — ORL 109.5
Total: 222.4 | Spread: +2.2 | ML: 46.6%
Pace: 98.3 poss | HCA: +1.3 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat ORL ATL Edge
ORtg
DRtg
NetRtg
Pace
Record 0-0 0-0
MOV -4.7 -17.5 ORL +12.8
Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00
Adj 4 Factors 0.36 0.28 ORL +0.08
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat ORL ATL Edge
eFG% 53.1% 55.4% ATL -0.023
TOV% 14.0% 13.8% ATL -0.002
OREB% 30.6% 29.1% ORL +0.015
FTA Rate 0.311 0.234 ORL +0.077
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat ORL ATL Edge
Opp eFG% 54.5% 54.6% ORL +0.001
Opp TOV% 14.7% 15.6% ATL -0.009
Opp OREB% 29.0% 29.8% ORL +0.008
Opp FTA Rate 0.285 0.260 ATL -0.025
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat ORL ATL Edge
eFG Delta -1.6 +0.7 ATL -2.3
ORB Delta +0.3 -0.4 ORL +0.7
TOV Delta -1.9 -0.9 ATL -1.0
FTR Delta +4.7 -5.2 ORL +9.9
Matchup ORtg 112.6 114.2 ATL -1.6
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat ORL ATL Edge
Clutch ORtg 107.3 109.5 ATL -2.2
Clutch DRtg 106.0 107.4 ORL +1.4
Clutch NetRtg +1.3 +2.2 ATL -0.9
HUSTLE
Stat ORL ATL Edge
Deflections 16.9 19.9 ATL -3.0
Loose Balls 4.2 4.7 ATL -0.6
Contested 2PT 25.5 27.0 ATL -1.5
Contested 3PT 15.2 16.3 ATL -1.1
Screen Assists 7.2 7.7 ATL -0.5
Charges Drawn 0.3 0.2 ORL +0.1
REST & FATIGUE
Stat ORL ATL Edge
B2B Win% 100.0% 25.0% ORL +0.750
1-Day Rest Win% 51.2% 62.8% ATL -0.116
3+ Day Rest Win% 50.0% 25.0% ORL +0.250
Rest Advantage 0d / fat 51.77 1d / fat 29.23 -0.7 pts
SHOOTING
Stat ORL ATL Edge
FG% 39.7% 43.6% ATL -0.039
3PT% 32.8% 31.2% ORL +0.016
3PT Rate 40.8% 43.4% ATL -0.027
FG3A/game 34.0 36.3 ATL -2.3
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat ORL ATL Edge
Opp PPG 115.1 116.0 ORL +0.9
Opp FG% 47.6% 47.4% ATL -0.002
Opp 3P% 35.3% 35.5% ORL +0.002
Opp TOV 14.9 16.1 ATL -1.2
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat ORL ATL Edge
Home ORtg 115.0 115.4 ATL -0.4
Home DRtg 113.4 111.6 ATL -1.8
Home NetRtg +1.6 +3.8 ATL -2.2
Road ORtg 113.5 114.7 ATL -1.2
Road NetRtg +0.1 +0.5 ATL -0.4
RECENT FORM
Stat ORL ATL Edge
L5 ORtg 115.5 117.5 ATL -2.0
L5 DRtg 105.6 114.1 ORL +8.5
L5 NetRtg +10.0 +3.4 ORL +6.6
L10 ORtg 111.8 117.9 ATL -6.1
L10 NetRtg -0.3 +5.5 ATL -5.8
Sagarin Overall 91.88 92.04 ATL -0.16
Sagarin Predictor 91.61 92.24 ATL -0.63
Sagarin Strong Recent 92.03 92.30 ATL -0.27
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) +0.42 +0.06 ORL +0.36
DRatings Overall 0.17 0.21 ATL -0.04
DRatings Inference 0.18 0.23 ATL -0.05
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) +0.01 +0.02 ATL -0.01
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat ORL ATL Edge
Margin Std Dev 13.0 19.9 ATL -6.9
Skewness 0.01 -0.99
Kurtosis -4.92 -5.13
Blowout Win% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0
Blowout Loss% 28.6% 50.0% ORL +0.2
QUARTER SCORING
Stat ORL ATL Edge
Q1 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q2 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q3 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta 0.0 0.0
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM No alerts
✓ No alerts — standard lineups expected
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 3 markets
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss
ML
Spread
Total
4 COMPARISON Classified
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss Math Kalshi Pinnacle Class
ML Class E
Spread Class E
Total Class E
5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.

BOS @ MIA 2026-04-01T23:30Z
Class E MINIMUM
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: MIA | Away: BOS
BOS 113.9 — MIA 108.3
Total: 222.2 | Spread: +3.2 | ML: 44.9%
Pace: 97.0 poss | HCA: +2.4 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat MIA BOS Edge
ORtg
DRtg
NetRtg
Pace
Record 0-0 0-0
MOV 2.4 2.9 BOS -0.5
Consistency 16.00 0.00 MIA +16.00
Adj 4 Factors 0.24 0.23 MIA +0.01
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat MIA BOS Edge
eFG% 54.2% 55.3% BOS -0.011
TOV% 13.1% 12.9% BOS -0.002
OREB% 29.6% 33.6% BOS -0.040
FTA Rate 0.268 0.207 MIA +0.061
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat MIA BOS Edge
Opp eFG% 54.0% 52.3% BOS -0.017
Opp TOV% 14.4% 12.9% MIA +0.015
Opp OREB% 29.7% 29.0% BOS -0.007
Opp FTA Rate 0.240 0.245 MIA +0.005
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat MIA BOS Edge
eFG Delta +1.5 +1.0 MIA +0.5
ORB Delta +0.5 +4.1 BOS -3.6
TOV Delta +0.2 -1.8 MIA +2.0
FTR Delta +2.4 -3.3 MIA +5.7
Matchup ORtg 111.8 117.3 BOS -5.5
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat MIA BOS Edge
Clutch ORtg 111.5 112.9 BOS -1.4
Clutch DRtg 117.5 110.9 BOS -6.6
Clutch NetRtg -6.1 +1.9 BOS -8.0
HUSTLE
Stat MIA BOS Edge
Deflections 17.8 15.2 MIA +2.6
Loose Balls 4.1 4.0 MIA +0.1
Contested 2PT 24.7 24.1 MIA +0.6
Contested 3PT 17.7 16.4 MIA +1.3
Screen Assists 3.0 9.2 BOS -6.3
Charges Drawn 0.5 0.3 MIA +0.2
REST & FATIGUE
Stat MIA BOS Edge
B2B Win% 66.7% 100.0% BOS -0.333
1-Day Rest Win% 48.5% 69.8% BOS -0.213
3+ Day Rest Win% 25.0% 57.1% BOS -0.321
Rest Advantage 1d / fat 41.56 1d / fat 36.09 -0.2 pts
SHOOTING
Stat MIA BOS Edge
FG% 46.8% 43.4% MIA +0.034
3PT% 36.1% 33.8% MIA +0.024
3PT Rate 40.6% 52.5% BOS -0.119
FG3A/game 37.9 46.1 BOS -8.3
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat MIA BOS Edge
Opp PPG 118.5 107.2 BOS -11.3
Opp FG% 46.5% 44.2% BOS -0.023
Opp 3P% 35.9% 35.8% BOS -0.001
Opp TOV 15.0 12.4 MIA +2.6
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat MIA BOS Edge
Home ORtg 117.9 119.7 BOS -1.8
Home DRtg 113.1 111.4 BOS -1.7
Home NetRtg +4.8 +8.3 BOS -3.5
Road ORtg 113.6 120.2 BOS -6.6
Road NetRtg -0.5 +8.2 BOS -8.7
RECENT FORM
Stat MIA BOS Edge
L5 ORtg 126.3 121.4 MIA +4.9
L5 DRtg 120.9 111.1 BOS -9.8
L5 NetRtg +5.4 +10.3 BOS -4.9
L10 ORtg 123.6 124.7 BOS -1.1
L10 NetRtg -0.3 +11.7 BOS -12.0
Sagarin Overall 91.00 96.30 BOS -5.30
Sagarin Predictor 90.95 96.36 BOS -5.41
Sagarin Strong Recent 91.23 97.28 BOS -6.05
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) +0.28 +0.92 BOS -0.64
DRatings Overall 0.06 0.58 BOS -0.52
DRatings Inference 0.05 0.68 BOS -0.63
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) -0.01 +0.10 BOS -0.12
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat MIA BOS Edge
Margin Std Dev 16.8 21.4 BOS -4.7
Skewness 0.22 0.77
Kurtosis -3.08 -4.85
Blowout Win% 25.6% 28.6% -0.0
Blowout Loss% 14.6% 14.3% -0.0
QUARTER SCORING
Stat MIA BOS Edge
Q1 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q2 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q3 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta 0.0 0.0
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM No alerts
✓ No alerts — standard lineups expected
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 3 markets
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss
ML
Spread
Total
4 COMPARISON Classified
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss Math Kalshi Pinnacle Class
ML Class E
Spread Class E
Total Class E
5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.

NYK @ MEM 2026-04-02T00:00Z
Class E MINIMUM
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: MEM | Away: NYK
NYK 115.3 — MEM 95.2
Total: 210.5 | Spread: +18.2 | ML: 24.3%
Pace: 96.8 poss | HCA: +2.0 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat MEM NYK Edge
ORtg
DRtg
NetRtg
Pace
Record 0-0 0-0
MOV -6.0 19.4 NYK -25.4
Consistency 14.80 0.00 MEM +14.80
Adj 4 Factors 0.17 0.33 NYK -0.16
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat MEM NYK Edge
eFG% 53.3% 55.7% NYK -0.024
TOV% 14.8% 13.9% NYK -0.009
OREB% 30.1% 32.8% NYK -0.027
FTA Rate 0.251 0.238 MEM +0.013
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat MEM NYK Edge
Opp eFG% 56.2% 54.1% NYK -0.021
Opp TOV% 15.2% 14.7% MEM +0.005
Opp OREB% 33.7% 28.5% NYK -0.052
Opp FTA Rate 0.262 0.265 MEM +0.003
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat MEM NYK Edge
eFG Delta -0.6 -0.1 NYK -0.5
ORB Delta +2.5 -0.3 MEM +2.8
TOV Delta +0.3 -1.3 MEM +1.6
FTR Delta -1.1 -2.0 MEM +0.9
Matchup ORtg 110.7 121.1 NYK -10.4
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat MEM NYK Edge
Clutch ORtg 97.1 123.5 NYK -26.4
Clutch DRtg 114.0 103.1 NYK -10.9
Clutch NetRtg -16.9 +20.5 NYK -37.4
HUSTLE
Stat MEM NYK Edge
Deflections 17.8 17.0 MEM +0.8
Loose Balls 4.5 4.5 0.0
Contested 2PT 24.5 22.4 MEM +2.1
Contested 3PT 16.7 16.3 MEM +0.4
Screen Assists 6.4 6.8 NYK -0.4
Charges Drawn 0.2 0.6 NYK -0.3
REST & FATIGUE
Stat MEM NYK Edge
B2B Win% 0.0% 66.7% NYK -0.667
1-Day Rest Win% 35.7% 70.0% NYK -0.343
3+ Day Rest Win% 50.0% 75.0% NYK -0.250
Rest Advantage 1d / fat 35.41 2d / fat 12.41 -0.7 pts
SHOOTING
Stat MEM NYK Edge
FG% 45.6% 51.7% NYK -0.061
3PT% 35.3% 40.8% NYK -0.055
3PT Rate 43.6% 38.4% MEM +0.053
FG3A/game 39.5 32.1 MEM +7.4
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat MEM NYK Edge
Opp PPG 120.7 110.1 NYK -10.6
Opp FG% 48.5% 46.0% NYK -0.025
Opp 3P% 36.4% 36.2% NYK -0.002
Opp TOV 15.5 14.4 MEM +1.1
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat MEM NYK Edge
Home ORtg 113.9 120.8 NYK -6.9
Home DRtg 117.8 110.5 NYK -7.3
Home NetRtg -3.9 +10.3 NYK -14.2
Road ORtg 110.7 116.4 NYK -5.7
Road NetRtg -8.6 +2.4 NYK -11.0
RECENT FORM
Stat MEM NYK Edge
L5 ORtg 106.2 120.0 NYK -13.8
L5 DRtg 130.3 108.7 NYK -21.6
L5 NetRtg -24.1 +11.3 NYK -35.4
L10 ORtg 108.0 119.7 NYK -11.7
L10 NetRtg -19.7 +2.5 NYK -22.2
Sagarin Overall 81.64 99.32 NYK -17.68
Sagarin Predictor 81.78 99.62 NYK -17.84
Sagarin Strong Recent 76.68 101.62 NYK -24.94
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) -5.10 +2.00 NYK -7.10
DRatings Overall -0.81 0.63 NYK -1.44
DRatings Inference -1.04 0.90 NYK -1.95
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) -0.23 +0.27 NYK -0.51
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat MEM NYK Edge
Margin Std Dev 15.2 17.4 NYK -2.1
Skewness 0.18 0.56
Kurtosis -3.07 -3.97
Blowout Win% 9.8% 50.0% NYK -0.4
Blowout Loss% 26.8% 0.0% NYK -0.3
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM No alerts
✓ No alerts — standard lineups expected
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 3 markets
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss
ML
Spread
Total
4 COMPARISON Classified
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss Math Kalshi Pinnacle Class
ML Class E
Spread Class E
Total Class E
5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.

SAC @ TOR 2026-04-02T00:00Z
Class E MINIMUM
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: TOR | Away: SAC
SAC 90.6 — TOR 108.4
Total: 199.1 | Spread: -18.7 | ML: 76.3%
Pace: 96.8 poss | HCA: +1.0 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat TOR SAC Edge
ORtg
DRtg
NetRtg
Pace
Record 0-0 0-0
MOV -1.8 -10.0 TOR +8.2
Consistency 0.00 14.70 SAC -14.70
Adj 4 Factors 0.29 0.28 TOR +0.01
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat TOR SAC Edge
eFG% 54.6% 52.5% TOR +0.021
TOV% 13.7% 14.3% TOR +0.006
OREB% 30.0% 29.8% TOR +0.002
FTA Rate 0.265 0.256 TOR +0.009
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat TOR SAC Edge
Opp eFG% 54.0% 57.2% TOR +0.032
Opp TOV% 16.1% 13.9% TOR +0.022
Opp OREB% 30.7% 31.5% TOR +0.008
Opp FTA Rate 0.279 0.274 SAC -0.005
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat TOR SAC Edge
eFG Delta -2.8 -1.8 SAC -1.0
ORB Delta -1.5 -1.4 SAC -0.1
TOV Delta -0.1 -2.0 TOR +1.9
FTR Delta -1.4 -2.6 TOR +1.2
Matchup ORtg 120.2 107.8 TOR +12.4
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat TOR SAC Edge
Clutch ORtg 106.9 112.3 SAC -5.4
Clutch DRtg 99.1 107.1 TOR +8.0
Clutch NetRtg +7.7 +5.2 TOR +2.5
HUSTLE
Stat TOR SAC Edge
Deflections 20.4 15.5 TOR +4.9
Loose Balls 3.9 3.9 -0.0
Contested 2PT 23.7 23.8 SAC -0.1
Contested 3PT 15.1 15.3 SAC -0.2
Screen Assists 6.9 7.7 SAC -0.8
Charges Drawn 0.3 0.3 -0.0
REST & FATIGUE
Stat TOR SAC Edge
B2B Win% 33.3% 33.3% 0.000
1-Day Rest Win% 56.8% 20.0% TOR +0.368
3+ Day Rest Win% 100.0% 25.0% TOR +0.750
Rest Advantage 2d / fat 38.81 2d / fat 40.26 0.0 pts
SHOOTING
Stat TOR SAC Edge
FG% 46.5% 46.7% SAC -0.002
3PT% 35.6% 34.1% TOR +0.015
3PT Rate 34.3% 33.9% TOR +0.004
FG3A/game 29.7 30.2 SAC -0.5
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat TOR SAC Edge
Opp PPG 111.8 121.0 TOR +9.2
Opp FG% 46.7% 49.4% TOR +0.027
Opp 3P% 34.9% 37.9% TOR +0.030
Opp TOV 16.1 14.0 TOR +2.1
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat TOR SAC Edge
Home ORtg 115.4 111.4 TOR +4.0
Home DRtg 110.9 118.3 TOR +7.4
Home NetRtg +4.5 -6.9 TOR +11.4
Road ORtg 114.5 109.7 TOR +4.8
Road NetRtg +1.2 -12.6 TOR +13.8
RECENT FORM
Stat TOR SAC Edge
L5 ORtg 119.3 113.9 TOR +5.4
L5 DRtg 110.5 120.9 TOR +10.4
L5 NetRtg +8.8 -7.0 TOR +15.8
L10 ORtg 120.8 113.0 TOR +7.8
L10 NetRtg +12.0 -10.8 TOR +22.8
Sagarin Overall 92.77 81.81 TOR +10.96
Sagarin Predictor 93.15 81.46 TOR +11.69
Sagarin Strong Recent 93.29 82.28 TOR +11.01
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) +0.14 +0.82 SAC -0.68
DRatings Overall 0.20 -0.78 TOR +0.98
DRatings Inference 0.29 -0.90 TOR +1.20
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) +0.10 -0.12 TOR +0.21
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat TOR SAC Edge
Margin Std Dev 12.4 14.5 SAC -2.1
Skewness 1.28 -0.31
Kurtosis -4.41 -3.08
Blowout Win% 14.3% 2.4% TOR +0.1
Blowout Loss% 0.0% 30.5% TOR +0.3
QUARTER SCORING
Stat TOR SAC Edge
Q1 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q2 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q3 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta 0.0 0.0
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM No alerts
✓ No alerts — standard lineups expected
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 3 markets
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss
ML
Spread
Total
4 COMPARISON Classified
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss Math Kalshi Pinnacle Class
ML Class E
Spread Class E
Total Class E
5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.

IND @ CHI 2026-04-02T00:00Z
Class E MINIMUM
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: CHI | Away: IND
IND 102.5 — CHI 115.0
Total: 217.4 | Spread: -14.5 | ML: 71.3%
Pace: 99.2 poss | HCA: +2.1 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat CHI IND Edge
ORtg
DRtg
NetRtg
Pace
Record 0-0 0-0
MOV -5.2 -8.0 CHI +2.8
Consistency 14.90 13.20 CHI +1.70
Adj 4 Factors 0.26 0.27 IND -0.01
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat CHI IND Edge
eFG% 54.7% 53.3% CHI +0.014
TOV% 14.8% 14.2% IND -0.006
OREB% 27.9% 26.3% CHI +0.016
FTA Rate 0.246 0.252 IND -0.006
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat CHI IND Edge
Opp eFG% 55.3% 55.6% CHI +0.003
Opp TOV% 12.5% 13.2% IND -0.007
Opp OREB% 29.2% 30.5% CHI +0.013
Opp FTA Rate 0.245 0.282 CHI +0.037
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat CHI IND Edge
eFG Delta -0.7 -1.9 CHI +1.2
ORB Delta -2.8 -2.6 IND -0.2
TOV Delta +1.5 +1.8 IND -0.3
FTR Delta -4.6 +1.1 IND -5.7
Matchup ORtg 116.1 112.7 CHI +3.4
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat CHI IND Edge
Clutch ORtg 109.9 96.0 CHI +13.9
Clutch DRtg 110.4 107.2 IND -3.2
Clutch NetRtg -0.5 -11.2 CHI +10.7
HUSTLE
Stat CHI IND Edge
Deflections 14.3 14.8 IND -0.5
Loose Balls 4.1 4.0 CHI +0.1
Contested 2PT 27.8 27.8 -0.0
Contested 3PT 17.8 14.3 CHI +3.5
Screen Assists 6.3 6.7 IND -0.4
Charges Drawn 0.6 0.3 CHI +0.3
REST & FATIGUE
Stat CHI IND Edge
B2B Win% 40.0% 0.0% CHI +0.400
1-Day Rest Win% 41.5% 28.9% CHI +0.126
3+ Day Rest Win% 50.0% 0.0% CHI +0.500
Rest Advantage 1d / fat 50.86 2d / fat 27.48 -0.7 pts
SHOOTING
Stat CHI IND Edge
FG% 46.9% 45.8% CHI +0.011
3PT% 35.6% 35.6% -0.000
3PT Rate 44.3% 42.2% CHI +0.021
FG3A/game 40.1 37.6 CHI +2.5
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat CHI IND Edge
Opp PPG 121.5 120.4 IND -1.1
Opp FG% 47.8% 48.9% CHI +0.011
Opp 3P% 36.8% 35.5% IND -0.013
Opp TOV 13.0 13.5 IND -0.5
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat CHI IND Edge
Home ORtg 111.8 111.4 CHI +0.4
Home DRtg 115.8 116.9 CHI +1.1
Home NetRtg -3.9 -5.5 CHI +1.6
Road ORtg 112.4 108.7 CHI +3.7
Road NetRtg -6.6 -10.1 CHI +3.5
RECENT FORM
Stat CHI IND Edge
L5 ORtg 109.3 106.6 CHI +2.7
L5 DRtg 112.3 111.3 IND -1.0
L5 NetRtg -3.0 -4.7 CHI +1.7
L10 ORtg 108.8 114.2 IND -5.4
L10 NetRtg -10.6 -1.5 IND -9.1
Sagarin Overall 83.77 83.63 CHI +0.14
Sagarin Predictor 83.76 83.83 IND -0.07
Sagarin Strong Recent 82.31 84.02 IND -1.71
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) -1.45 +0.19 IND -1.64
DRatings Overall -0.52 -0.74 CHI +0.23
DRatings Inference -0.67 -0.81 CHI +0.14
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) -0.15 -0.07 IND -0.09
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat CHI IND Edge
Margin Std Dev 15.2 13.5 CHI +1.7
Skewness -0.05 0.56
Kurtosis -3.07 -3.06
Blowout Win% 9.8% 7.3% +0.0
Blowout Loss% 26.8% 35.4% CHI +0.1
QUARTER SCORING
Stat CHI IND Edge
Q1 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q2 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q3 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta 0.0 0.0
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM No alerts
✓ No alerts — standard lineups expected
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 3 markets
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss
ML
Spread
Total
4 COMPARISON Classified
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss Math Kalshi Pinnacle Class
ML Class E
Spread Class E
Total Class E
5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.

MIL @ HOU 2026-04-02T00:00Z
Class E MINIMUM
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: HOU | Away: MIL
MIL 95.7 — HOU 100.3
Total: 195.9 | Spread: -6.5 | ML: 60.0%
Pace: 94.7 poss | HCA: +1.9 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat HOU MIL Edge
ORtg
DRtg
NetRtg
Pace
Record 0-0 0-0
MOV -2.5 -6.2 HOU +3.7
Consistency 0.00 17.00 MIL -17.00
Adj 4 Factors 0.29 0.23 HOU +0.06
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat HOU MIL Edge
eFG% 54.2% 56.5% MIL -0.023
TOV% 15.7% 15.4% MIL -0.003
OREB% 38.8% 26.3% HOU +0.125
FTA Rate 0.260 0.223 HOU +0.037
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat HOU MIL Edge
Opp eFG% 53.0% 55.8% HOU +0.028
Opp TOV% 13.7% 13.2% HOU +0.005
Opp OREB% 29.9% 30.5% HOU +0.006
Opp FTA Rate 0.251 0.274 HOU +0.023
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat HOU MIL Edge
eFG Delta -1.6 +3.4 MIL -5.0
ORB Delta +8.3 -4.3 HOU +12.6
TOV Delta +2.6 +1.5 HOU +1.1
FTR Delta -1.5 -2.6 HOU +1.1
Matchup ORtg 119.9 109.4 HOU +10.5
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat HOU MIL Edge
Clutch ORtg 108.2 116.1 MIL -7.9
Clutch DRtg 117.0 109.0 MIL -8.0
Clutch NetRtg -8.8 +7.1 MIL -15.9
HUSTLE
Stat HOU MIL Edge
Deflections 16.8 16.6 HOU +0.2
Loose Balls 5.0 3.7 HOU +1.3
Contested 2PT 26.1 22.1 HOU +4.0
Contested 3PT 15.6 15.1 HOU +0.5
Screen Assists 6.3 6.3 -0.0
Charges Drawn 0.2 0.2 +0.0
REST & FATIGUE
Stat HOU MIL Edge
B2B Win% 33.3% 33.3% 0.000
1-Day Rest Win% 67.5% 38.5% HOU +0.290
3+ Day Rest Win% 60.0% 66.7% MIL -0.067
Rest Advantage 2d / fat 27.77 2d / fat 38.22 +0.3 pts
SHOOTING
Stat HOU MIL Edge
FG% 40.9% 47.7% MIL -0.068
3PT% 30.1% 38.7% MIL -0.085
3PT Rate 38.6% 45.7% MIL -0.071
FG3A/game 33.2 39.1 MIL -5.9
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat HOU MIL Edge
Opp PPG 110.0 116.8 HOU +6.8
Opp FG% 46.0% 47.3% HOU +0.013
Opp 3P% 35.1% 37.5% HOU +0.024
Opp TOV 13.4 13.1 HOU +0.3
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat HOU MIL Edge
Home ORtg 117.6 115.3 HOU +2.3
Home DRtg 109.8 119.2 HOU +9.4
Home NetRtg +7.8 -3.9 HOU +11.7
Road ORtg 117.4 109.0 HOU +8.4
Road NetRtg +3.0 -8.3 HOU +11.3
RECENT FORM
Stat HOU MIL Edge
L5 ORtg 123.6 115.6 HOU +8.0
L5 DRtg 112.7 119.0 HOU +6.3
L5 NetRtg +10.9 -3.4 HOU +14.3
L10 ORtg 126.8 113.1 HOU +13.7
L10 NetRtg +16.0 -7.3 HOU +23.3
Sagarin Overall 94.18 83.45 HOU +10.73
Sagarin Predictor 94.33 83.07 HOU +11.26
Sagarin Strong Recent 92.82 80.46 HOU +12.36
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) -1.51 -2.61 HOU +1.10
DRatings Overall 0.41 -0.48 HOU +0.89
DRatings Inference 0.39 -0.67 HOU +1.06
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) -0.02 -0.19 HOU +0.18
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat HOU MIL Edge
Margin Std Dev 13.5 16.6 MIL -3.1
Skewness 0.59 -0.21
Kurtosis -5.13 -3.09
Blowout Win% 16.7% 13.4% +0.0
Blowout Loss% 16.7% 31.7% HOU +0.2
QUARTER SCORING
Stat HOU MIL Edge
Q1 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q2 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q3 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta 0.0 0.0
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM No alerts
✓ No alerts — standard lineups expected
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 3 markets
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss
ML
Spread
Total
4 COMPARISON Classified
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss Math Kalshi Pinnacle Class
ML Class E
Spread Class E
Total Class E
5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.

DEN @ UTA 2026-04-02T01:00Z
Class E MINIMUM
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: UTA | Away: DEN
DEN 118.2 — UTA 96.0
Total: 214.2 | Spread: +20.5 | ML: 21.7%
Pace: 98.1 poss | HCA: +1.6 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat UTA DEN Edge
ORtg
DRtg
NetRtg
Pace
Record 0-0 0-0
MOV -8.4 -4.5 DEN -3.9
Consistency 16.20 0.00 UTA +16.20
Adj 4 Factors 0.21 0.36 DEN -0.15
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat UTA DEN Edge
eFG% 53.6% 57.7% DEN -0.041
TOV% 14.9% 12.8% DEN -0.021
OREB% 29.8% 28.6% UTA +0.012
FTA Rate 0.277 0.294 DEN -0.017
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat UTA DEN Edge
Opp eFG% 57.8% 54.3% DEN -0.035
Opp TOV% 14.0% 11.7% UTA +0.023
Opp OREB% 30.7% 28.3% DEN -0.024
Opp FTA Rate 0.292 0.254 DEN -0.038
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat UTA DEN Edge
eFG Delta -0.6 -0.1 DEN -0.5
ORB Delta +1.6 -2.7 UTA +4.3
TOV Delta +3.3 -1.1 UTA +4.4
FTR Delta +2.7 +0.2 UTA +2.5
Matchup ORtg 114.4 126.9 DEN -12.5
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat UTA DEN Edge
Clutch ORtg 106.4 117.4 DEN -11.0
Clutch DRtg 110.7 120.6 UTA +9.9
Clutch NetRtg -4.3 -3.2 DEN -1.1
HUSTLE
Stat UTA DEN Edge
Deflections 17.4 14.4 UTA +3.0
Loose Balls 4.0 3.5 UTA +0.5
Contested 2PT 21.2 22.0 DEN -0.9
Contested 3PT 17.1 14.9 UTA +2.2
Screen Assists 8.7 8.7 DEN -0.1
Charges Drawn 0.3 0.3 -0.0
REST & FATIGUE
Stat UTA DEN Edge
B2B Win% 60.0% 50.0% UTA +0.100
1-Day Rest Win% 12.8% 67.6% DEN -0.548
3+ Day Rest Win% 75.0% 33.3% UTA +0.417
Rest Advantage 0d / fat 47.31 1d / fat 25.25 -0.7 pts
SHOOTING
Stat UTA DEN Edge
FG% 46.7% 43.6% UTA +0.031
3PT% 34.5% 31.1% UTA +0.034
3PT Rate 40.3% 38.6% UTA +0.017
FG3A/game 36.7 32.2 UTA +4.5
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat UTA DEN Edge
Opp PPG 126.0 116.9 DEN -9.1
Opp FG% 49.4% 46.8% DEN -0.026
Opp 3P% 37.2% 34.9% DEN -0.023
Opp TOV 14.6 11.8 UTA +2.8
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat UTA DEN Edge
Home ORtg 115.8 120.7 DEN -4.9
Home DRtg 120.8 115.1 DEN -5.7
Home NetRtg -5.1 +5.7 DEN -10.8
Road ORtg 109.5 121.7 DEN -12.2
Road NetRtg -11.3 +4.7 DEN -16.0
RECENT FORM
Stat UTA DEN Edge
L5 ORtg 108.6 128.7 DEN -20.1
L5 DRtg 121.0 117.5 DEN -3.5
L5 NetRtg -12.4 +11.1 DEN -23.5
L10 ORtg 108.7 128.0 DEN -19.3
L10 NetRtg -13.6 +10.6 DEN -24.2
Sagarin Overall 80.91 94.92 DEN -14.01
Sagarin Predictor 80.87 95.08 DEN -14.21
Sagarin Strong Recent 80.14 93.75 DEN -13.61
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) -0.73 -1.33 UTA +0.60
DRatings Overall -0.84 0.49 DEN -1.32
DRatings Inference -0.91 0.57 DEN -1.48
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) -0.08 +0.08 DEN -0.16
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat UTA DEN Edge
Margin Std Dev 16.7 13.1 UTA +3.6
Skewness 0.34 0.58
Kurtosis -3.06 -5.55
Blowout Win% 6.1% 0.0% UTA +0.1
Blowout Loss% 34.2% 33.3% -0.0
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM No alerts
✓ No alerts — standard lineups expected
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 3 markets
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss
ML
Spread
Total
4 COMPARISON Classified
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss Math Kalshi Pinnacle Class
ML Class E
Spread Class E
Total Class E
5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.

SAS @ GSW 2026-04-02T02:00Z
Class E MINIMUM
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: GSW | Away: SAS
SAS 100.7 — GSW 106.4
Total: 207.1 | Spread: -7.8 | ML: 62.0%
Pace: 97.6 poss | HCA: +2.1 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat GSW SAS Edge
ORtg
DRtg
NetRtg
Pace
Record 0-0 0-0
MOV -0.6 12.9 SAS -13.5
Consistency 15.00 0.00 GSW +15.00
Adj 4 Factors 0.28 0.32 SAS -0.04
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat GSW SAS Edge
eFG% 54.9% 55.9% SAS -0.010
TOV% 15.6% 13.3% SAS -0.023
OREB% 30.2% 30.6% SAS -0.004
FTA Rate 0.238 0.274 SAS -0.036
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat GSW SAS Edge
Opp eFG% 55.3% 52.2% SAS -0.031
Opp TOV% 15.8% 12.8% GSW +0.030
Opp OREB% 31.6% 27.6% SAS -0.040
Opp FTA Rate 0.247 0.228 SAS -0.019
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat GSW SAS Edge
eFG Delta +2.8 +0.9 GSW +1.9
ORB Delta +2.8 -1.0 GSW +3.8
TOV Delta +2.6 -2.4 GSW +5.0
FTR Delta +0.6 +3.0 SAS -2.4
Matchup ORtg 109.3 117.5 SAS -8.2
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat GSW SAS Edge
Clutch ORtg 115.1 122.6 SAS -7.5
Clutch DRtg 112.5 114.4 GSW +1.9
Clutch NetRtg +2.7 +8.3 SAS -5.6
HUSTLE
Stat GSW SAS Edge
Deflections 19.1 15.7 GSW +3.5
Loose Balls 5.0 4.1 GSW +0.9
Contested 2PT 25.3 27.6 SAS -2.3
Contested 3PT 15.2 14.8 GSW +0.4
Screen Assists 7.5 8.1 SAS -0.5
Charges Drawn 0.6 0.3 GSW +0.3
REST & FATIGUE
Stat GSW SAS Edge
B2B Win% 40.0% 80.0% SAS -0.400
1-Day Rest Win% 47.2% 82.5% SAS -0.353
3+ Day Rest Win% 20.0% 100.0% SAS -0.800
Rest Advantage 1d / fat 46.76 1d / fat 50.00 +0.1 pts
SHOOTING
Stat GSW SAS Edge
FG% 46.1% 48.4% SAS -0.022
3PT% 35.6% 37.3% SAS -0.017
3PT Rate 49.7% 37.3% GSW +0.124
FG3A/game 44.1 31.9 GSW +12.2
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat GSW SAS Edge
Opp PPG 115.2 111.5 SAS -3.7
Opp FG% 48.0% 45.1% SAS -0.029
Opp 3P% 36.0% 35.2% SAS -0.008
Opp TOV 15.9 13.0 GSW +2.9
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat GSW SAS Edge
Home ORtg 116.8 120.0 SAS -3.2
Home DRtg 115.7 111.6 SAS -4.1
Home NetRtg +1.1 +8.4 SAS -7.3
Road ORtg 110.9 117.9 SAS -7.0
Road NetRtg -2.1 +8.4 SAS -10.5
RECENT FORM
Stat GSW SAS Edge
L5 ORtg 116.5 121.4 SAS -4.9
L5 DRtg 121.6 116.2 SAS -5.4
L5 NetRtg -5.1 +5.2 SAS -10.3
L10 ORtg 113.7 123.1 SAS -9.4
L10 NetRtg -6.3 +13.2 SAS -19.5
Sagarin Overall 88.05 100.08 SAS -12.03
Sagarin Predictor 88.25 99.92 SAS -11.67
Sagarin Strong Recent 84.20 102.27 SAS -18.07
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) -4.05 +2.35 SAS -6.40
DRatings Overall -0.13 0.89 SAS -1.02
DRatings Inference -0.23 1.13 SAS -1.36
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) -0.10 +0.25 SAS -0.34
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat GSW SAS Edge
Margin Std Dev 14.8 14.2 GSW +0.6
Skewness 0.17 0.36
Kurtosis -3.08 -3.97
Blowout Win% 15.8% 40.0% SAS -0.2
Blowout Loss% 14.6% 0.0% SAS -0.1
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM No alerts
✓ No alerts — standard lineups expected
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 3 markets
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss
ML
Spread
Total
4 COMPARISON Classified
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss Math Kalshi Pinnacle Class
ML Class E
Spread Class E
Total Class E
5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.