1
DATA & MATCHUP CARD
11AM
✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: DET | Away: CLE
CLE 102.9 — DET 110.4
Total: 213.3 | Spread: -10.0 | ML: 65.2%
Pace: 97.3 poss | HCA: +2.5 pts
| EFFICIENCY RATINGS |
| Stat |
DET |
CLE |
Edge |
| ORtg |
117.3 |
118.3 |
CLE -1.0 |
| DRtg |
108.9 |
114.1 |
DET +5.2 |
| NetRtg |
+8.4 |
+4.1 |
DET +4.3 |
| Pace |
99.9 |
100.7 |
CLE -0.8 |
| Record |
60-22 |
52-30 |
— |
| MOV |
3.4 |
0.7 |
DET +2.7 |
| Consistency |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
| Adj 4 Factors |
0.27 |
0.36 |
CLE -0.09 |
| FOUR FACTORS (offense) |
| Stat |
DET |
CLE |
Edge |
| eFG% |
54.6% |
56.1% |
CLE -0.015 |
| TOV% |
15.1% |
13.8% |
CLE -0.013 |
| OREB% |
35.4% |
30.7% |
DET +0.047 |
| FTA Rate |
0.292 |
0.265 |
DET +0.027 |
| FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better) |
| Stat |
DET |
CLE |
Edge |
| Opp eFG% |
51.7% |
54.3% |
DET +0.026 |
| Opp TOV% |
16.8% |
14.9% |
DET +0.019 |
| Opp OREB% |
31.1% |
30.8% |
CLE -0.003 |
| Opp FTA Rate |
0.319 |
0.263 |
CLE -0.056 |
| MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def) |
| Stat |
DET |
CLE |
Edge |
| eFG Delta |
+0.3 |
+4.4 |
CLE -4.1 |
| ORB Delta |
+4.6 |
-0.4 |
DET +5.0 |
| TOV Delta |
+0.2 |
-3.0 |
DET +3.2 |
| FTR Delta |
+2.9 |
-5.4 |
DET +8.3 |
| Matchup ORtg |
116.7 |
112.5 |
DET +4.2 |
| CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5) |
| Stat |
DET |
CLE |
Edge |
| Clutch ORtg |
111.2 |
116.9 |
CLE -5.7 |
| Clutch DRtg |
102.1 |
102.4 |
DET +0.3 |
| Clutch NetRtg |
+9.1 |
+14.5 |
CLE -5.4 |
| HUSTLE |
| Stat |
DET |
CLE |
Edge |
| Deflections |
20.5 |
19.1 |
DET +1.4 |
| Loose Balls |
5.5 |
4.5 |
DET +1.0 |
| Contested 2PT |
26.0 |
25.8 |
DET +0.1 |
| Contested 3PT |
16.4 |
15.3 |
DET +1.1 |
| Screen Assists |
7.0 |
7.4 |
CLE -0.4 |
| Charges Drawn |
0.2 |
0.2 |
-0.0 |
| REST & FATIGUE |
| Stat |
DET |
CLE |
Edge |
| B2B Win% |
100.0% |
66.7% |
DET +0.333 |
| 1-Day Rest Win% |
66.7% |
71.4% |
CLE -0.047 |
| 3+ Day Rest Win% |
80.0% |
40.0% |
DET +0.400 |
| Rest Advantage |
1d / fat 20.04 |
1d / fat 12.81 |
-0.2 pts |
| SHOOTING |
| Stat |
DET |
CLE |
Edge |
| FG% |
48.5% |
48.2% |
DET +0.003 |
| 3PT% |
35.6% |
36.0% |
CLE -0.004 |
| 3PT Rate |
34.5% |
44.2% |
CLE -0.097 |
| FG3A/game |
30.9 |
39.8 |
CLE -8.9 |
| OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows) |
| Stat |
DET |
CLE |
Edge |
| Opp PPG |
109.6 |
115.4 |
DET +5.8 |
| Opp FG% |
44.3% |
46.4% |
DET +0.021 |
| Opp 3P% |
34.5% |
37.2% |
DET +0.027 |
| Opp TOV |
16.9 |
15.0 |
DET +1.9 |
| HOME/AWAY SPLITS |
| Stat |
DET |
CLE |
Edge |
| Home ORtg |
117.4 |
118.3 |
CLE -0.9 |
| Home DRtg |
106.6 |
114.0 |
DET +7.4 |
| Home NetRtg |
+10.8 |
+4.3 |
DET +6.5 |
| Road ORtg |
117.1 |
118.3 |
CLE -1.2 |
| Road NetRtg |
+5.9 |
+4.0 |
DET +1.9 |
| RECENT FORM |
| Stat |
DET |
CLE |
Edge |
| L5 ORtg |
124.9 |
120.4 |
DET +4.5 |
| L5 DRtg |
111.6 |
116.1 |
DET +4.5 |
| L5 NetRtg |
+13.3 |
+4.3 |
DET +9.0 |
| L10 ORtg |
120.1 |
120.0 |
DET +0.1 |
| L10 NetRtg |
+12.3 |
+2.8 |
DET +9.5 |
| Sagarin Overall |
97.20 |
94.55 |
DET +2.65 |
| Sagarin Predictor |
97.20 |
94.43 |
DET +2.77 |
| Sagarin Strong Recent |
97.57 |
94.03 |
DET +3.54 |
| Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) |
+0.37 |
-0.40 |
DET +0.77 |
| DRatings Overall |
0.64 |
0.49 |
DET +0.15 |
| DRatings Inference |
0.80 |
0.50 |
DET +0.30 |
| DR Trend (Inf-Overall) |
+0.16 |
+0.01 |
DET +0.15 |
| VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS |
| Stat |
DET |
CLE |
Edge |
| Margin Std Dev |
11.8 |
11.3 |
DET +0.5 |
| Skewness |
0.12 |
-0.80 |
— |
| Kurtosis |
-3.94 |
-3.81 |
— |
| Blowout Win% |
18.2% |
0.0% |
DET +0.2 |
| Blowout Loss% |
0.0% |
9.1% |
DET +0.1 |
| QUARTER SCORING |
| Stat |
DET |
CLE |
Edge |
| Q1 Avg |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Q2 Avg |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Q3 Avg |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Q4 Avg |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Q4 vs Q1 Delta |
0.0 |
0.0 |
— |
2
RESEARCH INTEL
5PM
No alerts
✓ No alerts — standard lineups expected
3
BLIND ANALYSIS
T-30
3 markets
| Market |
Sonnet |
Gemini |
gpt-oss |
| ML |
— |
— |
— |
| Spread |
— |
— |
— |
| Total |
— |
— |
— |
4
COMPARISON
Classified
| Market |
Sonnet |
Gemini |
gpt-oss |
Math |
Kalshi |
Pinnacle |
Class |
| ML |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Class E |
| Spread |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Class E |
| Total |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
— |
Class E |
5
OPUS VERDICT
Pending
6
RESULT
Awaiting
Game hasn't finished yet.