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« 2026-05-09 2026-05-11 2026-05-13 » 2 games
DET @ CLE 2026-05-12T00:00:00Z
Class E MINIMUM
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: CLE | Away: DET
DET 110.4 — CLE 103.0
Total: 213.4 | Spread: +7.3 | ML: 38.8%
Pace: 97.3 poss | HCA: +0.1 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat CLE DET Edge
ORtg — — —
DRtg — — —
NetRtg — — —
Pace — — —
Record 0-0 0-0 —
MOV 1.0 2.7 DET -1.7
Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00
Adj 4 Factors 0.36 0.25 CLE +0.11
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat CLE DET Edge
eFG% 56.1% 54.6% CLE +0.015
TOV% 13.8% 15.1% CLE +0.013
OREB% 30.7% 35.4% DET -0.047
FTA Rate 0.265 0.292 DET -0.027
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat CLE DET Edge
Opp eFG% 54.3% 51.7% DET -0.026
Opp TOV% 14.9% 16.8% DET -0.019
Opp OREB% 30.8% 31.1% CLE +0.003
Opp FTA Rate 0.263 0.319 CLE +0.056
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat CLE DET Edge
eFG Delta +4.4 +0.3 CLE +4.1
ORB Delta -0.4 +4.6 DET -5.0
TOV Delta -3.0 +0.2 DET -3.2
FTR Delta -5.4 +2.9 DET -8.3
Matchup ORtg 112.5 116.7 DET -4.2
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat CLE DET Edge
Clutch ORtg 116.9 111.2 CLE +5.7
Clutch DRtg 102.4 102.1 DET -0.3
Clutch NetRtg +14.5 +9.1 CLE +5.4
HUSTLE
Stat CLE DET Edge
Deflections 19.1 20.5 DET -1.4
Loose Balls 4.5 5.5 DET -1.0
Contested 2PT 25.8 26.0 DET -0.1
Contested 3PT 15.3 16.4 DET -1.1
Screen Assists 7.4 7.0 CLE +0.4
Charges Drawn 0.2 0.2 +0.0
REST & FATIGUE
Stat CLE DET Edge
B2B Win% 66.7% 100.0% DET -0.333
1-Day Rest Win% 71.4% 66.7% CLE +0.047
3+ Day Rest Win% 40.0% 80.0% DET -0.400
Rest Advantage 1d / fat 13.75 1d / fat 24.83 +0.3 pts
SHOOTING
Stat CLE DET Edge
FG% 46.8% 45.0% CLE +0.017
3PT% 34.2% 35.6% DET -0.014
3PT Rate 45.8% 34.2% CLE +0.116
FG3A/game 37.6 28.6 CLE +9.0
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat CLE DET Edge
Opp PPG 115.4 109.6 DET -5.8
Opp FG% 46.4% 44.3% DET -0.021
Opp 3P% 37.2% 34.5% DET -0.027
Opp TOV 15.0 16.9 DET -1.9
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat CLE DET Edge
Home ORtg 118.3 117.4 CLE +0.9
Home DRtg 114.0 106.6 DET -7.4
Home NetRtg +4.3 +10.8 DET -6.5
Road ORtg 118.3 117.1 CLE +1.2
Road NetRtg +4.0 +5.9 DET -1.9
RECENT FORM
Stat CLE DET Edge
L5 ORtg 120.4 124.9 DET -4.5
L5 DRtg 116.1 111.6 DET -4.5
L5 NetRtg +4.3 +13.3 DET -9.0
L10 ORtg 120.0 120.1 DET -0.1
L10 NetRtg +2.8 +12.3 DET -9.5
Sagarin Overall 94.80 96.95 DET -2.15
Sagarin Predictor 94.60 97.04 DET -2.44
Sagarin Strong Recent 94.72 96.84 DET -2.12
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) +0.12 -0.20 CLE +0.32
DRatings Overall 0.51 0.62 DET -0.12
DRatings Inference 0.53 0.77 DET -0.24
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) +0.02 +0.15 DET -0.12
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat CLE DET Edge
Margin Std Dev 10.8 11.4 DET -0.6
Skewness -0.91 0.28 —
Kurtosis -3.68 -3.83 —
Blowout Win% 0.0% 16.7% DET -0.2
Blowout Loss% 8.3% 0.0% DET -0.1
QUARTER SCORING
Stat CLE DET Edge
Q1 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q2 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q3 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta 0.0 0.0 —
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM 4 alerts
Detroit Pistons: **Detroit Pistons Injury Report - May 11, 2026 (Game 4 @ Cavaliers)**[[1]](https://ak-static.cms.nba.com/referee/injury/Injury-Report_2026-05-11_03_00PM.pdf)[[2]](https://ak-static.cms.nba.com/referee/injury/Injury-Report_2026-05-11_01_00PM.pdf)[[3]](https://therookiewire.usatoday.com/story/sports/n
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-11 21:03:20
Kevin Huerter: Questionable
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-11 21:03:20
Caris Le: Questionable
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-11 21:03:20
DET update: ruled out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-11 21:03:20
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 3 markets
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss
ML — — —
Spread — — —
Total — — —
4 COMPARISON Classified
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss Math Kalshi Pinnacle Class
ML — — — — — — Class E
Spread — — — — — — Class E
Total — — — — — — Class E
5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.

OKC @ LAL 2026-05-12T02:30:00Z
Class E MINIMUM
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: LAL | Away: OKC
OKC 112.1 — LAL 100.2
Total: 212.2 | Spread: +9.8 | ML: 35.2%
Pace: 96.8 poss | HCA: +2.1 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat LAL OKC Edge
ORtg — — —
DRtg — — —
NetRtg — — —
Pace — — —
Record 0-0 0-0 —
MOV -4.9 16.7 OKC -21.6
Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00
Adj 4 Factors 0.27 0.25 LAL +0.03
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat LAL OKC Edge
eFG% 57.3% 56.1% LAL +0.012
TOV% 14.6% 12.4% OKC -0.022
OREB% 28.5% 26.4% LAL +0.021
FTA Rate 0.320 0.261 LAL +0.059
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat LAL OKC Edge
Opp eFG% 55.5% 51.9% OKC -0.036
Opp TOV% 14.7% 16.5% OKC -0.018
Opp OREB% 30.0% 30.3% LAL +0.003
Opp FTA Rate 0.241 0.248 LAL +0.007
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat LAL OKC Edge
eFG Delta +5.4 +0.6 LAL +4.8
ORB Delta -1.8 -3.6 LAL +1.8
TOV Delta -1.9 -2.3 LAL +0.4
FTR Delta +7.2 +2.0 LAL +5.2
Matchup ORtg 108.8 118.4 OKC -9.6
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat LAL OKC Edge
Clutch ORtg 129.3 124.5 LAL +4.8
Clutch DRtg 103.3 100.7 OKC -2.6
Clutch NetRtg +26.0 +23.8 LAL +2.2
HUSTLE
Stat LAL OKC Edge
Deflections 17.1 20.7 OKC -3.7
Loose Balls 4.1 4.5 OKC -0.4
Contested 2PT 22.0 27.3 OKC -5.3
Contested 3PT 14.4 19.0 OKC -4.6
Screen Assists 8.8 8.2 LAL +0.6
Charges Drawn 0.7 0.5 LAL +0.2
REST & FATIGUE
Stat LAL OKC Edge
B2B Win% 66.7% 33.3% LAL +0.334
1-Day Rest Win% 61.5% 83.3% OKC -0.218
3+ Day Rest Win% 80.0% 100.0% OKC -0.200
Rest Advantage 0d / fat 66.70 0d / fat 59.30 -0.2 pts
SHOOTING
Stat LAL OKC Edge
FG% 47.2% 51.0% OKC -0.038
3PT% 38.5% 38.4% LAL +0.002
3PT Rate 34.8% 41.8% OKC -0.070
FG3A/game 27.0 36.5 OKC -9.5
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat LAL OKC Edge
Opp PPG 114.6 107.9 OKC -6.7
Opp FG% 48.3% 43.7% OKC -0.046
Opp 3P% 35.2% 36.9% LAL +0.017
Opp TOV 14.6 16.7 OKC -2.1
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat LAL OKC Edge
Home ORtg 117.8 117.5 LAL +0.3
Home DRtg 114.2 105.8 OKC -8.4
Home NetRtg +3.6 +11.7 OKC -8.1
Road ORtg 116.2 118.1 OKC -1.9
Road NetRtg -0.6 +10.8 OKC -11.4
RECENT FORM
Stat LAL OKC Edge
L5 ORtg 116.0 120.7 OKC -4.7
L5 DRtg 111.3 112.9 LAL +1.6
L5 NetRtg +4.6 +7.8 OKC -3.2
L10 ORtg 116.5 120.7 OKC -4.2
L10 NetRtg +3.2 +10.8 OKC -7.6
Sagarin Overall 92.92 101.77 OKC -8.85
Sagarin Predictor 92.81 101.87 OKC -9.06
Sagarin Strong Recent 93.00 102.36 OKC -9.36
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) +0.19 +0.49 OKC -0.30
DRatings Overall 0.32 1.05 OKC -0.73
DRatings Inference 0.37 1.15 OKC -0.78
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) +0.05 +0.10 OKC -0.05
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat LAL OKC Edge
Margin Std Dev 14.6 9.3 LAL +5.2
Skewness 0.33 1.01 —
Kurtosis -4.02 -4.12 —
Blowout Win% 10.0% 50.0% OKC -0.4
Blowout Loss% 40.0% 0.0% OKC -0.4
QUARTER SCORING
Stat LAL OKC Edge
Q1 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q2 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q3 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta 0.0 0.0 —
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM No alerts
✓ No alerts — standard lineups expected
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 3 markets
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss
ML — — —
Spread — — —
Total — — —
4 COMPARISON Classified
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss Math Kalshi Pinnacle Class
ML — — — — — — Class E
Spread — — — — — — Class E
Total — — — — — — Class E
5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.