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« 2026-05-01 2026-05-03 2026-05-04 » 2 games
ORL @ DET 2026-05-03T19:30:00Z
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: DET | Away: ORL
ORL 105.3 — DET 109.9
Total: 215.2 | Spread: -7.0 | ML: 60.7%
Pace: 97.2 poss | HCA: +2.5 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat DET ORL Edge
ORtg
DRtg
NetRtg
Pace
Record 0-0 0-0
MOV 2.7 -4.7 DET +7.4
Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00
Adj 4 Factors 0.25 0.36 ORL -0.10
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat DET ORL Edge
eFG% 54.6% 53.1% DET +0.015
TOV% 15.1% 14.0% ORL -0.011
OREB% 35.4% 30.6% DET +0.048
FTA Rate 0.292 0.311 ORL -0.019
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat DET ORL Edge
Opp eFG% 51.7% 54.5% DET +0.028
Opp TOV% 16.8% 14.7% DET +0.021
Opp OREB% 31.1% 29.0% ORL -0.021
Opp FTA Rate 0.319 0.285 ORL -0.034
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat DET ORL Edge
eFG Delta +0.1 +1.4 ORL -1.3
ORB Delta +6.4 -0.5 DET +6.9
TOV Delta +0.4 -2.8 DET +3.2
FTR Delta +0.7 -0.8 DET +1.5
Matchup ORtg 116.2 108.4 DET +7.8
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat DET ORL Edge
Clutch ORtg 111.2 107.3 DET +3.9
Clutch DRtg 102.1 106.0 DET +3.9
Clutch NetRtg +9.1 +1.3 DET +7.8
HUSTLE
Stat DET ORL Edge
Deflections 20.5 16.9 DET +3.6
Loose Balls 5.5 4.2 DET +1.3
Contested 2PT 26.0 25.5 DET +0.4
Contested 3PT 16.4 15.2 DET +1.2
Screen Assists 7.0 7.2 ORL -0.2
Charges Drawn 0.2 0.3 ORL -0.1
REST & FATIGUE
Stat DET ORL Edge
B2B Win% 100.0% 100.0% 0.000
1-Day Rest Win% 66.7% 51.2% DET +0.155
3+ Day Rest Win% 80.0% 50.0% DET +0.300
Rest Advantage 1d / fat 19.58 1d / fat 19.58 0.0 pts
SHOOTING
Stat DET ORL Edge
FG% 45.0% 39.7% DET +0.053
3PT% 35.6% 32.8% DET +0.028
3PT Rate 34.2% 40.8% ORL -0.065
FG3A/game 28.6 34.0 ORL -5.4
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat DET ORL Edge
Opp PPG 109.6 115.1 DET +5.5
Opp FG% 44.3% 47.6% DET +0.033
Opp 3P% 34.5% 35.3% DET +0.008
Opp TOV 16.9 14.9 DET +2.0
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat DET ORL Edge
Home ORtg 117.4 115.0 DET +2.4
Home DRtg 106.6 113.4 DET +6.8
Home NetRtg +10.8 +1.6 DET +9.2
Road ORtg 117.1 113.5 DET +3.6
Road NetRtg +5.9 +0.1 DET +5.8
RECENT FORM
Stat DET ORL Edge
L5 ORtg 124.9 115.5 DET +9.4
L5 DRtg 111.6 105.6 ORL -6.0
L5 NetRtg +13.3 +10.0 DET +3.3
L10 ORtg 120.1 111.8 DET +8.3
L10 NetRtg +12.3 -0.3 DET +12.6
Sagarin Overall 96.95 91.88 DET +5.07
Sagarin Predictor 97.04 91.61 DET +5.43
Sagarin Strong Recent 96.84 92.03 DET +4.81
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) -0.20 +0.42 ORL -0.62
DRatings Overall 0.62 0.17 DET +0.45
DRatings Inference 0.77 0.18 DET +0.59
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) +0.15 +0.01 DET +0.13
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat DET ORL Edge
Margin Std Dev 11.4 13.0 ORL -1.6
Skewness 0.28 0.01
Kurtosis -3.83 -4.92
Blowout Win% 16.7% 0.0% DET +0.2
Blowout Loss% 0.0% 28.6% DET +0.3
QUARTER SCORING
Stat DET ORL Edge
Q1 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q2 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q3 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta 0.0 0.0
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM 8 alerts
Detroit Pistons: **Detroit Pistons Injury Report - May 3, 2026 (Game 7 vs. ORL @ 3:30 PM ET)**[[1]](https://ak-static.cms.nba.com/referee/injury/Injury-Report_2026-05-03_02_30PM.pdf)[[2]](https://ak-static.cms.nba.com/referee/injury/Injury-Report_2026-05-03_05_45AM.pdf)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-03 21:19:47
Ruled Out: Ruled Out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-03 21:19:47
Time Decision: Questionable
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-03 21:19:47
Minutes Restrictions: Minutes Restriction
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-03 21:19:47
Orlando Magic: **Orlando Magic Injury Report - May 3, 2026 (Game 7 @ Detroit Pistons)**[[1]](https://www.nba.com/news/live-updates-magic-pistons-raptors-cavaliers-meet-for-decisive-game-7s)[[2]](https://www.nba.com/game/orl-vs-det-0042500107)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-03 21:19:47
Franz Wagner: OUT
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-03 21:19:47
Jonathan Isaac: OUT
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-03 21:19:47
Orlando Magic: game-time decision
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-03 21:19:47
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 Pending

Analysts haven't run yet.

4 COMPARISON Pending

Comparison not run yet.

5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.

TOR @ CLE 2026-05-03T23:30:00Z
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: CLE | Away: TOR
TOR 103.1 — CLE 105.4
Total: 208.5 | Spread: -2.4 | ML: 53.8%
Pace: 97.0 poss | HCA: +0.1 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat CLE TOR Edge
ORtg
DRtg
NetRtg
Pace
Record 0-0 0-0
MOV 1.0 -1.8 CLE +2.8
Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00
Adj 4 Factors 0.36 0.29 CLE +0.08
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat CLE TOR Edge
eFG% 56.1% 54.6% CLE +0.015
TOV% 13.8% 13.7% TOR -0.001
OREB% 30.7% 30.0% CLE +0.007
FTA Rate 0.265 0.265 0.000
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat CLE TOR Edge
Opp eFG% 54.3% 54.0% TOR -0.003
Opp TOV% 14.9% 16.1% TOR -0.012
Opp OREB% 30.8% 30.7% TOR -0.001
Opp FTA Rate 0.263 0.279 CLE +0.016
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat CLE TOR Edge
eFG Delta +2.1 +0.3 CLE +1.8
ORB Delta -0.8
TOV Delta -2.3 -1.2 TOR -1.1
FTR Delta -1.4 +0.2 TOR -1.6
Matchup ORtg 115.7 114.4 CLE +1.3
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat CLE TOR Edge
Clutch ORtg 116.9 106.9 CLE +10.0
Clutch DRtg 102.4 99.1 TOR -3.3
Clutch NetRtg +14.5 +7.7 CLE +6.8
HUSTLE
Stat CLE TOR Edge
Deflections 19.1 20.4 TOR -1.3
Loose Balls 4.5 3.9 CLE +0.6
Contested 2PT 25.8 23.7 CLE +2.1
Contested 3PT 15.3 15.1 CLE +0.2
Screen Assists 7.4 6.9 CLE +0.5
Charges Drawn 0.2 0.3 TOR -0.1
REST & FATIGUE
Stat CLE TOR Edge
B2B Win% 66.7% 33.3% CLE +0.334
1-Day Rest Win% 71.4% 56.8% CLE +0.146
3+ Day Rest Win% 40.0% 100.0% TOR -0.600
Rest Advantage 1d / fat 11.89 1d / fat 11.89 0.0 pts
SHOOTING
Stat CLE TOR Edge
FG% 46.8% 46.5% CLE +0.003
3PT% 34.2% 35.6% TOR -0.014
3PT Rate 45.8% 34.3% CLE +0.116
FG3A/game 37.6 29.7 CLE +7.9
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat CLE TOR Edge
Opp PPG 115.4 111.8 TOR -3.6
Opp FG% 46.4% 46.7% CLE +0.003
Opp 3P% 37.2% 34.9% TOR -0.023
Opp TOV 15.0 16.1 TOR -1.1
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat CLE TOR Edge
Home ORtg 118.3 115.4 CLE +2.9
Home DRtg 114.0 110.9 TOR -3.1
Home NetRtg +4.3 +4.5 TOR -0.2
Road ORtg 118.3 114.5 CLE +3.8
Road NetRtg +4.0 +1.2 CLE +2.8
RECENT FORM
Stat CLE TOR Edge
L5 ORtg 120.4 119.3 CLE +1.1
L5 DRtg 116.1 110.5 TOR -5.6
L5 NetRtg +4.3 +8.8 TOR -4.5
L10 ORtg 120.0 120.8 TOR -0.8
L10 NetRtg +2.8 +12.0 TOR -9.2
Sagarin Overall 94.80 92.77 CLE +2.03
Sagarin Predictor 94.60 93.15 CLE +1.45
Sagarin Strong Recent 94.72 93.29 CLE +1.43
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) +0.12 +0.14 TOR -0.02
DRatings Overall 0.51 0.20 CLE +0.31
DRatings Inference 0.53 0.29 CLE +0.24
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) +0.02 +0.10 TOR -0.07
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat CLE TOR Edge
Margin Std Dev 10.8 12.4 TOR -1.6
Skewness -0.91 1.28
Kurtosis -3.68 -4.41
Blowout Win% 0.0% 14.3% TOR -0.1
Blowout Loss% 8.3% 0.0% TOR -0.1
QUARTER SCORING
Stat CLE TOR Edge
Q1 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q2 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q3 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta 0.0 0.0
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM 14 alerts
Cleveland Cavaliers: **Cleveland Cavaliers Injury Report - May 3, 2026 (Game 7 vs. Toronto Raptors)**[[1]](https://cavs.com/news/preview-torcle-260503)[[2]](https://www.nba.com/news/live-updates-magic-pistons-raptors-cavaliers-meet-for-decisive-game-7s)[[3]](https://www.espn.com/fantasy/basketball/story/_/id/48665245/da
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-03 21:19:47
CLE update: Ruled out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-03 21:19:47
CLE update: Game-time decision
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-03 21:19:47
CLE update: Minutes restriction
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-03 21:19:47
CLE update: Cavs listed as fully healthy.[[5]](https://x.com/i/status/2050992221235954101)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-03 21:19:47
Toronto Raptors: **Toronto Raptors vs. Cavaliers - Game 7 (May 3, 2026, 7:30 PM ET)**[[1]](https://ak-static.cms.nba.com/referee/injury/Injury-Report_2026-05-03_02_30PM.pdf)[[2]](https://www.nba.com/game/tor-vs-cle-0042500137)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-03 21:19:47
Ruled Out: Ruled Out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-03 21:19:47
Immanuel Quickley: - Immanuel Quickley (Right Hamstring Strain)[[1]](https://ak-static.cms.nba.com/referee/injury/Injury-Report_2026-05-03_02_30PM.pdf)[[3]](https://www.espn.com/nba/game/_/gameId/401869384/raptors-cavaliers)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-03 21:19:47
TOR update: Doubtful
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-03 21:19:47
Brandon Ingram: - Brandon Ingram (Right Heel Inflammation)[[1]](https://ak-static.cms.nba.com/referee/injury/Injury-Report_2026-05-03_02_30PM.pdf)[[4]](https://x.com/i/status/2050995495833649641)[[5]](https://x.com/i/status/2050980230823600366)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-03 21:19:47
Brandon Ingram: **Toronto Raptors @ Cleveland Cavaliers, NBA Playoffs Game 7, May 3, 2026, 7:30 PM ET.**[[1]](https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/48651461/nba-playoffs-2026-game-7-preview-celtics-76ers-pistons-magic-cavaliers-raptors)[[2]](https://www.cbssports.com/nba/news/raptors-cavaliers-odds-prediction-spread-
| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-05-03 21:19:47
Brandon Ingram: Questionable
| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-05-03 21:19:47
Brandon Ingram: out
| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-05-03 21:19:47
Brandon Ingram: out
| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-05-03 21:19:47
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 Pending

Analysts haven't run yet.

4 COMPARISON Pending

Comparison not run yet.

5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.