← Dashboard

MMA Pipeline

« 2026-04-30 2026-05-01 2026-05-03 » 3 games
DET @ ORL 2026-05-01T23:00:00Z
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: ORL | Away: DET
DET 109.9 — ORL 105.3
Total: 215.2 | Spread: +3.8 | ML: 44.1%
Pace: 97.2 poss | HCA: +0.8 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat ORL DET Edge
ORtg
DRtg
NetRtg
Pace
Record 0-0 0-0
MOV -4.7 2.7 DET -7.4
Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00
Adj 4 Factors 0.36 0.25 ORL +0.10
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat ORL DET Edge
eFG% 53.1% 54.6% DET -0.015
TOV% 14.0% 15.1% ORL +0.011
OREB% 30.6% 35.4% DET -0.048
FTA Rate 0.311 0.292 ORL +0.019
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat ORL DET Edge
Opp eFG% 54.5% 51.7% DET -0.028
Opp TOV% 14.7% 16.8% DET -0.021
Opp OREB% 29.0% 31.1% ORL +0.021
Opp FTA Rate 0.285 0.319 ORL +0.034
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat ORL DET Edge
eFG Delta +1.4 +0.1 ORL +1.3
ORB Delta -0.5 +6.4 DET -6.9
TOV Delta -2.8 +0.4 DET -3.2
FTR Delta -0.8 +0.7 DET -1.5
Matchup ORtg 108.4 116.2 DET -7.8
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat ORL DET Edge
Clutch ORtg 107.3 111.2 DET -3.9
Clutch DRtg 106.0 102.1 DET -3.9
Clutch NetRtg +1.3 +9.1 DET -7.8
HUSTLE
Stat ORL DET Edge
Deflections 16.9 20.5 DET -3.6
Loose Balls 4.2 5.5 DET -1.3
Contested 2PT 25.5 26.0 DET -0.4
Contested 3PT 15.2 16.4 DET -1.2
Screen Assists 7.2 7.0 ORL +0.2
Charges Drawn 0.3 0.2 ORL +0.1
REST & FATIGUE
Stat ORL DET Edge
B2B Win% 100.0% 100.0% 0.000
1-Day Rest Win% 51.2% 66.7% DET -0.155
3+ Day Rest Win% 50.0% 80.0% DET -0.300
Rest Advantage 1d / fat 19.58 1d / fat 19.58 0.0 pts
SHOOTING
Stat ORL DET Edge
FG% 39.7% 45.0% DET -0.053
3PT% 32.8% 35.6% DET -0.028
3PT Rate 40.8% 34.2% ORL +0.065
FG3A/game 34.0 28.6 ORL +5.4
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat ORL DET Edge
Opp PPG 115.1 109.6 DET -5.5
Opp FG% 47.6% 44.3% DET -0.033
Opp 3P% 35.3% 34.5% DET -0.008
Opp TOV 14.9 16.9 DET -2.0
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat ORL DET Edge
Home ORtg 115.0 117.4 DET -2.4
Home DRtg 113.4 106.6 DET -6.8
Home NetRtg +1.6 +10.8 DET -9.2
Road ORtg 113.5 117.1 DET -3.6
Road NetRtg +0.1 +5.9 DET -5.8
RECENT FORM
Stat ORL DET Edge
L5 ORtg 115.5 124.9 DET -9.4
L5 DRtg 105.6 111.6 ORL +6.0
L5 NetRtg +10.0 +13.3 DET -3.3
L10 ORtg 111.8 120.1 DET -8.3
L10 NetRtg -0.3 +12.3 DET -12.6
Sagarin Overall 91.88 96.95 DET -5.07
Sagarin Predictor 91.61 97.04 DET -5.43
Sagarin Strong Recent 92.03 96.84 DET -4.81
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) +0.42 -0.20 ORL +0.62
DRatings Overall 0.17 0.62 DET -0.45
DRatings Inference 0.18 0.77 DET -0.59
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) +0.01 +0.15 DET -0.13
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat ORL DET Edge
Margin Std Dev 13.0 11.4 ORL +1.6
Skewness 0.01 0.28
Kurtosis -4.92 -3.83
Blowout Win% 0.0% 16.7% DET -0.2
Blowout Loss% 28.6% 0.0% DET -0.3
QUARTER SCORING
Stat ORL DET Edge
Q1 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q2 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q3 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta 0.0 0.0
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM 10 alerts
Orlando Magic: **Orlando Magic vs. Detroit Pistons, Game 6 - May 1, 2026**
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
Ruled Out: Ruled Out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
Franz Wagner: - Franz Wagner (calf strain)[[1]](https://x.com/i/status/2050215086350823933)[[2]](https://x.com/i/status/2050235729486200875)[[3]](https://www.rotowire.com/betting/nba/game/orlando-magic-vs-detroit-pistons-odds-2026-05-01-2976812)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
ORL update: Doubtful
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
Jonathan Isaac: - Jonathan Isaac (knee)[[1]](https://x.com/i/status/2050215086350823933)[[2]](https://x.com/i/status/2050235729486200875)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
Detroit Pistons: **Detroit Pistons Injury Report - May 1, 2026 (Game 6 vs. Orlando Magic)**[[1]](https://www.espn.com/nba/team/injuries/_/name/det/detroit-pistons)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
Ruled Out: Ruled Out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
Time Decisions: Questionable
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
Tobias Harris: - Tobias Harris (F): Left ankle sprain. Participated in shootaround.[[1]](https://www.espn.com/nba/team/injuries/_/name/det/detroit-pistons)[[2]](https://www.rotowire.com/basketball/headlines/tobias-harris-injury-goes-through-shootaround-530205)[[3]](https://x.com/i/status/2050206307722907772)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
Kevin Huerter: - Kevin Huerter (G): Left adductor strain.[[1]](https://www.espn.com/nba/team/injuries/_/name/det/detroit-pistons)[[4]](https://x.com/i/status/2050218892757270960)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 Pending

Analysts haven't run yet.

4 COMPARISON Pending

Comparison not run yet.

5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.

CLE @ TOR 2026-05-01T23:30:00Z
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: TOR | Away: CLE
CLE 105.4 — TOR 103.7
Total: 209.1 | Spread: +0.1 | ML: 49.9%
Pace: 97.0 poss | HCA: +1.6 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat TOR CLE Edge
ORtg
DRtg
NetRtg
Pace
Record 0-0 0-0
MOV -1.8 1.0 CLE -2.8
Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00
Adj 4 Factors 0.29 0.36 CLE -0.08
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat TOR CLE Edge
eFG% 54.6% 56.1% CLE -0.015
TOV% 13.7% 13.8% TOR +0.001
OREB% 30.0% 30.7% CLE -0.007
FTA Rate 0.265 0.265 0.000
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat TOR CLE Edge
Opp eFG% 54.0% 54.3% TOR +0.003
Opp TOV% 16.1% 14.9% TOR +0.012
Opp OREB% 30.7% 30.8% TOR +0.001
Opp FTA Rate 0.279 0.263 CLE -0.016
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat TOR CLE Edge
eFG Delta +0.3 +2.1 CLE -1.8
ORB Delta -0.8
TOV Delta -1.2 -2.3 TOR +1.1
FTR Delta +0.2 -1.4 TOR +1.6
Matchup ORtg 114.4 115.7 CLE -1.3
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat TOR CLE Edge
Clutch ORtg 106.9 116.9 CLE -10.0
Clutch DRtg 99.1 102.4 TOR +3.3
Clutch NetRtg +7.7 +14.5 CLE -6.8
HUSTLE
Stat TOR CLE Edge
Deflections 20.4 19.1 TOR +1.3
Loose Balls 3.9 4.5 CLE -0.6
Contested 2PT 23.7 25.8 CLE -2.1
Contested 3PT 15.1 15.3 CLE -0.2
Screen Assists 6.9 7.4 CLE -0.5
Charges Drawn 0.3 0.2 TOR +0.1
REST & FATIGUE
Stat TOR CLE Edge
B2B Win% 33.3% 66.7% CLE -0.334
1-Day Rest Win% 56.8% 71.4% CLE -0.146
3+ Day Rest Win% 100.0% 40.0% TOR +0.600
Rest Advantage 1d / fat 11.89 1d / fat 11.89 0.0 pts
SHOOTING
Stat TOR CLE Edge
FG% 46.5% 46.8% CLE -0.003
3PT% 35.6% 34.2% TOR +0.014
3PT Rate 34.3% 45.8% CLE -0.116
FG3A/game 29.7 37.6 CLE -7.9
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat TOR CLE Edge
Opp PPG 111.8 115.4 TOR +3.6
Opp FG% 46.7% 46.4% CLE -0.003
Opp 3P% 34.9% 37.2% TOR +0.023
Opp TOV 16.1 15.0 TOR +1.1
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat TOR CLE Edge
Home ORtg 115.4 118.3 CLE -2.9
Home DRtg 110.9 114.0 TOR +3.1
Home NetRtg +4.5 +4.3 TOR +0.2
Road ORtg 114.5 118.3 CLE -3.8
Road NetRtg +1.2 +4.0 CLE -2.8
RECENT FORM
Stat TOR CLE Edge
L5 ORtg 119.3 120.4 CLE -1.1
L5 DRtg 110.5 116.1 TOR +5.6
L5 NetRtg +8.8 +4.3 TOR +4.5
L10 ORtg 120.8 120.0 TOR +0.8
L10 NetRtg +12.0 +2.8 TOR +9.2
Sagarin Overall 92.77 94.80 CLE -2.03
Sagarin Predictor 93.15 94.60 CLE -1.45
Sagarin Strong Recent 93.29 94.72 CLE -1.43
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) +0.14 +0.12 TOR +0.02
DRatings Overall 0.20 0.51 CLE -0.31
DRatings Inference 0.29 0.53 CLE -0.24
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) +0.10 +0.02 TOR +0.07
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat TOR CLE Edge
Margin Std Dev 12.4 10.8 TOR +1.6
Skewness 1.28 -0.91
Kurtosis -4.41 -3.68
Blowout Win% 14.3% 0.0% TOR +0.1
Blowout Loss% 0.0% 8.3% TOR +0.1
QUARTER SCORING
Stat TOR CLE Edge
Q1 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q2 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q3 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta 0.0 0.0
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM 10 alerts
Toronto Raptors: **Toronto Raptors Injury Report vs. Cavaliers (Game 6, May 1, 2026, 7:30 PM ET):[[1]](https://ak-static.cms.nba.com/referee/injury/Injury-Report_2026-05-01_12_45PM.pdf)[[2]](https://www.espn.com/nba/team/injuries/_/name/tor/toronto-raptors)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
Ruled Out: Ruled Out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
Time Decision: Game-Time Decision
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
TOR update: minutes restriction
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
Brandon Ingram: **Brandon Ingram (Toronto Raptors SF)**[[1]](https://www.espn.com/nba/player/_/id/3913176/brandon-ingram)[[2]](https://www.nba.com/player/1627742/brandon-ingram)
| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
Brandon Ingram: - **Tonight's Game**: Raptors vs. Cavaliers, Eastern Conference First Round Game 6, May 1, 2026, 7:30 PM ET (Scotiabank Arena).[[3]](https://www.nba.com/game/cle-vs-tor-0042500136)[[4]](https://www.nba.com/raptors/schedule)
| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
Brandon Ingram: Doubtful
| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
Cleveland Cavaliers: **Cleveland Cavaliers Injury Report**
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
Toronto Raptors: **Game:** vs. Toronto Raptors (Game 6, Playoffs), May 1, 2026 @ 7:30 PM ET[[1]](https://ak-static.cms.nba.com/referee/injury/Injury-Report_2026-05-01_12_45PM.pdf)[[2]](https://www.espn.com/nba/team/injuries/_/name/cle/cleveland-cavaliers)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
CLE update: ruled out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 Pending

Analysts haven't run yet.

4 COMPARISON Pending

Comparison not run yet.

5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.

LAL @ HOU 2026-05-02T01:30:00Z
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: HOU | Away: LAL
LAL 103.7 — HOU 96.8
Total: 200.5 | Spread: +4.5 | ML: 42.9%
Pace: 95.2 poss | HCA: +2.4 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat HOU LAL Edge
ORtg
DRtg
NetRtg
Pace
Record 0-0 0-0
MOV -2.5 -4.9 HOU +2.4
Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00
Adj 4 Factors 0.29 0.27 HOU +0.02
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat HOU LAL Edge
eFG% 54.2% 57.3% LAL -0.031
TOV% 15.7% 14.6% LAL -0.011
OREB% 38.8% 28.5% HOU +0.103
FTA Rate 0.260 0.320 LAL -0.060
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat HOU LAL Edge
Opp eFG% 53.0% 55.5% HOU +0.025
Opp TOV% 13.7% 14.7% LAL -0.010
Opp OREB% 29.9% 30.0% HOU +0.001
Opp FTA Rate 0.251 0.241 LAL -0.010
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat HOU LAL Edge
eFG Delta -1.3 +4.3 LAL -5.6
ORB Delta +8.8 -1.4 HOU +10.2
TOV Delta +1.0 +0.9 HOU +0.1
FTR Delta +1.9 +6.9 LAL -5.0
Matchup ORtg 118.3 114.4 HOU +3.9
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat HOU LAL Edge
Clutch ORtg 108.2 129.3 LAL -21.1
Clutch DRtg 117.0 103.3 LAL -13.7
Clutch NetRtg -8.8 +26.0 LAL -34.8
HUSTLE
Stat HOU LAL Edge
Deflections 16.8 17.1 LAL -0.3
Loose Balls 5.0 4.1 HOU +0.9
Contested 2PT 26.1 22.0 HOU +4.1
Contested 3PT 15.6 14.4 HOU +1.2
Screen Assists 6.3 8.8 LAL -2.5
Charges Drawn 0.2 0.7 LAL -0.6
REST & FATIGUE
Stat HOU LAL Edge
B2B Win% 33.3% 66.7% LAL -0.334
1-Day Rest Win% 67.5% 61.5% HOU +0.060
3+ Day Rest Win% 60.0% 80.0% LAL -0.200
Rest Advantage 0d / fat 53.73 0d / fat 53.73 0.0 pts
SHOOTING
Stat HOU LAL Edge
FG% 40.9% 47.2% LAL -0.063
3PT% 30.1% 38.5% LAL -0.084
3PT Rate 38.6% 34.8% HOU +0.037
FG3A/game 33.2 27.0 HOU +6.2
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat HOU LAL Edge
Opp PPG 110.0 114.6 HOU +4.6
Opp FG% 46.0% 48.3% HOU +0.023
Opp 3P% 35.1% 35.2% HOU +0.001
Opp TOV 13.4 14.6 LAL -1.2
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat HOU LAL Edge
Home ORtg 117.6 117.8 LAL -0.2
Home DRtg 109.8 114.2 HOU +4.4
Home NetRtg +7.8 +3.6 HOU +4.2
Road ORtg 117.4 116.2 HOU +1.2
Road NetRtg +3.0 -0.6 HOU +3.6
RECENT FORM
Stat HOU LAL Edge
L5 ORtg 123.6 116.0 HOU +7.6
L5 DRtg 112.7 111.3 LAL -1.4
L5 NetRtg +10.9 +4.6 HOU +6.3
L10 ORtg 126.8 116.5 HOU +10.3
L10 NetRtg +16.0 +3.2 HOU +12.8
Sagarin Overall 94.18 92.92 HOU +1.26
Sagarin Predictor 94.33 92.81 HOU +1.52
Sagarin Strong Recent 92.82 93.00 LAL -0.18
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) -1.51 +0.19 LAL -1.70
DRatings Overall 0.41 0.32 HOU +0.08
DRatings Inference 0.39 0.37 HOU +0.02
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) -0.02 +0.05 LAL -0.06
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat HOU LAL Edge
Margin Std Dev 13.5 14.6 LAL -1.1
Skewness 0.59 0.33
Kurtosis -5.13 -4.02
Blowout Win% 16.7% 10.0% HOU +0.1
Blowout Loss% 16.7% 40.0% HOU +0.2
QUARTER SCORING
Stat HOU LAL Edge
Q1 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q2 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q3 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta 0.0 0.0
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM 9 alerts
Houston Rockets: **Houston Rockets Injury Report - Game 6 vs. Lakers, May 1, 2026**
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
Ruled Out: Ruled Out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
Kevin Durant: out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
Fred Van: - Fred VanVleet (PG): Right knee (ACL repair).[[3]](https://x.com/i/status/2050215086350823933)[[4]](https://x.com/i/status/2050253346414694454)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
Steven Adams: - Steven Adams (C): Left ankle surgery.[[3]](https://x.com/i/status/2050215086350823933)[[4]](https://x.com/i/status/2050253346414694454)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
Los Angeles: **Los Angeles Lakers Injury Report - Game 6 vs. Houston Rockets (May 1, 2026)**[[1]](https://www.nba.com/lakers/lakers-injury-report)[[2]](https://www.nba.com/gamenotes/lakers.pdf?ls=footer_nav)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
Ruled Out: Ruled Out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
Luka Don: - Luka Dončić (left hamstring strain)[[1]](https://www.nba.com/lakers/lakers-injury-report)[[3]](https://x.com/i/status/2050263813795053752)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
LAL update: game-time decision
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-05-01 21:04:14
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 Pending

Analysts haven't run yet.

4 COMPARISON Pending

Comparison not run yet.

5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.