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« 2026-04-27 2026-04-28 2026-04-30 » 3 games
PHI @ BOS 2026-04-28T23:00:00Z
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: BOS | Away: PHI
PHI 77.4 — BOS 113.7
Total: 191.2 | Spread: -36.4 | ML: 90.7%
Pace: 95.1 poss | HCA: +0.1 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat BOS PHI Edge
ORtg — — —
DRtg — — —
NetRtg — — —
Pace — — —
Record 0-0 0-0 —
MOV 2.9 -9.9 BOS +12.8
Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00
Adj 4 Factors 0.23 0.33 PHI -0.10
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat BOS PHI Edge
eFG% 55.3% 53.0% BOS +0.023
TOV% 12.9% 13.4% BOS +0.005
OREB% 33.6% 30.6% BOS +0.030
FTA Rate 0.207 0.275 PHI -0.068
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat BOS PHI Edge
Opp eFG% 52.3% 54.1% BOS +0.018
Opp TOV% 12.9% 15.2% PHI -0.023
Opp OREB% 29.0% 32.2% BOS +0.032
Opp FTA Rate 0.245 0.270 BOS +0.025
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat BOS PHI Edge
eFG Delta +1.2 +0.7 BOS +0.5
ORB Delta +1.4 +1.6 PHI -0.2
TOV Delta -2.3 +0.5 PHI -2.8
FTR Delta -6.3 +3.0 PHI -9.3
Matchup ORtg 119.7 111.3 BOS +8.4
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat BOS PHI Edge
Clutch ORtg 112.9 115.2 PHI -2.3
Clutch DRtg 110.9 98.6 PHI -12.3
Clutch NetRtg +1.9 +16.6 PHI -14.7
HUSTLE
Stat BOS PHI Edge
Deflections 15.2 20.5 PHI -5.3
Loose Balls 4.0 4.7 PHI -0.7
Contested 2PT 24.1 24.6 PHI -0.5
Contested 3PT 16.4 15.6 BOS +0.8
Screen Assists 9.2 7.1 BOS +2.1
Charges Drawn 0.3 0.2 BOS +0.1
REST & FATIGUE
Stat BOS PHI Edge
B2B Win% 100.0% 50.0% BOS +0.500
1-Day Rest Win% 69.8% 51.4% BOS +0.184
3+ Day Rest Win% 57.1% 75.0% PHI -0.179
Rest Advantage 1d / fat 11.37 1d / fat 11.37 0.0 pts
SHOOTING
Stat BOS PHI Edge
FG% 43.4% 44.8% PHI -0.013
3PT% 33.8% 33.8% -0.000
3PT Rate 52.5% 39.5% BOS +0.130
FG3A/game 46.1 32.8 BOS +13.3
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat BOS PHI Edge
Opp PPG 107.2 116.1 BOS +8.9
Opp FG% 44.2% 46.7% BOS +0.025
Opp 3P% 35.8% 35.3% PHI -0.005
Opp TOV 12.4 15.4 PHI -3.0
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat BOS PHI Edge
Home ORtg 119.7 113.6 BOS +6.1
Home DRtg 111.4 114.8 BOS +3.4
Home NetRtg +8.3 -1.2 BOS +9.5
Road ORtg 120.2 115.0 BOS +5.2
Road NetRtg +8.2 +0.9 BOS +7.3
RECENT FORM
Stat BOS PHI Edge
L5 ORtg 121.4 105.4 BOS +16.0
L5 DRtg 111.1 108.6 PHI -2.5
L5 NetRtg +10.3 -3.2 BOS +13.5
L10 ORtg 124.7 116.0 BOS +8.7
L10 NetRtg +11.7 +3.4 BOS +8.3
Sagarin Overall 96.30 90.20 BOS +6.10
Sagarin Predictor 96.36 89.36 BOS +7.00
Sagarin Strong Recent 97.28 90.93 BOS +6.35
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) +0.92 +1.57 PHI -0.65
DRatings Overall 0.58 0.08 BOS +0.50
DRatings Inference 0.68 0.08 BOS +0.60
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) +0.10 +0.00 BOS +0.10
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat BOS PHI Edge
Margin Std Dev 21.4 20.9 BOS +0.5
Skewness 0.77 -0.06 —
Kurtosis -4.85 -3.95 —
Blowout Win% 28.6% 9.1% BOS +0.2
Blowout Loss% 14.3% 36.4% BOS +0.2
QUARTER SCORING
Stat BOS PHI Edge
Q1 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q2 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q3 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta 0.0 0.0 —
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM 5 alerts
Boston Celtics: **Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics (Game 5, April 28, 2026)**[[1]](https://ak-static.cms.nba.com/referee/injury/Injury-Report_2026-04-28_04_00AM.pdf)[[2]](https://ak-static.cms.nba.com/referee/injury/Injury-Report_2026-04-28_12_30AM.pdf)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-28 21:02:57
Ruled Out: Ruled Out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-28 21:02:57
Time Decisions: Game-Time Decision
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-28 21:02:57
PHI update: Probable
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-28 21:02:57
Joel Embiid: - Joel Embiid (Abdomen / Post-Appendectomy Recovery)[[1]](https://ak-static.cms.nba.com/referee/injury/Injury-Report_2026-04-28_04_00AM.pdf)[[2]](https://ak-static.cms.nba.com/referee/injury/Injury-Report_2026-04-28_12_30AM.pdf)[[3]](https://www.nba.com/sixers/news/philadelphia-76ers-at-boston-celti
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-28 21:02:57
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 Pending

Analysts haven't run yet.

4 COMPARISON Pending

Comparison not run yet.

5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.

ATL @ NYK 2026-04-29T00:00:00Z
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: NYK | Away: ATL
ATL 102.3 — NYK 113.5
Total: 215.8 | Spread: -15.1 | ML: 72.0%
Pace: 97.1 poss | HCA: +4.0 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat NYK ATL Edge
ORtg — — —
DRtg — — —
NetRtg — — —
Pace — — —
Record 0-0 0-0 —
MOV 19.4 -17.5 NYK +36.9
Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00
Adj 4 Factors 0.33 0.28 NYK +0.06
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat NYK ATL Edge
eFG% 55.7% 55.4% NYK +0.003
TOV% 13.9% 13.8% ATL -0.001
OREB% 32.8% 29.1% NYK +0.037
FTA Rate 0.238 0.234 NYK +0.004
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat NYK ATL Edge
Opp eFG% 54.1% 54.6% NYK +0.005
Opp TOV% 14.7% 15.6% ATL -0.009
Opp OREB% 28.5% 29.8% NYK +0.013
Opp FTA Rate 0.265 0.260 ATL -0.005
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat NYK ATL Edge
eFG Delta +1.1 +1.3 ATL -0.2
ORB Delta +3.0 +0.6 NYK +2.4
TOV Delta -1.7 -0.9 ATL -0.8
FTR Delta -2.2 -3.1 NYK +0.9
Matchup ORtg 116.9 112.6 NYK +4.3
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat NYK ATL Edge
Clutch ORtg 123.5 109.5 NYK +14.0
Clutch DRtg 103.1 107.4 NYK +4.3
Clutch NetRtg +20.5 +2.2 NYK +18.3
HUSTLE
Stat NYK ATL Edge
Deflections 17.0 19.9 ATL -2.9
Loose Balls 4.5 4.7 ATL -0.3
Contested 2PT 22.4 27.0 ATL -4.6
Contested 3PT 16.3 16.3 +0.0
Screen Assists 6.8 7.7 ATL -0.8
Charges Drawn 0.6 0.2 NYK +0.3
REST & FATIGUE
Stat NYK ATL Edge
B2B Win% 66.7% 25.0% NYK +0.417
1-Day Rest Win% 70.0% 62.8% NYK +0.072
3+ Day Rest Win% 75.0% 25.0% NYK +0.500
Rest Advantage 1d / fat 13.74 1d / fat 13.74 0.0 pts
SHOOTING
Stat NYK ATL Edge
FG% 51.7% 43.6% NYK +0.081
3PT% 40.8% 31.2% NYK +0.096
3PT Rate 38.4% 43.4% ATL -0.051
FG3A/game 32.1 36.3 ATL -4.2
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat NYK ATL Edge
Opp PPG 110.1 116.0 NYK +5.9
Opp FG% 46.0% 47.4% NYK +0.014
Opp 3P% 36.2% 35.5% ATL -0.007
Opp TOV 14.4 16.1 ATL -1.7
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat NYK ATL Edge
Home ORtg 120.8 115.4 NYK +5.4
Home DRtg 110.5 111.6 NYK +1.1
Home NetRtg +10.3 +3.8 NYK +6.5
Road ORtg 116.4 114.7 NYK +1.7
Road NetRtg +2.4 +0.5 NYK +1.9
RECENT FORM
Stat NYK ATL Edge
L5 ORtg 120.0 117.5 NYK +2.5
L5 DRtg 108.7 114.1 NYK +5.4
L5 NetRtg +11.3 +3.4 NYK +7.9
L10 ORtg 119.7 117.9 NYK +1.8
L10 NetRtg +2.5 +5.5 ATL -3.0
Sagarin Overall 99.32 92.04 NYK +7.28
Sagarin Predictor 99.62 92.24 NYK +7.38
Sagarin Strong Recent 101.62 92.30 NYK +9.32
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) +2.00 +0.06 NYK +1.94
DRatings Overall 0.63 0.21 NYK +0.42
DRatings Inference 0.90 0.23 NYK +0.67
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) +0.27 +0.02 NYK +0.25
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat NYK ATL Edge
Margin Std Dev 17.4 19.9 ATL -2.6
Skewness 0.56 -0.99 —
Kurtosis -3.97 -5.13 —
Blowout Win% 50.0% 0.0% NYK +0.5
Blowout Loss% 0.0% 50.0% NYK +0.5
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM 12 alerts
New York: **New York Knicks Injury Update - April 28, 2026 (Game 5 vs. Hawks)**
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-28 21:02:57
NYK update: Ruled out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-28 21:02:57
Jalen Brunson: Game-time decision
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-28 21:02:57
NYK update: Minutes restriction
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-28 21:02:57
Joel Embiid: **No Philadelphia 76ers vs. New York Knicks game on April 28, 2026.**[[1]](https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nba/2026/04/28/nba-games-today-schedule-times-tv-april-28/89832498007)[[2]](https://wikihoops.com/games/2026-04-28?ref=gameday-page)[[3]](https://www.espn.com/nba/schedule)
| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-28 21:02:57
Joel Embiid: **76ers schedule:** Game 5 vs. Boston Celtics (East 1st Round, BOS leads 3-1), 7:00 PM ET at TD Garden.[[4]](https://www.nba.com/game/phi-vs-bos-0042500115)[[5]](https://www.foxsports.com/nba/nba-playoffs-round-1-game-5-philadelphia-76ers-vs-boston-celtics-apr-28-2026-game-boxscore-106424)
| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-28 21:02:57
Joel Embiid: Probable
| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-28 21:02:57
Atlanta Hawks: out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-28 21:02:57
Ruled Out: Ruled Out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-28 21:02:57
Jock Landale: out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-28 21:02:57
Keshon Gilbert: out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-28 21:02:57
ATL update: game-time decision
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-28 21:02:57
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 Pending

Analysts haven't run yet.

4 COMPARISON Pending

Comparison not run yet.

5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.

POR @ SAS 2026-04-29T01:30:00Z
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: SAS | Away: POR
POR 104.9 — SAS 95.2
Total: 200.1 | Spread: +9.7 | ML: 35.3%
Pace: 98.1 poss | HCA: 0.0 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat SAS POR Edge
ORtg — — —
DRtg — — —
NetRtg — — —
Pace — — —
Record 0-0 0-0 —
MOV 12.9 -12.4 SAS +25.3
Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00
Adj 4 Factors 0.32 0.25 SAS +0.07
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat SAS POR Edge
eFG% 55.9% 53.4% SAS +0.025
TOV% 13.3% 16.9% SAS +0.036
OREB% 30.6% 35.4% POR -0.048
FTA Rate 0.274 0.280 POR -0.006
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat SAS POR Edge
Opp eFG% 52.2% 54.1% SAS +0.019
Opp TOV% 12.8% 15.3% POR -0.025
Opp OREB% 27.6% 31.2% SAS +0.036
Opp FTA Rate 0.228 0.272 SAS +0.044
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat SAS POR Edge
eFG Delta +1.8 +1.2 SAS +0.6
ORB Delta -0.6 +7.8 POR -8.4
TOV Delta -2.0 +4.1 POR -6.1
FTR Delta +0.2 +5.2 POR -5.0
Matchup ORtg 117.5 108.8 SAS +8.7
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat SAS POR Edge
Clutch ORtg 122.6 111.1 SAS +11.5
Clutch DRtg 114.4 115.0 SAS +0.6
Clutch NetRtg +8.3 -4.0 SAS +12.3
HUSTLE
Stat SAS POR Edge
Deflections 15.7 16.7 POR -1.0
Loose Balls 4.1 4.0 +0.0
Contested 2PT 27.6 26.2 SAS +1.4
Contested 3PT 14.8 14.8 +0.0
Screen Assists 8.1 5.6 SAS +2.5
Charges Drawn 0.3 0.4 POR -0.1
REST & FATIGUE
Stat SAS POR Edge
B2B Win% 80.0% 33.3% SAS +0.467
1-Day Rest Win% 82.5% 47.6% SAS +0.349
3+ Day Rest Win% 100.0% 28.6% SAS +0.714
Rest Advantage 0d / fat 43.60 0d / fat 43.60 0.0 pts
SHOOTING
Stat SAS POR Edge
FG% 48.4% 40.3% SAS +0.080
3PT% 37.3% 30.2% SAS +0.071
3PT Rate 37.3% 43.2% POR -0.060
FG3A/game 31.9 38.4 POR -6.5
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat SAS POR Edge
Opp PPG 111.5 115.8 SAS +4.3
Opp FG% 45.1% 47.1% SAS +0.020
Opp 3P% 35.2% 35.8% SAS +0.006
Opp TOV 13.0 15.6 POR -2.6
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat SAS POR Edge
Home ORtg 120.0 115.6 SAS +4.4
Home DRtg 111.6 112.4 SAS +0.8
Home NetRtg +8.4 +3.2 SAS +5.2
Road ORtg 117.9 110.6 SAS +7.3
Road NetRtg +8.4 -4.0 SAS +12.4
RECENT FORM
Stat SAS POR Edge
L5 ORtg 121.4 117.6 SAS +3.8
L5 DRtg 116.2 112.6 POR -3.6
L5 NetRtg +5.2 +4.9 SAS +0.3
L10 ORtg 123.1 117.6 SAS +5.5
L10 NetRtg +13.2 +13.0 SAS +0.2
Sagarin Overall 100.08 90.63 SAS +9.45
Sagarin Predictor 99.92 90.28 SAS +9.64
Sagarin Strong Recent 102.27 93.12 SAS +9.15
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) +2.35 +2.84 POR -0.49
DRatings Overall 0.89 0.06 SAS +0.82
DRatings Inference 1.13 0.05 SAS +1.09
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) +0.25 -0.01 SAS +0.26
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat SAS POR Edge
Margin Std Dev 14.2 9.4 SAS +4.8
Skewness 0.36 1.36 —
Kurtosis -3.97 -5.98 —
Blowout Win% 40.0% 0.0% SAS +0.4
Blowout Loss% 0.0% 40.0% SAS +0.4
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM 5 alerts
San Antonio: **San Antonio Spurs Injury Report vs. Portland Trail Blazers (Game 5, April 28, 2026):[[1]](https://ripcityradio.iheart.com/content/2026-04-28-trail-blazers-vs-spurs-nba-playoffs-game-5-injury-report-april-28)[[2]](https://www.espn.com/nba/game/_/gameId/401869386)[[3]](https://www.cbssports.com/nba/
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-28 21:02:57
Ruled Out: Ruled Out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-28 21:02:57
Time Decisions: Questionable
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-28 21:02:57
Minutes Restrictions: Minutes Restriction
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-28 21:02:57
SAS update: Official NBA injury report (04/27/26 6PM PDF) lists no additional Spurs players for this game.[[4]](https://ak-static.cms.nba.com/referee/injury/Injury-Report_2026-04-27_06_00PM.pdf)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-28 21:02:57
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 Pending

Analysts haven't run yet.

4 COMPARISON Pending

Comparison not run yet.

5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.