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« 2026-04-13 2026-04-15 2026-04-16 » 2 games
ORL @ PHI 2026-04-15T23:30:00Z
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: PHI | Away: ORL
ORL 111.2 — PHI 82.0
Total: 193.1 | Spread: +30.3 | ML: 13.1%
Pace: 97.5 poss | HCA: -1.1 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat PHI ORL Edge
ORtg
DRtg
NetRtg
Pace
Record 0-0 0-0
MOV -9.9 -4.7 ORL -5.2
Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00
Adj 4 Factors 0.33 0.36 ORL -0.03
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat PHI ORL Edge
eFG% 53.0% 53.1% ORL -0.001
TOV% 13.4% 14.0% PHI +0.006
OREB% 30.6% 30.6% 0.000
FTA Rate 0.275 0.311 ORL -0.036
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat PHI ORL Edge
Opp eFG% 54.1% 54.5% PHI +0.004
Opp TOV% 15.2% 14.7% PHI +0.005
Opp OREB% 32.2% 29.0% ORL -0.032
Opp FTA Rate 0.270 0.285 PHI +0.015
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat PHI ORL Edge
eFG Delta -1.5 -1.0 ORL -0.5
ORB Delta +1.6 -1.6 PHI +3.2
TOV Delta -1.3 -1.2 ORL -0.1
FTR Delta -1.0 +4.1 ORL -5.1
Matchup ORtg 113.2 113.9 ORL -0.7
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat PHI ORL Edge
Clutch ORtg 115.2 107.3 PHI +7.9
Clutch DRtg 98.6 106.0 PHI +7.4
Clutch NetRtg +16.6 +1.3 PHI +15.3
HUSTLE
Stat PHI ORL Edge
Deflections 20.5 16.9 PHI +3.6
Loose Balls 4.7 4.2 PHI +0.6
Contested 2PT 24.6 25.5 ORL -0.9
Contested 3PT 15.6 15.2 PHI +0.4
Screen Assists 7.1 7.2 ORL -0.1
Charges Drawn 0.2 0.3 -0.0
REST & FATIGUE
Stat PHI ORL Edge
B2B Win% 50.0% 100.0% ORL -0.500
1-Day Rest Win% 51.4% 51.2% PHI +0.002
3+ Day Rest Win% 75.0% 50.0% PHI +0.250
Rest Advantage 1d / fat 45.99 1d / fat 39.62 -0.2 pts
SHOOTING
Stat PHI ORL Edge
FG% 44.8% 39.7% PHI +0.050
3PT% 33.8% 32.8% PHI +0.010
3PT Rate 39.5% 40.8% ORL -0.012
FG3A/game 32.8 34.0 ORL -1.2
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat PHI ORL Edge
Opp PPG 116.1 115.1 ORL -1.0
Opp FG% 46.7% 47.6% PHI +0.009
Opp 3P% 35.3% 35.3% 0.000
Opp TOV 15.4 14.9 PHI +0.5
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat PHI ORL Edge
Home ORtg 113.6 115.0 ORL -1.4
Home DRtg 114.8 113.4 ORL -1.4
Home NetRtg -1.2 +1.6 ORL -2.8
Road ORtg 115.0 113.5 PHI +1.5
Road NetRtg +0.9 +0.1 PHI +0.8
RECENT FORM
Stat PHI ORL Edge
L5 ORtg 105.4 115.5 ORL -10.1
L5 DRtg 108.6 105.6 ORL -3.0
L5 NetRtg -3.2 +10.0 ORL -13.2
L10 ORtg 116.0 111.8 PHI +4.2
L10 NetRtg +3.4 -0.3 PHI +3.7
Sagarin Overall 90.20 91.88 ORL -1.68
Sagarin Predictor 89.36 91.61 ORL -2.25
Sagarin Strong Recent 90.93 92.03 ORL -1.10
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) +1.57 +0.42 PHI +1.15
DRatings Overall 0.08 0.17 ORL -0.09
DRatings Inference 0.08 0.18 ORL -0.10
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) +0.00 +0.01 ORL -0.01
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat PHI ORL Edge
Margin Std Dev 20.9 13.0 PHI +7.9
Skewness -0.06 0.01
Kurtosis -3.95 -4.92
Blowout Win% 9.1% 0.0% PHI +0.1
Blowout Loss% 36.4% 28.6% ORL -0.1
QUARTER SCORING
Stat PHI ORL Edge
Q1 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q2 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q3 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta 0.0 0.0
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM 10 alerts
Orlando Magic: **Philadelphia 76ers vs. Orlando Magic (Play-In Tournament, April 15, 2026)**[[1]](https://www.espn.com/nba/game/_/gameId/401866757/magic-76ers)[[2]](https://ak-static.cms.nba.com/referee/injury/Injury-Report_2026-04-15_09_30AM.pdf)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-15 21:01:49
Ruled Out: Ruled Out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-15 21:01:49
Joel Embiid: Out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-15 21:01:49
Johni Broome: Out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-15 21:01:49
PHI update: Probable
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-15 21:01:49
Orlando Magic: **Orlando Magic (ORL) @ Philadelphia 76ers (PHI) - NBA Play-In Tournament, April 15, 2026**[[1]](https://orlandomagicdaily.com/orlando-magic-philadelphia-76ers-april-15-2026-3-things-watch-odds-prediction)[[2]](https://www.espn.com/nba/game/_/gameId/401866757/magic-76ers)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-15 21:01:49
Ruled Out: Ruled Out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-15 21:01:49
Time Decisions: Game-Time Decision
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-15 21:01:49
Jonathan Isaac: - Jonathan Isaac (Left Knee Sprain)[[1]](https://orlandomagicdaily.com/orlando-magic-philadelphia-76ers-april-15-2026-3-things-watch-odds-prediction)[[2]](https://www.espn.com/nba/game/_/gameId/401866757/magic-76ers)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-15 21:01:49
Jett Howard: - Jett Howard (Left Ankle Sprain)[[3]](https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/jett-howard-jonathan-isaac-headline-163843644.html)[[4]](https://collegefootballnetwork.com/nba/orlando-magic-vs-philadelphia-76ers-prediction-injury-reports-and-starting-lineups-tonight-apr-15-2026-nba-play-in-tournament)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-15 21:01:49
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 Pending

Analysts haven't run yet.

4 COMPARISON Pending

Comparison not run yet.

5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.

GSW @ LAC 2026-04-16T02:00:00Z
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: LAC | Away: GSW
GSW 100.4 — LAC 107.3
Total: 207.7 | Spread: -9.5 | ML: 64.4%
Pace: 95.7 poss | HCA: +2.6 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat LAC GSW Edge
ORtg
DRtg
NetRtg
Pace
Record 0-0 0-0
MOV 1.2 -0.6 LAC +1.8
Consistency 16.90 15.00 LAC +1.90
Adj 4 Factors 0.23 0.28 GSW -0.05
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat LAC GSW Edge
eFG% 55.9% 54.9% LAC +0.010
TOV% 14.7% 15.6% LAC +0.009
OREB% 28.4% 30.2% GSW -0.018
FTA Rate 0.295 0.238 LAC +0.057
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat LAC GSW Edge
Opp eFG% 54.5% 55.3% LAC +0.008
Opp TOV% 14.6% 15.8% GSW -0.012
Opp OREB% 31.9% 31.6% GSW -0.003
Opp FTA Rate 0.248 0.247 GSW -0.001
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat LAC GSW Edge
eFG Delta +0.6 +0.4 LAC +0.2
ORB Delta -3.2 -1.7 GSW -1.5
TOV Delta -1.1 +1.0 GSW -2.1
FTR Delta +4.8 -1.0 LAC +5.8
Matchup ORtg 116.0 114.3 LAC +1.7
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat LAC GSW Edge
Clutch ORtg 110.1 115.1 GSW -5.0
Clutch DRtg 115.0 112.5 GSW -2.5
Clutch NetRtg -4.9 +2.7 GSW -7.6
HUSTLE
Stat LAC GSW Edge
Deflections 18.4 19.1 GSW -0.7
Loose Balls 3.8 5.0 GSW -1.2
Contested 2PT 25.7 25.3 LAC +0.4
Contested 3PT 16.3 15.2 LAC +1.1
Screen Assists 6.3 7.5 GSW -1.2
Charges Drawn 0.1 0.6 GSW -0.5
REST & FATIGUE
Stat LAC GSW Edge
B2B Win% 20.0% 40.0% GSW -0.200
1-Day Rest Win% 65.8% 47.2% LAC +0.186
3+ Day Rest Win% 20.0% 20.0% 0.000
Rest Advantage 0d / fat 61.46 0d / fat 50.10 -0.3 pts
SHOOTING
Stat LAC GSW Edge
FG% 48.4% 46.1% LAC +0.023
3PT% 36.8% 35.6% LAC +0.012
3PT Rate 40.4% 49.7% GSW -0.092
FG3A/game 33.8 44.1 GSW -10.3
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat LAC GSW Edge
Opp PPG 112.6 115.2 LAC +2.6
Opp FG% 46.9% 48.0% LAC +0.011
Opp 3P% 36.4% 36.0% GSW -0.004
Opp TOV 14.3 15.9 GSW -1.6
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat LAC GSW Edge
Home ORtg 117.8 116.8 LAC +1.0
Home DRtg 114.1 115.7 LAC +1.6
Home NetRtg +3.7 +1.1 LAC +2.6
Road ORtg 114.9 110.9 LAC +4.0
Road NetRtg -1.5 -2.1 LAC +0.6
RECENT FORM
Stat LAC GSW Edge
L5 ORtg 115.9 116.5 GSW -0.6
L5 DRtg 113.9 121.6 LAC +7.7
L5 NetRtg +2.0 -5.1 LAC +7.1
L10 ORtg 116.0 113.7 LAC +2.3
L10 NetRtg +2.4 -6.3 LAC +8.7
Sagarin Overall 91.37 88.05 LAC +3.32
Sagarin Predictor 91.97 88.25 LAC +3.72
Sagarin Strong Recent 90.25 84.20 LAC +6.05
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) -1.72 -4.05 LAC +2.33
DRatings Overall 0.14 -0.13 LAC +0.28
DRatings Inference 0.17 -0.23 LAC +0.40
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) +0.03 -0.10 LAC +0.12
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat LAC GSW Edge
Margin Std Dev 16.4 14.8 LAC +1.5
Skewness 0.16 0.17
Kurtosis -3.08 -3.08
Blowout Win% 21.9% 15.8% LAC +0.1
Blowout Loss% 20.7% 14.6% GSW -0.1
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM 5 alerts
LAC update: **LA Clippers vs. GSW (Play-In, April 15, 2026)**[[1]](https://clutchpoints.com/nba/los-angeles-clippers/is-kawhi-leonard-playing-tonight-clippers-vs-warriors-injury-report)[[2]](https://www.teamrankings.com/nba/matchup/warriors-clippers-2026-04-15/injuries)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-15 21:01:49
Ruled Out: Ruled Out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-15 21:01:49
Bradley Beal: out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-15 21:01:49
Yanic Konan: out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-15 21:01:49
LAC update: Game-time Decision
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-15 21:01:49
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 Pending

Analysts haven't run yet.

4 COMPARISON Pending

Comparison not run yet.

5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.