edge-scanner-ncaab-totals

id ▼	scan type ▼	detected at ▼	game id ▼	Kalshi Line ▼	rung ▼	yes exec price ▼	no exec price ▼	spread cents ▼	PIN Anchor ▼	PIN Yes Prob ▼	PIN No Prob ▼	PIN Yes Edge ▼	PIN No Edge ▼	PIN Best Side ▼	confidence ▼	executable ▼	settled at ▼	sub market ▼	is tie ▼

Edge Scanner Summary

YES Pinnacle Calibration (by Time Window)

Bucket	8AM Scan									10AM Scan									2PM Scan									Pre-Game									Closing									Early vs Close
	All Settled			With Edge						All Settled			With Edge						All Settled			With Edge						All Settled			With Edge						All Settled			With Edge						All Settled Δ			With Edge Δ
	Settled	Win %	Calibration	Settled	Win %	Confidence	Avg Edge	PnL/Bet	ROI	Settled	Win %	Calibration	Settled	Win %	Confidence	Avg Edge	PnL/Bet	ROI	Settled	Win %	Calibration	Settled	Win %	Confidence	Avg Edge	PnL/Bet	ROI	Settled	Win %	Calibration	Settled	Win %	Confidence	Avg Edge	PnL/Bet	ROI	Settled	Win %	Calibration	Settled	Win %	Confidence	Avg Edge	PnL/Bet	ROI	Early W%	Close W%	W% Δ	Early W%	Close W%	W% Δ	Edge Δ	PnL Δ	ROI Δ
95-100%	1	100.0%	+2.5	1	100.0%	1L	9.3%	+9.30c	+10.3%	1	100.0%	+2.5	1	100.0%	1L	9.3%	+9.30c	+10.3%	7	100.0%	+2.5	7	100.0%	1L	15.0%	+16.74c	+20.4%	6	100.0%	+2.5	6	100.0%	6L	16.0%	+17.98c	+22.3%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
90-95%	4	100.0%	+7.5	2	100.0%	2L	2.3%	+10.69c	+12.1%	3	100.0%	+7.5	2	100.0%	2L	4.0%	+11.63c	+13.3%	21	95.2%	+2.7	15	93.3%	6L	8.6%	+9.62c	+11.7%	18	94.4%	+1.9	12	91.7%	12L	9.8%	+9.01c	+11.1%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
85-90%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	100.0%	+12.5	1	100.0%	1L	8.2%	+19.53c	+24.7%	12	83.3%	-4.2	10	80.0%	3L	9.1%	+1.84c	+2.4%	9	77.8%	-9.7	7	71.4%	7L	9.5%	-6.27c	-8.2%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
80-85%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	100.0%	+17.5	1	100.0%	1L	6.9%	+24.18c	+32.7%	12	83.3%	+0.8	11	81.8%	2L	8.6%	+7.85c	+10.8%	10	80.0%	-2.5	10	80.0%	10L	9.1%	+6.13c	+8.5%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
75-80%	3	100.0%	+22.5	2	100.0%	2L	7.0%	+26.97c	+38.0%	3	100.0%	+22.5	2	100.0%	2L	7.4%	+27.44c	+38.9%	11	81.8%	+4.3	9	77.8%	3L	10.4%	+9.90c	+15.0%	10	80.0%	+2.5	8	75.0%	8L	10.4%	+7.88c	+12.1%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
70-75%	2	100.0%	+27.5	2	100.0%	2L	3.1%	+31.62c	+47.9%	3	100.0%	+27.5	3	100.0%	3L	3.7%	+31.00c	+46.5%	12	91.7%	+19.2	11	90.9%	4L	4.4%	+22.24c	+33.4%	10	90.0%	+17.5	9	88.9%	9L	4.4%	+20.15c	+30.2%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
65-70%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	100.0%	+32.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	7	71.4%	+3.9	6	66.7%	1L	9.8%	+8.66c	+15.5%	7	71.4%	+3.9	6	66.7%	6L	9.4%	+8.35c	+14.8%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60-65%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	100.0%	+37.5	1	100.0%	1L	2.2%	+36.27c	+59.5%	9	88.9%	+26.4	6	100.0%	1L	1.9%	+37.82c	+63.7%	8	87.5%	+25.0	5	100.0%	5L	2.3%	+37.76c	+63.6%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
55-60%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	100.0%	+42.5	1	100.0%	1L	3.3%	+42.78c	+79.2%	6	50.0%	-7.5	4	50.0%	1L	10.7%	+2.68c	+5.9%	6	50.0%	-7.5	4	50.0%	4L	10.8%	+2.91c	+6.4%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
50-55%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	100.0%	+47.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	10	70.0%	+17.5	2	100.0%	—	0.6%	+45.57c	+89.4%	9	55.6%	+3.1	2	100.0%	2L	0.6%	+45.57c	+89.4%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
45-50%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	100.0%	+52.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	7	28.6%	-18.9	4	25.0%	—	13.3%	-7.67c	-24.4%	7	28.6%	-18.9	4	25.0%	4L	13.3%	-7.67c	-24.4%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
40-45%	1	0.0%	-42.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	2	50.0%	+7.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	10	50.0%	+7.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	10	40.0%	-2.5	1	0.0%	1L	23.4%	-16.00c	-100.0%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35-40%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	100.0%	+62.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	8	37.5%	+0.0	4	25.0%	—	6.6%	-4.29c	-15.3%	7	28.6%	-8.9	4	25.0%	4L	6.6%	-4.29c	-15.3%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
30-35%	1	0.0%	-32.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	2	50.0%	+17.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	11	36.4%	+3.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	10	30.0%	-2.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
25-30%	1	100.0%	+72.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	2	100.0%	+72.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	8	37.5%	+10.0	3	33.3%	—	8.6%	+15.16c	+92.8%	5	20.0%	-7.5	2	50.0%	2L	5.2%	+27.23c	+136.2%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
20-25%	1	0.0%	-22.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	100.0%	+77.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	11	36.4%	+13.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	9	22.2%	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
15-20%	1	100.0%	+82.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	2	100.0%	+82.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	10	30.0%	+12.5	2	0.0%	—	6.4%	-11.00c	-100.0%	8	25.0%	+7.5	1	0.0%	1L	2.9%	-15.00c	-100.0%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
10-15%	1	0.0%	-12.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	2	50.0%	+37.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	15	20.0%	+7.5	1	0.0%	—	6.0%	-5.00c	-100.0%	11	9.1%	-3.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5-10%	3	33.3%	+25.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	13	15.4%	+7.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	10	10.0%	+2.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
0-5%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	3	0.0%	-2.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	2	0.0%	-2.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

NO Pinnacle Calibration (by Time Window)

Bucket	8AM Scan									10AM Scan									2PM Scan									Pre-Game									Closing									Early vs Close
	All Settled			With Edge						All Settled			With Edge						All Settled			With Edge						All Settled			With Edge						All Settled			With Edge						All Settled Δ			With Edge Δ
	Settled	Win %	Calibration	Settled	Win %	Confidence	Avg Edge	PnL/Bet	ROI	Settled	Win %	Calibration	Settled	Win %	Confidence	Avg Edge	PnL/Bet	ROI	Settled	Win %	Calibration	Settled	Win %	Confidence	Avg Edge	PnL/Bet	ROI	Settled	Win %	Calibration	Settled	Win %	Confidence	Avg Edge	PnL/Bet	ROI	Settled	Win %	Calibration	Settled	Win %	Confidence	Avg Edge	PnL/Bet	ROI	Early W%	Close W%	W% Δ	Early W%	Close W%	W% Δ	Edge Δ	PnL Δ	ROI Δ
95-100%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	3	100.0%	+2.5	3	100.0%	—	10.4%	+13.33c	+15.6%	2	100.0%	+2.5	2	100.0%	2L	15.3%	+17.67c	+21.8%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
90-95%	3	66.7%	-25.8	1	100.0%	1L	1.7%	+10.23c	+11.5%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	13	84.6%	-7.9	7	85.7%	2L	9.6%	+3.71c	+4.6%	10	90.0%	-2.5	5	100.0%	5L	10.6%	+18.41c	+23.0%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
85-90%	1	100.0%	+12.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	2	50.0%	-37.5	1	0.0%	1L	6.3%	-82.00c	-100.0%	15	80.0%	-7.5	8	75.0%	2L	7.6%	-3.47c	-4.5%	11	90.9%	+3.4	5	100.0%	5L	8.5%	+21.95c	+28.7%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
80-85%	1	0.0%	-82.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	2	0.0%	-82.5	1	0.0%	1L	5.3%	-77.00c	-100.0%	10	70.0%	-12.5	6	66.7%	1L	4.5%	-11.59c	-15.0%	8	75.0%	-7.5	5	80.0%	5L	4.8%	+1.30c	+1.7%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
75-80%	1	100.0%	+22.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	0.0%	-77.5	1	0.0%	1L	3.5%	-71.00c	-100.0%	11	63.6%	-13.9	7	71.4%	1L	7.2%	+1.24c	+1.8%	9	77.8%	+0.3	5	100.0%	5L	7.7%	+30.13c	+44.6%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
70-75%	1	0.0%	-72.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	2	0.0%	-72.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	8	62.5%	-10.0	4	50.0%	1L	2.8%	-18.42c	-27.4%	5	80.0%	+7.5	2	100.0%	2L	4.0%	+31.16c	+46.8%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
65-70%	1	100.0%	+32.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	2	50.0%	-17.5	1	0.0%	1L	0.2%	-65.00c	-100.0%	11	63.6%	-3.9	6	66.7%	1L	5.8%	+4.37c	+7.2%	10	70.0%	+2.5	6	66.7%	6L	5.5%	+4.04c	+6.7%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60-65%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	0.0%	-62.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	8	62.5%	+0.0	1	100.0%	—	3.8%	+38.13c	+64.6%	7	71.4%	+8.9	1	100.0%	1L	3.8%	+38.13c	+64.6%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
55-60%	1	100.0%	+42.5	1	100.0%	1L	1.2%	+39.99c	+70.2%	2	50.0%	-7.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	10	50.0%	-7.5	2	50.0%	1L	9.2%	+1.00c	+2.1%	10	60.0%	+2.5	2	50.0%	2L	9.2%	+1.00c	+2.1%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
50-55%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	0.0%	-52.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	7	71.4%	+18.9	1	100.0%	—	3.8%	+48.36c	+100.8%	7	71.4%	+18.9	1	100.0%	1L	3.8%	+48.36c	+100.8%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
45-50%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	0.0%	-47.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	10	30.0%	-17.5	1	0.0%	—	13.7%	-32.00c	-100.0%	9	44.4%	-3.1	2	50.0%	2L	8.1%	+10.51c	+28.0%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
40-45%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	0.0%	-42.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	6	50.0%	+7.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	6	50.0%	+7.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35-40%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	0.0%	-37.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	9	11.1%	-26.4	1	0.0%	—	7.5%	-28.00c	-100.0%	8	12.5%	-25.0	1	0.0%	1L	7.5%	-28.00c	-100.0%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
30-35%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	0.0%	-32.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	7	28.6%	-3.9	1	0.0%	—	2.0%	-29.00c	-100.0%	7	28.6%	-3.9	1	0.0%	1L	2.0%	-29.00c	-100.0%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
25-30%	2	0.0%	-27.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	3	0.0%	-27.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	12	8.3%	-19.2	1	0.0%	—	5.1%	-21.00c	-100.0%	10	10.0%	-17.5	1	0.0%	1L	5.1%	-21.00c	-100.0%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
20-25%	3	0.0%	-22.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	3	0.0%	-22.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	11	18.2%	-4.3	1	0.0%	—	5.1%	-17.00c	-100.0%	10	20.0%	-2.5	1	0.0%	1L	5.1%	-17.00c	-100.0%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
15-20%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	0.0%	-17.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	12	16.7%	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	10	20.0%	+2.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
10-15%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	0.0%	-12.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	12	16.7%	+4.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	9	22.2%	+9.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5-10%	4	0.0%	-7.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	3	0.0%	-7.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	21	4.8%	-2.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	18	5.6%	-1.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
0-5%	1	0.0%	-2.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	0.0%	-2.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	7	0.0%	-2.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	6	0.0%	-2.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

YES Our Model Calibration (by Time Window)

Bucket	8AM Scan									10AM Scan									2PM Scan									Pre-Game									Closing									Early vs Close
	All Settled			With Edge						All Settled			With Edge						All Settled			With Edge						All Settled			With Edge						All Settled			With Edge						All Settled Δ			With Edge Δ
	Settled	Win %	Calibration	Settled	Win %	Confidence	Avg Edge	PnL/Bet	ROI	Settled	Win %	Calibration	Settled	Win %	Confidence	Avg Edge	PnL/Bet	ROI	Settled	Win %	Calibration	Settled	Win %	Confidence	Avg Edge	PnL/Bet	ROI	Settled	Win %	Calibration	Settled	Win %	Confidence	Avg Edge	PnL/Bet	ROI	Settled	Win %	Calibration	Settled	Win %	Confidence	Avg Edge	PnL/Bet	ROI	Early W%	Close W%	W% Δ	Early W%	Close W%	W% Δ	Edge Δ	PnL Δ	ROI Δ
95-100%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
90-95%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
85-90%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
80-85%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
75-80%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
70-75%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
65-70%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60-65%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
55-60%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
50-55%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
45-50%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
40-45%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35-40%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
30-35%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
25-30%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
20-25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
15-20%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
10-15%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5-10%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
0-5%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

NO Our Model Calibration (by Time Window)

Bucket	8AM Scan									10AM Scan									2PM Scan									Pre-Game									Closing									Early vs Close
	All Settled			With Edge						All Settled			With Edge						All Settled			With Edge						All Settled			With Edge						All Settled			With Edge						All Settled Δ			With Edge Δ
	Settled	Win %	Calibration	Settled	Win %	Confidence	Avg Edge	PnL/Bet	ROI	Settled	Win %	Calibration	Settled	Win %	Confidence	Avg Edge	PnL/Bet	ROI	Settled	Win %	Calibration	Settled	Win %	Confidence	Avg Edge	PnL/Bet	ROI	Settled	Win %	Calibration	Settled	Win %	Confidence	Avg Edge	PnL/Bet	ROI	Settled	Win %	Calibration	Settled	Win %	Confidence	Avg Edge	PnL/Bet	ROI	Early W%	Close W%	W% Δ	Early W%	Close W%	W% Δ	Edge Δ	PnL Δ	ROI Δ
95-100%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
90-95%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
85-90%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
80-85%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
75-80%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
70-75%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
65-70%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
60-65%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
55-60%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
50-55%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
45-50%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
40-45%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
35-40%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
30-35%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
25-30%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
20-25%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
15-20%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
10-15%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
5-10%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
0-5%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Win Rate by Edge Size (by Time Window)

Edge	8AM Scan							10AM Scan							2PM Scan							Pre-Game							Closing							Early vs Close
Edge	Settled	Wins	Win %	Confidence	Book Depth	PnL/Bet	ROI	Settled	Wins	Win %	Confidence	Book Depth	PnL/Bet	ROI	Settled	Wins	Win %	Confidence	Book Depth	PnL/Bet	ROI	Settled	Wins	Win %	Confidence	Book Depth	PnL/Bet	ROI	Settled	Wins	Win %	Confidence	Book Depth	PnL/Bet	ROI	Early W%	Close W%	W% Δ	—	PnL Δ	ROI Δ	—
0-2%	3	3	100.0%	3L	808	+19.84c	+25.2%	2	1	50.0%	2L	740	-27.85c	-35.9%	18	13	72.2%	6L	4286	+3.80c	+5.7%	15	10	66.7%	15L	1833	-0.44c	-0.7%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2-4%	3	3	100.0%	3L	0	+25.11c	+34.4%	5	4	80.0%	5L	4407	+14.07c	+22.1%	25	17	68.0%	7L	584	+1.37c	+2.1%	23	19	82.6%	23L	130	+18.98c	+30.8%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
4-6%	1	1	100.0%	1L	0	+25.11c	+34.4%	3	2	66.7%	3L	1090	-6.76c	-9.4%	24	18	75.0%	4L	423	+10.50c	+16.7%	18	13	72.2%	18L	0	+10.36c	+17.2%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
6-8%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	3	2	66.7%	3L	770	-14.62c	-18.2%	32	22	68.8%	8L	809	-3.04c	-4.3%	23	16	69.6%	23L	566	-2.19c	-3.1%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
8-10%	2	2	100.0%	2L	0	+19.07c	+24.0%	3	3	100.0%	3L	0	+19.22c	+24.2%	11	8	72.7%	6L	1256	+11.03c	+18.4%	6	5	83.3%	6L	1612	+24.97c	+44.5%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
10-12%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	2	2	100.0%	—	0	+24.64c	+33.5%	3	3	100.0%	3L	318	+22.32c	+29.4%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
12-15%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	8	6	75.0%	—	0	+11.66c	+18.9%	8	6	75.0%	8L	0	+11.66c	+18.9%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
15-20%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	11	8	72.7%	—	0	+11.14c	+18.5%	10	8	80.0%	10L	0	+13.15c	+20.1%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
20%+	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	14	11	78.6%	—	0	+21.34c	+38.8%	15	11	73.3%	15L	0	+18.85c	+36.0%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

YES vs NO Performance (by Time Window)

Side	8AM Scan					10AM Scan					2PM Scan					Pre-Game					Closing					Early vs Close
Side	Settled	Wins	Win %	PnL/Bet	ROI	Settled	Wins	Win %	PnL/Bet	ROI	Settled	Wins	Win %	PnL/Bet	ROI	Settled	Wins	Win %	PnL/Bet	ROI	Settled	Wins	Win %	PnL/Bet	ROI	Settled	Wins	Win %	PnL/Bet	ROI
YES (Buy Yes)	11	10	90.9%	+10.24c	+12.9%	19	18	94.7%	+23.83c	+34.6%	120	90	75.0%	+9.28c	+14.5%	102	74	72.5%	+6.91c	+10.8%	—	—	—	—	—	327	267	81.7%	+13.12c	+19.6%
NO (Buy No)	8	5	62.5%	-24.84c	-28.6%	10	2	20.0%	-52.42c	-72.7%	83	54	65.1%	-7.43c	-10.4%	70	51	72.9%	+1.37c	+2.0%	—	—	—	—	—	221	112	50.7%	-21.09c	-29.7%

Confidence Breakdown (3-Signal Test)

Signals: Spread<5c + Trade<15min + 2+ Books Agree. High=3/3, Medium=2/3, Low=0-1/3

Confidence	8AM Scan					10AM Scan					2PM Scan					Pre-Game					Closing					Early vs Close
	Count	Settled	Win %	PnL/Bet	ROI	Count	Settled	Win %	PnL/Bet	ROI	Count	Settled	Win %	PnL/Bet	ROI	Count	Settled	Win %	PnL/Bet	ROI	Count	Settled	Win %	PnL/Bet	ROI	Early W%	Close W%	W% Δ	PnL Δ	ROI Δ
HIGH	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
MEDIUM	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
LOW	19	19	78.9%	-86c	-5.5%	29	29	69.0%	-71c	-3.5%	52	52	71.2%	-275c	-7.0%	172	172	72.7%	+801c	+7.0%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Closing Line Value (CLV) — Beat Pinnacle's Close?

If you consistently beat the closing line, you have an edge. Need 2000+ wagers for significance.

Scan	Edges w/ CLV	Beat Close	Beat %
10am	29	2	6.9%
2pm	203	26	12.8%
8am	19	0	0.0%
manual	25	0	0.0%
ml-fix	25	1	4.0%
pregame	172	25	14.5%
sigma-test	25	1	4.0%
sp-test	25	0	0.0%
sp-test2	25	1	4.0%

Dynamic Model Weights — Which De-Vig Methods Win?

Rolling performance per de-vig method. Weight = blend of win rate + ROI (1.0 = average, >1.5 = strong, <0.5 = weak).

Method	Sport	Market	Window	N	Win %	ROI	Avg Edge	Weight
shin	ncaab	total	60d	548	69.2%	-1.0%	3.9c	1.19
shin	ncaab	total	90d	548	69.2%	-1.0%	3.9c	1.19
shin	ncaab	ml	14d	26	53.8%	3.6%	3.6c	1.06
shin	ncaab	ml	30d	26	53.8%	3.6%	3.6c	1.06
shin	ncaab	ml	60d	26	53.8%	3.6%	3.6c	1.06
shin	ncaab	ml	90d	26	53.8%	3.6%	3.6c	1.06
shin	ncaab	total	14d	172	62.2%	-13.7%	4.2c	1.05
shin	ncaab	total	30d	172	62.2%	-13.7%	4.2c	1.05
shin	ncaab	spread	30d	16	37.5%	-20.3%	0.7c	0.77
shin	ncaab	spread	14d	112	27.7%	-18.9%	-0.2c	0.68
shin	ncaab	spread	60d	112	27.7%	-18.9%	-0.2c	0.68
shin	ncaab	spread	90d	112	27.7%	-18.9%	-0.2c	0.68

Meta-Labels — Single Features

Win rate by individual signal. Shows which features predict wins on their own.

Feature	Sample Size	Wins	Win %	Avg PnL/Bet	Avg Edge
Large edge (8-15%)	69	53	76.8%	7.8c	10.1c
Extra-large edge (15%+)	50	38	76.0%	16.7c	19.9c
Closing scan (1 min before game)	178	130	73.0%	5.2c	4.3c
Pre-game scan	172	125	72.7%	4.7c	4.7c
Medium edge (4-8%)	158	110	69.6%	-1.6c	6.1c
8 AM scan	23	16	69.6%	-7.4c	-2.6c
Totals (over/under) market	548	379	69.2%	-0.7c	3.9c
Low confidence (0-1 signals)	301	206	68.4%	0.4c	2.3c
2 PM scan	220	150	68.2%	2.3c	4.1c
No steam move	491	318	64.8%	1.2c	3.3c
10 AM scan	33	21	63.6%	-4.7c	-1.2c
Scheduled scan	324	191	59.0%	0.5c	3.4c
Confidence not scored yet	359	204	56.8%	-3.3c	4.0c
Small edge (2-4%)	383	209	54.6%	-5.7c	-1.3c
Steam move detected (sharp money)	169	92	54.4%	-9.9c	3.2c
Moneyline market	26	14	53.8%	1.8c	3.6c
scan: manual	42	21	50.0%	-6.0c	2.3c
scan: sigma-test	42	20	47.6%	-7.7c	2.8c
scan: sp-test	42	20	47.6%	-7.8c	2.8c
scan: ml-fix	41	18	43.9%	-13.2c	2.6c
scan: sp-test2	41	18	43.9%	-12.5c	2.6c
Spread market	112	31	27.7%	-6.2c	-0.2c

Meta-Labels — Feature Combos

Win rate by 2-feature combinations. The best combos tell you when to bet bigger.

Feature	Sample Size	Wins	Win %	Avg PnL/Bet	Avg Edge
scan: manual + Large edge (8-15%)	6	5	83.3%	3.1c	8.7c
Pre-game scan + Large edge (8-15%)	17	14	82.4%	18.2c	11.1c
Totals (over/under) market + Large edge (8-15%)	65	52	80.0%	9.2c	10.0c
Closing scan (1 min before game) + Large edge (8-15%)	15	12	80.0%	18.0c	11.4c
scan: sigma-test + Large edge (8-15%)	5	4	80.0%	-0.6c	8.7c
scan: sp-test + Large edge (8-15%)	5	4	80.0%	-0.6c	8.7c
Low confidence (0-1 signals) + Large edge (8-15%)	32	25	78.1%	11.4c	10.3c
Scheduled scan + Extra-large edge (15%+)	27	21	77.8%	21.6c	19.8c
2 PM scan + Large edge (8-15%)	22	17	77.3%	14.6c	10.7c
Low confidence (0-1 signals) + Extra-large edge (15%+)	25	19	76.0%	16.6c	20.1c
Confidence not scored yet + Extra-large edge (15%+)	25	19	76.0%	16.9c	19.8c
Totals (over/under) market + Extra-large edge (15%+)	50	38	76.0%	16.7c	19.9c
2 PM scan + Extra-large edge (15%+)	25	19	76.0%	16.9c	19.8c
Closing scan (1 min before game) + Extra-large edge (15%+)	25	19	76.0%	16.6c	20.1c
Pre-game scan + Extra-large edge (15%+)	25	19	76.0%	16.6c	20.1c
Confidence not scored yet + Large edge (8-15%)	37	28	75.7%	4.7c	9.8c
10 AM scan + Large edge (8-15%)	16	12	75.0%	16.8c	11.3c
scan: manual + Medium edge (4-8%)	8	6	75.0%	0.5c	6.7c
Low confidence (0-1 signals) + Medium edge (4-8%)	60	44	73.3%	3.4c	6.0c
8 AM scan + Large edge (8-15%)	15	11	73.3%	16.0c	11.4c
10 AM scan + Extra-large edge (15%+)	26	19	73.1%	15.0c	20.2c
8 AM scan + Extra-large edge (15%+)	26	19	73.1%	15.0c	20.2c
scan: manual + Extra-large edge (15%+)	26	19	73.1%	15.0c	20.2c
Low confidence (0-1 signals) + Totals (over/under) market	272	197	72.4%	1.4c	2.5c
Closing scan (1 min before game) + Medium edge (4-8%)	43	31	72.1%	3.8c	5.9c
Closing scan (1 min before game) + Small edge (2-4%)	95	68	71.6%	0.8c	-1.7c
2 PM scan + Medium edge (4-8%)	56	40	71.4%	2.8c	6.0c
Pre-game scan + Small edge (2-4%)	89	63	70.8%	-0.7c	-1.5c
Pre-game scan + Medium edge (4-8%)	41	29	70.7%	3.3c	5.9c
Scheduled scan + Large edge (8-15%)	17	12	70.6%	12.2c	11.3c
scan: sigma-test + Medium edge (4-8%)	10	7	70.0%	-5.9c	6.5c
scan: sp-test + Medium edge (4-8%)	10	7	70.0%	-5.9c	6.5c
Low confidence (0-1 signals) + No steam move	259	181	69.9%	0.7c	2.3c
Totals (over/under) market + Medium edge (4-8%)	158	110	69.6%	-1.6c	6.1c
8 AM scan + Small edge (2-4%)	19	13	68.4%	-10.3c	-4.9c
Confidence not scored yet + Medium edge (4-8%)	98	66	67.3%	-4.7c	6.2c
Moneyline market + Small edge (2-4%)	21	14	66.7%	7.1c	-0.9c
10 AM scan + Medium edge (4-8%)	6	4	66.7%	-10.7c	6.2c
Scheduled scan + Medium edge (4-8%)	83	55	66.3%	-0.2c	5.9c
8 AM scan + Medium edge (4-8%)	47	31	66.0%	2.3c	5.9c
Confidence not scored yet + Totals (over/under) market	276	182	65.9%	-2.7c	5.3c
Totals (over/under) market + Small edge (2-4%)	275	179	65.1%	-5.6c	-1.6c
Low confidence (0-1 signals) + Small edge (2-4%)	184	118	64.1%	-4.7c	-2.7c
2 PM scan + Small edge (2-4%)	117	74	63.2%	-3.3c	-1.5c
scan: ml-fix + Medium edge (4-8%)	13	8	61.5%	-15.2c	6.2c
scan: sp-test2 + Medium edge (4-8%)	13	8	61.5%	-15.2c	6.2c
10 AM scan + Small edge (2-4%)	23	14	60.9%	-4.8c	-5.0c
Low confidence (0-1 signals) + Steam move detected (sharp money)	42	25	59.5%	-1.6c	2.2c
Confidence not scored yet + No steam move	232	137	59.1%	1.8c	4.3c
Low confidence (0-1 signals) + Moneyline market	24	13	54.2%	1.4c	3.0c
Spread market + Medium edge (4-8%)	37	20	54.1%	10.1c	5.8c
Confidence not scored yet + Steam move detected (sharp money)	127	67	52.8%	-12.7c	3.5c
Scheduled scan + Small edge (2-4%)	197	103	52.3%	-3.2c	-0.6c
Confidence not scored yet + Small edge (2-4%)	199	91	45.7%	-6.6c	-0.1c
scan: manual + Small edge (2-4%)	28	10	35.7%	-9.8c	-0.3c
scan: sigma-test + Small edge (2-4%)	27	9	33.3%	-9.7c	0.4c
scan: sp-test + Small edge (2-4%)	27	9	33.3%	-9.9c	0.3c
scan: ml-fix + Small edge (2-4%)	25	8	32.0%	-12.1c	-0.0c
scan: sp-test2 + Small edge (2-4%)	25	8	32.0%	-10.8c	-0.0c
Low confidence (0-1 signals) + Spread market	29	9	31.0%	-8.5c	0.1c
Spread market + Small edge (2-4%)	108	30	27.8%	-5.9c	-0.6c
Confidence not scored yet + Spread market	83	22	26.5%	-5.4c	-0.3c
Moneyline market + Extra-large edge (15%+)	5	0	0.0%	-20.2c	22.5c
Spread market + Large edge (8-15%)	7	0	0.0%	-10.4c	9.4c

Alpha Decay — Is the Edge Fading? (Last 16 Weeks)

Weekly ROI per strategy. Declining ROI = strategy crowding out. Each row is one ISO week.

Strategy	Week	N	Win %	ROI	Avg Edge
shin::ml	2026-W13	22	59.1%	6.8%	1.2c
	2026-W12	4	25.0%	-25.4%	16.8c

shin::spread	2026-W14	16	37.5%	-20.3%	0.7c
	2026-W13	96	26.0%	-18.6%	-0.3c
	2026-W12	171	50.3%	4.1%	0.6c

shin::total	2026-W13	261	67.0%	-10.2%	1.5c
	2026-W12	287	71.1%	8.6%	6.2c

Odds-as-Features — Which Numbers Predict Wins?

Point-biserial correlation between each edge feature and win/loss. Higher |r| = more predictive. Positive r = higher value → more wins.

#	Feature	N	Mean (Win)	Mean (Loss)	Correlation	\|r\|
1	Exec Price (Yes)	660	0.5952	0.3763	0.4615	0.4615
2	Execution Price	660	0.7038	0.4944	0.4527	0.4527
3	Model Prob (Yes)	660	0.5981	0.3268	0.4291	0.4291
4	Model Prob (No)	660	0.4019	0.6732	-0.4291	0.4291
5	Exec Price (No)	660	0.4814	0.6851	-0.4147	0.4147
6	Net Edge (No)	660	-0.0888	-0.0215	-0.2439	0.2439
7	Net Edge (Yes)	660	-0.0092	-0.0595	0.1765	0.1765
8	Net Edge	660	0.0408	0.0189	0.1436	0.1436
9	Steam Detected	660	0.2244	0.3080	-0.0929	0.0929
10	Spread (cents)	510	8.0987	6.4660	0.0679	0.0679
11	Steam Magnitude	660	0.4866	0.6280	-0.0585	0.0585
12	Pinnacle Move	275	0.1947	0.3588	-0.0495	0.0495
13	Trade Volume	301	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000
14	Taker % (Yes)	301	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000
15	Soft Book Consensus	301	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000
16	Is Longshot	660	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000

Fill Quality Monitoring — Are We Getting Profiled?

Tracks execution quality over time. Rising slippage or widening spreads may indicate account profiling by market makers.

Period	Sport	Market	N	Avg Spread	Avg Slippage	Fill Rate	Avg Edge	Taker %
2026-W14	ncaab	spread	16	6.8	24.38%	100%	0.71%	0.0%
2026-W13	ncaab	total	273	11.1	21.11%	100%	1.00%	0.0%
2026-W13	ncaab	spread	96	3.0	2.50%	100%	-0.32%	0.0%
2026-W13	ncaab	ml	23	1.3	8.57%	100%	1.08%	0.0%
2026-W12	ncaab	total	288	6.4	19.43%	48%	6.14%	0.0%
2026-W12	ncaab	spread	175	3.8	24.89%	57%	0.67%	0.0%
2026-W12	ncaab	ml	4	1.0	14.75%	50%	16.84%	0.0%

Granger Causality — Does X Predict Y?

Tests if lagged values of one series help predict another. Significant (p<0.05) means X Granger-causes Y — useful for timing entries.

X (Cause)	Y (Effect)	Lag	F-Stat	p-value	Direction	Significant?	N
edge_net_edge	outcome	1	51.156	<0.001	negative	YES	39127
edge_spread_cents	outcome	1	39.222	<0.001	positive	YES	39127
edge_steam_magnitude	outcome	1	2.476	0.1156	positive	no	39127

Data Viewer: edge-scanner-ncaab-totals

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