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« 2026-05-04 2026-05-05 2026-05-06 » 2 games
PHI @ NYK 2026-05-05T00:00Z
Class E MINIMUM
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: NYK | Away: PHI
PHI 79.1 — NYK 113.9
Total: 193.0 | Spread: -38.7 | ML: 91.8%
Pace: 96.1 poss | HCA: +4.0 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat NYK PHI Edge
ORtg — — —
DRtg — — —
NetRtg — — —
Pace — — —
Record 0-0 0-0 —
MOV 19.4 -9.9 NYK +29.3
Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00
Adj 4 Factors 0.33 0.33 NYK +0.01
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat NYK PHI Edge
eFG% 55.7% 53.0% NYK +0.027
TOV% 13.9% 13.4% PHI -0.005
OREB% 32.8% 30.6% NYK +0.022
FTA Rate 0.238 0.275 PHI -0.037
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat NYK PHI Edge
Opp eFG% 54.1% 54.1% 0.000
Opp TOV% 14.7% 15.2% PHI -0.005
Opp OREB% 28.5% 32.2% NYK +0.037
Opp FTA Rate 0.265 0.270 NYK +0.005
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat NYK PHI Edge
eFG Delta +1.6 -1.1 NYK +2.7
ORB Delta +0.6 +2.1 PHI -1.5
TOV Delta -1.3 -1.3 0.0
FTR Delta -3.2 +1.0 PHI -4.2
Matchup ORtg 118.4 111.9 NYK +6.5
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat NYK PHI Edge
Clutch ORtg 123.5 115.2 NYK +8.3
Clutch DRtg 103.1 98.6 PHI -4.5
Clutch NetRtg +20.5 +16.6 NYK +3.9
HUSTLE
Stat NYK PHI Edge
Deflections 17.0 20.5 PHI -3.5
Loose Balls 4.5 4.7 PHI -0.3
Contested 2PT 22.4 24.6 PHI -2.3
Contested 3PT 16.3 15.6 NYK +0.7
Screen Assists 6.8 7.1 PHI -0.3
Charges Drawn 0.6 0.2 NYK +0.3
REST & FATIGUE
Stat NYK PHI Edge
B2B Win% 66.7% 50.0% NYK +0.167
1-Day Rest Win% 70.0% 51.4% NYK +0.186
3+ Day Rest Win% 75.0% 75.0% 0.000
Rest Advantage 3d / fat 11.22 1d / fat 15.47 +0.1 pts
SHOOTING
Stat NYK PHI Edge
FG% 51.7% 44.8% NYK +0.070
3PT% 40.8% 33.8% NYK +0.070
3PT Rate 38.4% 39.5% PHI -0.012
FG3A/game 32.1 32.8 PHI -0.7
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat NYK PHI Edge
Opp PPG 110.1 116.1 NYK +6.0
Opp FG% 46.0% 46.7% NYK +0.007
Opp 3P% 36.2% 35.3% PHI -0.009
Opp TOV 14.4 15.4 PHI -1.0
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat NYK PHI Edge
Home ORtg 120.8 113.6 NYK +7.2
Home DRtg 110.5 114.8 NYK +4.3
Home NetRtg +10.3 -1.2 NYK +11.5
Road ORtg 116.4 115.0 NYK +1.4
Road NetRtg +2.4 +0.9 NYK +1.5
RECENT FORM
Stat NYK PHI Edge
L5 ORtg 120.0 105.4 NYK +14.6
L5 DRtg 108.7 108.6 PHI -0.1
L5 NetRtg +11.3 -3.2 NYK +14.5
L10 ORtg 119.7 116.0 NYK +3.7
L10 NetRtg +2.5 +3.4 PHI -0.9
Sagarin Overall 99.32 90.20 NYK +9.12
Sagarin Predictor 99.62 89.36 NYK +10.26
Sagarin Strong Recent 101.62 90.93 NYK +10.69
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) +2.00 +1.57 NYK +0.43
DRatings Overall 0.63 0.08 NYK +0.55
DRatings Inference 0.90 0.08 NYK +0.83
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) +0.27 +0.00 NYK +0.27
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat NYK PHI Edge
Margin Std Dev 17.4 20.9 PHI -3.6
Skewness 0.56 -0.06 —
Kurtosis -3.97 -3.95 —
Blowout Win% 50.0% 9.1% NYK +0.4
Blowout Loss% 0.0% 36.4% NYK +0.4
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM 3 alerts
Joel Embiid: **No 76ers-Knicks game tonight (May 5, 2026).**[[1]](https://www.espn.com/nba/game/_/gameId/401871159/76ers-knicks)[[2]](https://www.nbcsportsphiladelphia.com/nba/philadelphia-76ers/sixers-vs-knicks-playoff-series-schedule/731200)
| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-05-05 21:16:53
Joel Embiid: out
| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-05-05 21:16:53
Joel Embiid: probable
| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-05-05 21:16:53
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 3 markets
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss
ML — — —
Spread — — —
Total — — —
4 COMPARISON Classified
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss Math Kalshi Pinnacle Class
ML — — — — — — Class E
Spread — — — — — — Class E
Total — — — — — — Class E
5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.

MIN @ SAS 2026-05-05T01:30Z
Class E MINIMUM
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: SAS | Away: MIN
MIN 109.2 — SAS 94.2
Total: 203.3 | Spread: +15.0 | ML: 28.1%
Pace: 98.1 poss | HCA: 0.0 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat SAS MIN Edge
ORtg — — —
DRtg — — —
NetRtg — — —
Pace — — —
Record 0-0 0-0 —
MOV 12.9 -3.6 SAS +16.5
Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00
Adj 4 Factors 0.32 0.28 SAS +0.04
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat SAS MIN Edge
eFG% 55.9% 55.9% 0.000
TOV% 13.3% 14.5% SAS +0.012
OREB% 30.6% 30.2% SAS +0.004
FTA Rate 0.274 0.285 MIN -0.011
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat SAS MIN Edge
Opp eFG% 52.2% 52.9% SAS +0.007
Opp TOV% 12.8% 14.7% MIN -0.019
Opp OREB% 27.6% 30.9% SAS +0.033
Opp FTA Rate 0.228 0.282 SAS +0.054
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat SAS MIN Edge
eFG Delta +3.0 +3.7 MIN -0.7
ORB Delta -0.3 +2.6 MIN -2.9
TOV Delta -1.4 +1.7 MIN -3.1
FTR Delta -0.8 +5.7 MIN -6.5
Matchup ORtg 116.5 111.3 SAS +5.2
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat SAS MIN Edge
Clutch ORtg 122.6 108.4 SAS +14.2
Clutch DRtg 114.4 109.5 MIN -4.9
Clutch NetRtg +8.3 -1.2 SAS +9.5
HUSTLE
Stat SAS MIN Edge
Deflections 15.7 17.0 MIN -1.3
Loose Balls 4.1 4.3 MIN -0.2
Contested 2PT 27.6 27.2 SAS +0.4
Contested 3PT 14.8 15.0 MIN -0.1
Screen Assists 8.1 7.1 SAS +1.0
Charges Drawn 0.3 0.1 SAS +0.2
REST & FATIGUE
Stat SAS MIN Edge
B2B Win% 80.0% 42.9% SAS +0.371
1-Day Rest Win% 82.5% 59.0% SAS +0.235
3+ Day Rest Win% 100.0% 100.0% 0.000
Rest Advantage 4d / fat 27.21 2d / fat 25.47 -0.1 pts
SHOOTING
Stat SAS MIN Edge
FG% 48.4% 44.3% SAS +0.040
3PT% 37.3% 33.5% SAS +0.038
3PT Rate 37.3% 34.4% SAS +0.029
FG3A/game 31.9 30.9 SAS +1.0
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat SAS MIN Edge
Opp PPG 111.5 114.6 SAS +3.1
Opp FG% 45.1% 46.2% SAS +0.011
Opp 3P% 35.2% 35.5% SAS +0.003
Opp TOV 13.0 15.0 MIN -2.0
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat SAS MIN Edge
Home ORtg 120.0 112.7 SAS +7.3
Home DRtg 111.6 109.0 MIN -2.6
Home NetRtg +8.4 +3.6 SAS +4.8
Road ORtg 117.9 118.5 MIN -0.6
Road NetRtg +8.4 +2.6 SAS +5.8
RECENT FORM
Stat SAS MIN Edge
L5 ORtg 121.4 121.6 MIN -0.2
L5 DRtg 116.2 121.3 SAS +5.1
L5 NetRtg +5.2 +0.3 SAS +4.9
L10 ORtg 123.1 112.3 SAS +10.8
L10 NetRtg +13.2 -0.6 SAS +13.8
Sagarin Overall 100.08 93.17 SAS +6.91
Sagarin Predictor 99.92 92.94 SAS +6.98
Sagarin Strong Recent 102.27 93.52 SAS +8.75
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) +2.35 +0.58 SAS +1.77
DRatings Overall 0.89 0.29 SAS +0.59
DRatings Inference 1.13 0.30 SAS +0.83
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) +0.25 +0.01 SAS +0.24
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat SAS MIN Edge
Margin Std Dev 14.2 17.9 MIN -3.6
Skewness 0.36 -0.78 —
Kurtosis -3.97 -3.80 —
Blowout Win% 40.0% 18.2% SAS +0.2
Blowout Loss% 0.0% 18.2% SAS +0.2
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM No alerts
✓ No alerts — standard lineups expected
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 3 markets
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss
ML — — —
Spread — — —
Total — — —
4 COMPARISON Classified
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss Math Kalshi Pinnacle Class
ML — — — — — — Class E
Spread — — — — — — Class E
Total — — — — — — Class E
5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.