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« 2026-04-21 2026-04-22 2026-04-23 » 2 games
ORL @ DET 2026-04-22T23:00:00Z
Class E MINIMUM
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: DET | Away: ORL
ORL 105.3 — DET 109.9
Total: 215.2 | Spread: -7.0 | ML: 60.7%
Pace: 97.2 poss | HCA: +2.5 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat DET ORL Edge
ORtg — — —
DRtg — — —
NetRtg — — —
Pace — — —
Record 0-0 0-0 —
MOV 2.7 -4.7 DET +7.4
Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00
Adj 4 Factors 0.25 0.36 ORL -0.10
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat DET ORL Edge
eFG% 54.6% 53.1% DET +0.015
TOV% 15.1% 14.0% ORL -0.011
OREB% 35.4% 30.6% DET +0.048
FTA Rate 0.292 0.311 ORL -0.019
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat DET ORL Edge
Opp eFG% 51.7% 54.5% DET +0.028
Opp TOV% 16.8% 14.7% DET +0.021
Opp OREB% 31.1% 29.0% ORL -0.021
Opp FTA Rate 0.319 0.285 ORL -0.034
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat DET ORL Edge
eFG Delta +0.1 +1.4 ORL -1.3
ORB Delta +6.4 -0.5 DET +6.9
TOV Delta +0.4 -2.8 DET +3.2
FTR Delta +0.7 -0.8 DET +1.5
Matchup ORtg 116.2 108.4 DET +7.8
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat DET ORL Edge
Clutch ORtg 111.2 107.3 DET +3.9
Clutch DRtg 102.1 106.0 DET +3.9
Clutch NetRtg +9.1 +1.3 DET +7.8
HUSTLE
Stat DET ORL Edge
Deflections 20.5 16.9 DET +3.6
Loose Balls 5.5 4.2 DET +1.3
Contested 2PT 26.0 25.5 DET +0.4
Contested 3PT 16.4 15.2 DET +1.2
Screen Assists 7.0 7.2 ORL -0.2
Charges Drawn 0.2 0.3 ORL -0.1
REST & FATIGUE
Stat DET ORL Edge
B2B Win% 100.0% 100.0% 0.000
1-Day Rest Win% 66.7% 51.2% DET +0.155
3+ Day Rest Win% 80.0% 50.0% DET +0.300
Rest Advantage 2d / fat 0.00 2d / fat 0.00 0.0 pts
SHOOTING
Stat DET ORL Edge
FG% 45.0% 39.7% DET +0.053
3PT% 35.6% 32.8% DET +0.028
3PT Rate 34.2% 40.8% ORL -0.065
FG3A/game 28.6 34.0 ORL -5.4
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat DET ORL Edge
Opp PPG 109.6 115.1 DET +5.5
Opp FG% 44.3% 47.6% DET +0.033
Opp 3P% 34.5% 35.3% DET +0.008
Opp TOV 16.9 14.9 DET +2.0
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat DET ORL Edge
Home ORtg 117.4 115.0 DET +2.4
Home DRtg 106.6 113.4 DET +6.8
Home NetRtg +10.8 +1.6 DET +9.2
Road ORtg 117.1 113.5 DET +3.6
Road NetRtg +5.9 +0.1 DET +5.8
RECENT FORM
Stat DET ORL Edge
L5 ORtg 124.9 115.5 DET +9.4
L5 DRtg 111.6 105.6 ORL -6.0
L5 NetRtg +13.3 +10.0 DET +3.3
L10 ORtg 120.1 111.8 DET +8.3
L10 NetRtg +12.3 -0.3 DET +12.6
Sagarin Overall 96.95 91.88 DET +5.07
Sagarin Predictor 97.04 91.61 DET +5.43
Sagarin Strong Recent 96.84 92.03 DET +4.81
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) -0.20 +0.42 ORL -0.62
DRatings Overall 0.62 0.17 DET +0.45
DRatings Inference 0.77 0.18 DET +0.59
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) +0.15 +0.01 DET +0.13
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat DET ORL Edge
Margin Std Dev 11.4 13.0 ORL -1.6
Skewness 0.28 0.01 —
Kurtosis -3.83 -4.92 —
Blowout Win% 16.7% 0.0% DET +0.2
Blowout Loss% 0.0% 28.6% DET +0.3
QUARTER SCORING
Stat DET ORL Edge
Q1 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q2 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q3 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta 0.0 0.0 —
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM 9 alerts
Detroit Pistons: **Detroit Pistons (DET) Injury Update: April 22, 2026 (Game 2 vs. ORL)**[[1]](https://orlandomagic.com/news/orlando-magic-detroit-pistons-game-preview-injury-report-20260422)[[2]](https://www.espn.com/nba/team/injuries/_/name/det/detroit-pistons)[[3]](https://www.cbssports.com/nba/teams/DET/detroit-
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Ruled Out: Ruled Out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Time Decisions: Game-Time Decision
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Minutes Restrictions: Minutes Restriction
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Orlando Magic: **Orlando Magic (ORL) Injury Report - April 22, 2026 (Game 2 @ DET, 7:00 PM ET)**[[1]](https://ak-static.cms.nba.com/referee/injury/Injury-Report_2026-04-22_02_30PM.pdf)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Ruled Out: Ruled Out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Jonathan Isaac: - Jonathan Isaac (PF): Left Knee; Sprain[[1]](https://ak-static.cms.nba.com/referee/injury/Injury-Report_2026-04-22_02_30PM.pdf)[[2]](https://www.cbssports.com/nba/teams/ORL/orlando-magic/injuries)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Time Decisions: Game-Time Decision
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Minutes Restrictions: Minutes Restriction
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 3 markets
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss
ML — — —
Spread — — —
Total — — —
4 COMPARISON Classified
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss Math Kalshi Pinnacle Class
ML — — — — — — Class E
Spread — — — — — — Class E
Total — — — — — — Class E
5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.

PHX @ OKC 2026-04-23T01:30:00Z
Class E MINIMUM
1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed
PROJECTIONS (our math)
Home: OKC | Away: PHX
PHX 102.0 — OKC 109.6
Total: 211.6 | Spread: -8.0 | ML: 62.2%
Pace: 96.3 poss | HCA: +0.4 pts
EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat OKC PHX Edge
ORtg — — —
DRtg — — —
NetRtg — — —
Pace — — —
Record 0-0 0-0 —
MOV 16.7 -17.3 OKC +34.0
Consistency 0.00 0.00 0.00
Adj 4 Factors 0.25 0.22 OKC +0.02
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat OKC PHX Edge
eFG% 56.1% 53.7% OKC +0.024
TOV% 12.4% 14.7% OKC +0.023
OREB% 26.4% 33.1% PHX -0.067
FTA Rate 0.261 0.225 OKC +0.036
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat OKC PHX Edge
Opp eFG% 51.9% 54.1% OKC +0.022
Opp TOV% 16.5% 16.5% 0.000
Opp OREB% 30.3% 32.3% OKC +0.020
Opp FTA Rate 0.248 0.276 OKC +0.028
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat OKC PHX Edge
eFG Delta +2.0 +1.8 OKC +0.2
ORB Delta -5.9 +2.8 PHX -8.7
TOV Delta -4.1 -1.8 PHX -2.3
FTR Delta -1.5 -2.3 OKC +0.8
Matchup ORtg 115.8 106.0 OKC +9.8
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat OKC PHX Edge
Clutch ORtg 124.5 104.0 OKC +20.5
Clutch DRtg 100.7 112.4 OKC +11.7
Clutch NetRtg +23.8 -8.4 OKC +32.2
HUSTLE
Stat OKC PHX Edge
Deflections 20.7 20.3 OKC +0.5
Loose Balls 4.5 4.6 PHX -0.1
Contested 2PT 27.3 21.1 OKC +6.2
Contested 3PT 19.0 14.0 OKC +4.9
Screen Assists 8.2 8.4 PHX -0.2
Charges Drawn 0.5 0.2 OKC +0.3
REST & FATIGUE
Stat OKC PHX Edge
B2B Win% 33.3% 33.3% 0.000
1-Day Rest Win% 83.3% 60.5% OKC +0.228
3+ Day Rest Win% 100.0% 57.1% OKC +0.429
Rest Advantage 2d / fat 0.00 2d / fat 0.00 0.0 pts
SHOOTING
Stat OKC PHX Edge
FG% 51.0% 44.6% OKC +0.064
3PT% 38.4% 34.0% OKC +0.044
3PT Rate 41.8% 43.5% PHX -0.017
FG3A/game 36.5 37.5 PHX -1.0
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat OKC PHX Edge
Opp PPG 107.9 111.1 OKC +3.2
Opp FG% 43.7% 47.0% OKC +0.033
Opp 3P% 36.9% 34.7% PHX -0.022
Opp TOV 16.7 16.3 OKC +0.4
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat OKC PHX Edge
Home ORtg 117.5 114.7 OKC +2.8
Home DRtg 105.8 111.1 OKC +5.3
Home NetRtg +11.7 +3.6 OKC +8.1
Road ORtg 118.1 113.8 OKC +4.3
Road NetRtg +10.8 -0.8 OKC +11.6
RECENT FORM
Stat OKC PHX Edge
L5 ORtg 120.7 113.1 OKC +7.6
L5 DRtg 112.9 111.3 PHX -1.6
L5 NetRtg +7.8 +1.7 OKC +6.1
L10 ORtg 120.7 116.4 OKC +4.3
L10 NetRtg +10.8 +3.3 OKC +7.5
Sagarin Overall 101.77 90.56 OKC +11.21
Sagarin Predictor 101.87 90.61 OKC +11.26
Sagarin Strong Recent 102.36 89.88 OKC +12.48
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred) +0.49 -0.73 OKC +1.22
DRatings Overall 1.05 0.12 OKC +0.93
DRatings Inference 1.15 0.17 OKC +0.98
DR Trend (Inf-Overall) +0.10 +0.05 OKC +0.05
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat OKC PHX Edge
Margin Std Dev 9.3 15.7 PHX -6.3
Skewness 1.01 -0.42 —
Kurtosis -4.12 -3.07 —
Blowout Win% 50.0% 19.5% OKC +0.3
Blowout Loss% 0.0% 17.1% OKC +0.2
QUARTER SCORING
Stat OKC PHX Edge
Q1 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q2 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q3 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 Avg 0.0 0.0 0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta 0.0 0.0 —
2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM 21 alerts
Thunder Injury: **OKC Thunder Injury Report - Suns @ Thunder, Game 2 (April 22, 2026)**[[1]](https://okcthunderwire.usatoday.com/story/sports/nba/thunder/2026/04/22/full-injury-report-for-wednesdays-suns-vs-thunder-game-2-matchup/89725302007)[[2]](https://www.oklahoman.com/story/sports/nba/thunder/2026/04/22/thunde
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Thomas Sorber: OUT
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
OKC update: ruled out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Jordan Goodwin: **Jordan Goodwin (Phoenix Suns, not OKC Thunder)**
| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Jordan Goodwin: - **Tonight's Game**: Suns @ Thunder, NBA Playoffs Game 2 (April 22, 2026, 8:30 p.m. CT).[[1]](https://www.oklahoman.com/story/sports/nba/thunder/2026/04/22/thunder-vs-suns-channel-tonight-time-tv-streaming-nba-playoffs-injury-report/89727220007)[[2]](https://www.espn.com/nba/game/_/gameId/401869368
| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Jordan Goodwin: Questionable
| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Jordan Goodwin: out
| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Mark Williams: **Mark Williams (Phoenix Suns C):**
| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Mark Williams: - **Game:** Phoenix Suns at OKC Thunder, NBA Playoffs Game 2 (April 22, 2026).[[1]](https://www.nba.com/game/phx-vs-okc-0042500142undefined)[[2]](https://www.azcentral.com/story/sports/nba/suns/2026/04/21/phoenix-suns-big-mark-williams-walking-boot-going-into-game-2-vs-oklahoma-city-thunder/89723335
| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Mark Williams: Questionable
| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Mark Williams: - Missed Game 1 and prior game; seen in walking boot recently.[[2]](https://www.azcentral.com/story/sports/nba/suns/2026/04/21/phoenix-suns-big-mark-williams-walking-boot-going-into-game-2-vs-oklahoma-city-thunder/89723335007)[[5]](https://clutchpoints.com/nba/phoenix-suns/suns-news-mark-williams-wa
| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Phoenix Suns: **Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder, NBA Playoffs Game 2, April 22, 2026**[[1]](https://www.nba.com/suns/news/4-22-2026-suns-thunder-playoffs-game-2-preview)[[2]](https://suns.com/news/4-22-2026-suns-thunder-playoffs-game-2-preview)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Ruled Out: Ruled Out
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Time Decisions: Game-Time Decision
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Grayson Allen: - Grayson Allen: Left Hamstring Strain[[5]](https://x.com/i/status/2046718839384379554)[[3]](https://x.com/i/status/2046945531478315153)[[4]](https://x.com/i/status/2046716158716338416)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Jordan Goodwin: - Jordan Goodwin: Left Calf Soreness[[5]](https://x.com/i/status/2046718839384379554)[[3]](https://x.com/i/status/2046945531478315153)[[1]](https://www.nba.com/suns/news/4-22-2026-suns-thunder-playoffs-game-2-preview)
| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Harrison Barnes: **Harrison Barnes (San Antonio Spurs Forward)**[[1]](https://www.expressnews.com/sports/spurs/article/spurs-harrison-barnes-dylan-harper-shake-22219428.php)
| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Harrison Barnes: - **Current Team**: San Antonio Spurs (not Phoenix Suns).[[2]](https://www.espn.com/nba/player/_/id/6578/harrison-barnes)[[3]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harrison_Barnes)
| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Harrison Barnes: - **Recent Injury**: Shoulder stinger/left wrist injury in Q4 of Game 2 vs. Portland Trail Blazers (Spurs loss 103-106, Apr 21, 2026). Did not return.[[1]](https://www.expressnews.com/sports/spurs/article/spurs-harrison-barnes-dylan-harper-shake-22219428.php)[[4]](https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/20
| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Harrison Barnes: questionable
| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
Harrison Barnes: - **Tonight (Apr 22, 2026)**: No Spurs game scheduled.[[6]](https://www.nba.com/schedule/spurs)
| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-22 21:02:47
3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 3 markets
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss
ML — — —
Spread — — —
Total — — —
4 COMPARISON Classified
Market Sonnet Gemini gpt-oss Math Kalshi Pinnacle Class
ML — — — — — — Class E
Spread — — — — — — Class E
Total — — — — — — Class E
5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

Opus hasn't ruled yet.

6 RESULT Awaiting

Game hasn't finished yet.