MMA Pipeline — 2026-04-20

TOR @ CLE 2026-04-20T23:00:00Z

1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed

PROJECTIONS (our math)

Home: CLE | Away: TOR

TOR 103.7 — CLE 105.4

Total: 209.1 | Spread: -1.9 | ML: 52.9%

Pace: 97.0 poss | HCA: +0.1 pts

EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat	CLE	TOR	Edge
ORtg	—	—	—
DRtg	—	—	—
NetRtg	—	—	—
Pace	—	—	—
Record	0-0	0-0	—
MOV	1.0	-1.8	CLE +2.8
Consistency	0.00	0.00	0.00
Adj 4 Factors	0.36	0.29	CLE +0.08
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat	CLE	TOR	Edge
eFG%	56.1%	54.6%	CLE +0.015
TOV%	13.8%	13.7%	TOR -0.001
OREB%	30.7%	30.0%	CLE +0.007
FTA Rate	0.265	0.265	0.000
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat	CLE	TOR	Edge
Opp eFG%	54.3%	54.0%	TOR -0.003
Opp TOV%	14.9%	16.1%	TOR -0.012
Opp OREB%	30.8%	30.7%	TOR -0.001
Opp FTA Rate	0.263	0.279	CLE +0.016
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat	CLE	TOR	Edge
eFG Delta	+2.1	+0.3	CLE +1.8
ORB Delta	—	-0.8	—
TOV Delta	-2.3	-1.2	TOR -1.1
FTR Delta	-1.4	+0.2	TOR -1.6
Matchup ORtg	115.7	114.4	CLE +1.3
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat	CLE	TOR	Edge
Clutch ORtg	116.9	106.9	CLE +10.0
Clutch DRtg	102.4	99.1	TOR -3.3
Clutch NetRtg	+14.5	+7.7	CLE +6.8
HUSTLE
Stat	CLE	TOR	Edge
Deflections	19.1	20.4	TOR -1.3
Loose Balls	4.5	3.9	CLE +0.6
Contested 2PT	25.8	23.7	CLE +2.1
Contested 3PT	15.3	15.1	CLE +0.2
Screen Assists	7.4	6.9	CLE +0.5
Charges Drawn	0.2	0.3	TOR -0.1
REST & FATIGUE
Stat	CLE	TOR	Edge
B2B Win%	66.7%	33.3%	CLE +0.334
1-Day Rest Win%	71.4%	56.8%	CLE +0.146
3+ Day Rest Win%	40.0%	100.0%	TOR -0.600
Rest Advantage	1d / fat 10.00	1d / fat 10.00	0.0 pts

SHOOTING
Stat	CLE	TOR	Edge
FG%	46.8%	46.5%	CLE +0.003
3PT%	34.2%	35.6%	TOR -0.014
3PT Rate	45.8%	34.3%	CLE +0.116
FG3A/game	37.6	29.7	CLE +7.9
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat	CLE	TOR	Edge
Opp PPG	115.4	111.8	TOR -3.6
Opp FG%	46.4%	46.7%	CLE +0.003
Opp 3P%	37.2%	34.9%	TOR -0.023
Opp TOV	15.0	16.1	TOR -1.1
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat	CLE	TOR	Edge
Home ORtg	118.3	115.4	CLE +2.9
Home DRtg	114.0	110.9	TOR -3.1
Home NetRtg	+4.3	+4.5	TOR -0.2
Road ORtg	118.3	114.5	CLE +3.8
Road NetRtg	+4.0	+1.2	CLE +2.8
RECENT FORM
Stat	CLE	TOR	Edge
L5 ORtg	120.4	119.3	CLE +1.1
L5 DRtg	116.1	110.5	TOR -5.6
L5 NetRtg	+4.3	+8.8	TOR -4.5
L10 ORtg	120.0	120.8	TOR -0.8
L10 NetRtg	+2.8	+12.0	TOR -9.2
Sagarin Overall	94.80	92.77	CLE +2.03
Sagarin Predictor	94.60	93.15	CLE +1.45
Sagarin Strong Recent	94.72	93.29	CLE +1.43
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred)	+0.12	+0.14	TOR -0.02
DRatings Overall	0.51	0.20	CLE +0.31
DRatings Inference	0.53	0.29	CLE +0.24
DR Trend (Inf-Overall)	+0.02	+0.10	TOR -0.07
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat	CLE	TOR	Edge
Margin Std Dev	10.8	12.4	TOR -1.6
Skewness	-0.91	1.28	—
Kurtosis	-3.68	-4.41	—
Blowout Win%	0.0%	14.3%	TOR -0.1
Blowout Loss%	8.3%	0.0%	TOR -0.1
QUARTER SCORING
Stat	CLE	TOR	Edge
Q1 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q2 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q3 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q4 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta	0.0	0.0	—

2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM 10 alerts

3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 Pending

4 COMPARISON Pending

5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

6 RESULT Awaiting

ATL @ NYK 2026-04-21T00:00:00Z

1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed

PROJECTIONS (our math)

Home: NYK | Away: ATL

ATL 109.0 — NYK 108.6

Total: 217.7 | Spread: -3.6 | ML: 55.5%

Pace: 97.1 poss | HCA: +4.0 pts

EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat	NYK	ATL	Edge
ORtg	—	—	—
DRtg	—	—	—
NetRtg	—	—	—
Pace	—	—	—
Record	0-0	0-0	—
MOV	19.4	-17.5	NYK +36.9
Consistency	0.00	0.00	0.00
Adj 4 Factors	0.33	0.28	NYK +0.06
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat	NYK	ATL	Edge
eFG%	55.7%	55.4%	NYK +0.003
TOV%	13.9%	13.8%	ATL -0.001
OREB%	32.8%	29.1%	NYK +0.037
FTA Rate	0.238	0.234	NYK +0.004
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat	NYK	ATL	Edge
Opp eFG%	54.1%	54.6%	NYK +0.005
Opp TOV%	14.7%	15.6%	ATL -0.009
Opp OREB%	28.5%	29.8%	NYK +0.013
Opp FTA Rate	0.265	0.260	ATL -0.005
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat	NYK	ATL	Edge
eFG Delta	+1.1	+1.3	ATL -0.2
ORB Delta	+3.0	+0.6	NYK +2.4
TOV Delta	-1.7	-0.9	ATL -0.8
FTR Delta	-2.2	-3.1	NYK +0.9
Matchup ORtg	116.9	112.6	NYK +4.3
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat	NYK	ATL	Edge
Clutch ORtg	123.5	109.5	NYK +14.0
Clutch DRtg	103.1	107.4	NYK +4.3
Clutch NetRtg	+20.5	+2.2	NYK +18.3
HUSTLE
Stat	NYK	ATL	Edge
Deflections	17.0	19.9	ATL -2.9
Loose Balls	4.5	4.7	ATL -0.3
Contested 2PT	22.4	27.0	ATL -4.6
Contested 3PT	16.3	16.3	+0.0
Screen Assists	6.8	7.7	ATL -0.8
Charges Drawn	0.6	0.2	NYK +0.3
REST & FATIGUE
Stat	NYK	ATL	Edge
B2B Win%	66.7%	25.0%	NYK +0.417
1-Day Rest Win%	70.0%	62.8%	NYK +0.072
3+ Day Rest Win%	75.0%	25.0%	NYK +0.500
Rest Advantage	1d / fat 10.00	1d / fat 10.00	0.0 pts

SHOOTING
Stat	NYK	ATL	Edge
FG%	51.7%	43.6%	NYK +0.081
3PT%	40.8%	31.2%	NYK +0.096
3PT Rate	38.4%	43.4%	ATL -0.051
FG3A/game	32.1	36.3	ATL -4.2
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat	NYK	ATL	Edge
Opp PPG	110.1	116.0	NYK +5.9
Opp FG%	46.0%	47.4%	NYK +0.014
Opp 3P%	36.2%	35.5%	ATL -0.007
Opp TOV	14.4	16.1	ATL -1.7
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat	NYK	ATL	Edge
Home ORtg	120.8	115.4	NYK +5.4
Home DRtg	110.5	111.6	NYK +1.1
Home NetRtg	+10.3	+3.8	NYK +6.5
Road ORtg	116.4	114.7	NYK +1.7
Road NetRtg	+2.4	+0.5	NYK +1.9
RECENT FORM
Stat	NYK	ATL	Edge
L5 ORtg	120.0	117.5	NYK +2.5
L5 DRtg	108.7	114.1	NYK +5.4
L5 NetRtg	+11.3	+3.4	NYK +7.9
L10 ORtg	119.7	117.9	NYK +1.8
L10 NetRtg	+2.5	+5.5	ATL -3.0
Sagarin Overall	99.32	92.04	NYK +7.28
Sagarin Predictor	99.62	92.24	NYK +7.38
Sagarin Strong Recent	101.62	92.30	NYK +9.32
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred)	+2.00	+0.06	NYK +1.94
DRatings Overall	0.63	0.21	NYK +0.42
DRatings Inference	0.90	0.23	NYK +0.67
DR Trend (Inf-Overall)	+0.27	+0.02	NYK +0.25
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat	NYK	ATL	Edge
Margin Std Dev	17.4	19.9	ATL -2.6
Skewness	0.56	-0.99	—
Kurtosis	-3.97	-5.13	—
Blowout Win%	50.0%	0.0%	NYK +0.5
Blowout Loss%	0.0%	50.0%	NYK +0.5

2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM 15 alerts

New York: **New York Knicks Injury Report - Game 2 vs. Hawks, April 20, 2026**[[1]](https://www.teamrankings.com/nba/matchup/hawks-knicks-2026-04-20/injuries)[[2]](https://www.espn.com/nba/game/_/gameId/401869387)

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

Ruled Out: Ruled Out

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

Time Decisions: Game-Time Decision

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

NYK update: Probable

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

Tyler Kolek: Questionable

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

Atlanta Hawks: **Atlanta Hawks Injury Update - April 20, 2026 (Game 2 @ Knicks)**[[1]](https://www.espn.com/nba/game/_/gameId/401869387)[[2]](https://foxsportsthegame.iheart.com/content/2026-04-20-hawks-vs-knicks-nba-playoffs-game-2-injury-report-april-20)

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

Ruled Out: Ruled Out

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

Jock Landale: - Jock Landale (C): Right ankle sprain[[1]](https://www.espn.com/nba/game/_/gameId/401869387)[[3]](https://www.covers.com/sport/basketball/nba/injuries)[[4]](https://x.com/i/status/2046228283713352011)

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

Time Decisions: Game-Time Decision

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

Onyeka Okongwu: - Onyeka Okongwu (C): Right knee inflammation[[1]](https://www.espn.com/nba/game/_/gameId/401869387)[[3]](https://www.covers.com/sport/basketball/nba/injuries)[[5]](https://www.espn.com/nba/team/injuries/_/name/atl/atlanta-hawks)[[4]](https://x.com/i/status/2046228283713352011)

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

Onyeka Okongwu: **Onyeka Okongwu Status (Atlanta Hawks):**

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

Onyeka Okongwu: Questionable

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

Onyeka Okongwu: - Injury: Right knee inflammation (suffered in Game 1).[[3]](https://www.rotowire.com/basketball/player/onyeka-okongwu-5118)[[4]](https://x.com/i/status/2046214499221324162)

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

Onyeka Okongwu: **Hawks Injury Report:**

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

Onyeka Okongwu: Out

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 Pending

4 COMPARISON Pending

5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

6 RESULT Awaiting

MIN @ DEN 2026-04-21T02:30:00Z

1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed

PROJECTIONS (our math)

Home: DEN | Away: MIN

MIN 113.9 — DEN 116.0

Total: 229.9 | Spread: -2.5 | ML: 54.0%

Pace: 97.5 poss | HCA: +0.5 pts

EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat	DEN	MIN	Edge
ORtg	—	—	—
DRtg	—	—	—
NetRtg	—	—	—
Pace	—	—	—
Record	0-0	0-0	—
MOV	-4.5	-3.6	MIN -0.9
Consistency	0.00	0.00	0.00
Adj 4 Factors	0.36	0.28	DEN +0.08
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat	DEN	MIN	Edge
eFG%	57.7%	55.9%	DEN +0.018
TOV%	12.8%	14.5%	DEN +0.017
OREB%	28.6%	30.2%	MIN -0.016
FTA Rate	0.294	0.285	DEN +0.009
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat	DEN	MIN	Edge
Opp eFG%	54.3%	52.9%	MIN -0.014
Opp TOV%	11.7%	14.7%	MIN -0.030
Opp OREB%	28.3%	30.9%	DEN +0.026
Opp FTA Rate	0.254	0.282	DEN +0.028
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat	DEN	MIN	Edge
eFG Delta	+4.8	+1.6	DEN +3.2
ORB Delta	-2.3	+1.9	MIN -4.2
TOV Delta	-1.9	+2.8	MIN -4.7
FTR Delta	+1.2	+3.1	MIN -1.9
Matchup ORtg	119.0	116.9	DEN +2.1
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat	DEN	MIN	Edge
Clutch ORtg	117.4	108.4	DEN +9.0
Clutch DRtg	120.6	109.5	MIN -11.1
Clutch NetRtg	-3.2	-1.2	MIN -2.0
HUSTLE
Stat	DEN	MIN	Edge
Deflections	14.4	17.0	MIN -2.6
Loose Balls	3.5	4.3	MIN -0.8
Contested 2PT	22.0	27.2	MIN -5.2
Contested 3PT	14.9	15.0	-0.0
Screen Assists	8.7	7.1	DEN +1.7
Charges Drawn	0.3	0.1	DEN +0.2
REST & FATIGUE
Stat	DEN	MIN	Edge
B2B Win%	50.0%	42.9%	DEN +0.071
1-Day Rest Win%	67.6%	59.0%	DEN +0.086
3+ Day Rest Win%	33.3%	100.0%	MIN -0.667
Rest Advantage	1d / fat 10.00	1d / fat 10.00	0.0 pts

SHOOTING
Stat	DEN	MIN	Edge
FG%	43.6%	44.3%	MIN -0.007
3PT%	31.1%	33.5%	MIN -0.024
3PT Rate	38.6%	34.4%	DEN +0.042
FG3A/game	32.2	30.9	DEN +1.3
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat	DEN	MIN	Edge
Opp PPG	116.9	114.6	MIN -2.3
Opp FG%	46.8%	46.2%	MIN -0.006
Opp 3P%	34.9%	35.5%	DEN +0.006
Opp TOV	11.8	15.0	MIN -3.2
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat	DEN	MIN	Edge
Home ORtg	120.7	112.7	DEN +8.0
Home DRtg	115.1	109.0	MIN -6.1
Home NetRtg	+5.7	+3.6	DEN +2.1
Road ORtg	121.7	118.5	DEN +3.2
Road NetRtg	+4.7	+2.6	DEN +2.1
RECENT FORM
Stat	DEN	MIN	Edge
L5 ORtg	128.7	121.6	DEN +7.1
L5 DRtg	117.5	121.3	DEN +3.8
L5 NetRtg	+11.1	+0.3	DEN +10.8
L10 ORtg	128.0	112.3	DEN +15.7
L10 NetRtg	+10.6	-0.6	DEN +11.2
Sagarin Overall	94.92	93.17	DEN +1.75
Sagarin Predictor	95.08	92.94	DEN +2.14
Sagarin Strong Recent	93.75	93.52	DEN +0.23
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred)	-1.33	+0.58	MIN -1.91
DRatings Overall	0.49	0.29	DEN +0.19
DRatings Inference	0.57	0.30	DEN +0.27
DR Trend (Inf-Overall)	+0.08	+0.01	DEN +0.07
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat	DEN	MIN	Edge
Margin Std Dev	13.1	17.9	MIN -4.8
Skewness	0.58	-0.78	—
Kurtosis	-5.55	-3.80	—
Blowout Win%	0.0%	18.2%	MIN -0.2
Blowout Loss%	33.3%	18.2%	MIN -0.2
QUARTER SCORING
Stat	DEN	MIN	Edge
Q1 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q2 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q3 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q4 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta	0.0	0.0	—

2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM 12 alerts

Denver Nuggets: **Denver Nuggets Injury Report - April 20, 2026 (Game 2 vs. MIN @ 10:30 PM ET)**[[1]](https://ak-static.cms.nba.com/referee/injury/Injury-Report_2026-04-20_02_30PM.pdf)[[2]](https://www.si.com/nba/nuggets/onsi/nuggets-vs-timberwolves-game-2-injury-report-and-starting-lineups)

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

Ruled Out: Ruled Out

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

Spencer Jones: game-time decision

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

Minnesota Timberwolves: **Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Status for April 20, 2026 (Game 2 vs. Denver Nuggets):[[1]](https://ak-static.cms.nba.com/referee/injury/Injury-Report_2026-04-20_11_00AM.pdf)[[2]](https://ak-static.cms.nba.com/referee/injury/Injury-Report_2026-04-20_02_30PM.pdf)

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

Ruled Out: Ruled Out

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

Time Decision: Questionable

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

Minutes Restrictions: Minutes Restriction

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

OG Anunoby: **OG Anunoby (New York Knicks, not MIN):**

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

OG Anunoby: Probable

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

OG Anunoby: - Game: Knicks vs. Hawks, Game 2 (April 20, 2026).[[3]](https://www.nba.com/game/atl-vs-nyk-0042500122)[[4]](https://www.cbssports.com/nba/teams/NY/new-york-knicks/schedule)

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

OG Anunoby: - Expected to play per reports.[[5]](https://twsn.net/2026/04/20/knicks-injury-report-will-og-anunoby-play-in-game-2-vs-hawks)

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

OG Anunoby: **No association with Minnesota Timberwolves (MIN@DEN tonight).**[[2]](https://ak-static.cms.nba.com/referee/injury/Injury-Report_2026-04-20_01_00AM.pdf)[[6]](https://www.nba.com/timberwolves/schedule)

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-20 21:03:08

3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 Pending

4 COMPARISON Pending

5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

6 RESULT Awaiting