MMA Pipeline — 2026-04-08

CHI @ WAS 2026-04-07T23:00Z

1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed

PROJECTIONS (our math)

Home: WAS | Away: CHI

CHI 118.3 — WAS 109.6

Total: 227.9 | Spread: +7.5 | ML: 38.4%

Pace: 99.7 poss | HCA: +1.2 pts

EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat	WAS	CHI	Edge
ORtg	—	—	—
DRtg	—	—	—
NetRtg	—	—	—
Pace	—	—	—
Record	0-0	0-0	—
MOV	-12.0	-5.2	CHI -6.8
Consistency	14.70	14.90	CHI -0.20
Adj 4 Factors	0.25	0.26	CHI -0.01
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat	WAS	CHI	Edge
eFG%	53.5%	54.7%	CHI -0.012
TOV%	15.2%	14.8%	CHI -0.004
OREB%	28.5%	27.9%	WAS +0.006
FTA Rate	0.235	0.246	CHI -0.011
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat	WAS	CHI	Edge
Opp eFG%	56.3%	55.3%	CHI -0.010
Opp TOV%	13.4%	12.5%	WAS +0.009
Opp OREB%	33.6%	29.2%	CHI -0.044
Opp FTA Rate	0.292	0.245	CHI -0.047
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat	WAS	CHI	Edge
eFG Delta	-1.8	-1.2	CHI -0.6
ORB Delta	-0.5	-5.6	WAS +5.1
TOV Delta	+2.8	+1.5	WAS +1.3
FTR Delta	-0.9	-4.6	WAS +3.7
Matchup ORtg	112.3	118.9	CHI -6.6
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat	WAS	CHI	Edge
Clutch ORtg	109.1	109.9	CHI -0.8
Clutch DRtg	120.8	110.4	CHI -10.4
Clutch NetRtg	-11.7	-0.5	CHI -11.2
HUSTLE
Stat	WAS	CHI	Edge
Deflections	17.1	14.3	WAS +2.7
Loose Balls	3.8	4.1	CHI -0.3
Contested 2PT	24.9	27.8	CHI -2.9
Contested 3PT	15.0	17.8	CHI -2.8
Screen Assists	8.2	6.3	WAS +1.8
Charges Drawn	0.4	0.6	CHI -0.2
REST & FATIGUE
Stat	WAS	CHI	Edge
B2B Win%	33.3%	40.0%	CHI -0.067
1-Day Rest Win%	22.2%	41.5%	CHI -0.193
3+ Day Rest Win%	20.0%	50.0%	CHI -0.300
Rest Advantage	1d / fat 45.00	1d / fat 48.91	+0.1 pts

SHOOTING
Stat	WAS	CHI	Edge
FG%	46.3%	46.9%	CHI -0.006
3PT%	35.9%	35.6%	WAS +0.003
3PT Rate	40.3%	44.3%	CHI -0.041
FG3A/game	36.4	40.1	CHI -3.7
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat	WAS	CHI	Edge
Opp PPG	124.9	121.5	CHI -3.4
Opp FG%	48.8%	47.8%	CHI -0.010
Opp 3P%	36.8%	36.8%	0.000
Opp TOV	13.8	13.0	WAS +0.8
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat	WAS	CHI	Edge
Home ORtg	110.3	111.8	CHI -1.5
Home DRtg	121.1	115.8	CHI -5.3
Home NetRtg	-10.8	-3.9	CHI -6.9
Road ORtg	109.0	112.4	CHI -3.4
Road NetRtg	-12.8	-6.6	CHI -6.2
RECENT FORM
Stat	WAS	CHI	Edge
L5 ORtg	107.1	109.3	CHI -2.2
L5 DRtg	123.4	112.3	CHI -11.1
L5 NetRtg	-16.2	-3.0	CHI -13.2
L10 ORtg	109.5	108.8	WAS +0.7
L10 NetRtg	-17.4	-10.6	CHI -6.8
Sagarin Overall	77.95	83.77	CHI -5.82
Sagarin Predictor	77.89	83.76	CHI -5.87
Sagarin Strong Recent	76.82	82.31	CHI -5.49
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred)	-1.07	-1.45	WAS +0.38
DRatings Overall	-1.06	-0.52	CHI -0.55
DRatings Inference	-1.22	-0.67	CHI -0.55
DR Trend (Inf-Overall)	-0.15	-0.15	-0.00
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat	WAS	CHI	Edge
Margin Std Dev	14.9	15.2	CHI -0.3
Skewness	0.44	-0.05	—
Kurtosis	-3.08	-3.07	—
Blowout Win%	6.1%	9.8%	-0.0
Blowout Loss%	46.3%	26.8%	CHI -0.2

2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM No alerts

3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 Pending

4 COMPARISON Pending

5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

6 RESULT Awaiting

MIN @ IND 2026-04-07T23:00Z

1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed

PROJECTIONS (our math)

Home: IND | Away: MIN

MIN 117.1 — IND 93.0

Total: 210.1 | Spread: +21.1 | ML: 21.1%

Pace: 98.5 poss | HCA: +2.9 pts

EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat	IND	MIN	Edge
ORtg	—	—	—
DRtg	—	—	—
NetRtg	—	—	—
Pace	—	—	—
Record	0-0	0-0	—
MOV	-8.0	-3.6	MIN -4.4
Consistency	13.20	0.00	IND +13.20
Adj 4 Factors	0.27	0.28	MIN -0.01
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat	IND	MIN	Edge
eFG%	53.3%	55.9%	MIN -0.026
TOV%	14.2%	14.5%	IND +0.003
OREB%	26.3%	30.2%	MIN -0.039
FTA Rate	0.252	0.285	MIN -0.033
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat	IND	MIN	Edge
Opp eFG%	55.6%	52.9%	MIN -0.027
Opp TOV%	13.2%	14.7%	MIN -0.015
Opp OREB%	30.5%	30.9%	IND +0.004
Opp FTA Rate	0.282	0.282	0.000
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat	IND	MIN	Edge
eFG Delta	+0.5	-0.1	IND +0.6
ORB Delta	-4.1	-0.5	MIN -3.6
TOV Delta	-0.6	+1.3	MIN -1.9
FTR Delta	-2.7	—	—
Matchup ORtg	107.3	118.8	MIN -11.5
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat	IND	MIN	Edge
Clutch ORtg	96.0	108.4	MIN -12.4
Clutch DRtg	107.2	109.5	IND +2.3
Clutch NetRtg	-11.2	-1.2	MIN -10.0
HUSTLE
Stat	IND	MIN	Edge
Deflections	14.8	17.0	MIN -2.1
Loose Balls	4.0	4.3	MIN -0.3
Contested 2PT	27.8	27.2	IND +0.6
Contested 3PT	14.3	15.0	MIN -0.7
Screen Assists	6.7	7.1	MIN -0.3
Charges Drawn	0.3	0.1	IND +0.2
REST & FATIGUE
Stat	IND	MIN	Edge
B2B Win%	0.0%	42.9%	MIN -0.429
1-Day Rest Win%	28.9%	59.0%	MIN -0.301
3+ Day Rest Win%	0.0%	100.0%	MIN -1.000
Rest Advantage	1d / fat 38.07	0d / fat 74.01	+1.1 pts

SHOOTING
Stat	IND	MIN	Edge
FG%	45.8%	44.3%	IND +0.015
3PT%	35.6%	33.5%	IND +0.020
3PT Rate	42.2%	34.4%	IND +0.078
FG3A/game	37.6	30.9	IND +6.7
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat	IND	MIN	Edge
Opp PPG	120.4	114.6	MIN -5.8
Opp FG%	48.9%	46.2%	MIN -0.027
Opp 3P%	35.5%	35.5%	0.000
Opp TOV	13.5	15.0	MIN -1.5
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat	IND	MIN	Edge
Home ORtg	111.4	112.7	MIN -1.3
Home DRtg	116.9	109.0	MIN -7.9
Home NetRtg	-5.5	+3.6	MIN -9.1
Road ORtg	108.7	118.5	MIN -9.8
Road NetRtg	-10.1	+2.6	MIN -12.7
RECENT FORM
Stat	IND	MIN	Edge
L5 ORtg	106.6	121.6	MIN -15.0
L5 DRtg	111.3	121.3	IND +10.0
L5 NetRtg	-4.7	+0.3	MIN -5.0
L10 ORtg	114.2	112.3	IND +1.9
L10 NetRtg	-1.5	-0.6	MIN -0.9
Sagarin Overall	83.63	93.17	MIN -9.54
Sagarin Predictor	83.83	92.94	MIN -9.11
Sagarin Strong Recent	84.02	93.52	MIN -9.50
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred)	+0.19	+0.58	MIN -0.39
DRatings Overall	-0.74	0.29	MIN -1.03
DRatings Inference	-0.81	0.30	MIN -1.11
DR Trend (Inf-Overall)	-0.07	+0.01	MIN -0.07
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat	IND	MIN	Edge
Margin Std Dev	13.5	17.9	MIN -4.4
Skewness	0.56	-0.78	—
Kurtosis	-3.06	-3.80	—
Blowout Win%	7.3%	18.2%	MIN -0.1
Blowout Loss%	35.4%	18.2%	MIN -0.2
QUARTER SCORING
Stat	IND	MIN	Edge
Q1 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q2 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q3 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q4 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta	0.0	0.0	—

2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM No alerts

3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 Pending

4 COMPARISON Pending

5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

6 RESULT Awaiting

MIL @ BKN 2026-04-07T23:30Z

1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed

PROJECTIONS (our math)

Home: BKN | Away: MIL

MIL 92.3 — BKN 103.9

Total: 196.3 | Spread: -15.1 | ML: 72.0%

Pace: 95.0 poss | HCA: +3.5 pts

EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat	BKN	MIL	Edge
ORtg	—	—	—
DRtg	—	—	—
NetRtg	—	—	—
Pace	—	—	—
Record	0-0	0-0	—
MOV	-10.0	-6.2	MIL -3.8
Consistency	17.80	17.00	BKN +0.80
Adj 4 Factors	0.26	0.23	BKN +0.03
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat	BKN	MIL	Edge
eFG%	52.0%	56.5%	MIL -0.045
TOV%	16.1%	15.4%	MIL -0.007
OREB%	28.7%	26.3%	BKN +0.024
FTA Rate	0.272	0.223	BKN +0.049
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat	BKN	MIL	Edge
Opp eFG%	57.1%	55.8%	MIL -0.013
Opp TOV%	14.8%	13.2%	BKN +0.016
Opp OREB%	31.3%	30.5%	MIL -0.008
Opp FTA Rate	0.290	0.274	MIL -0.016
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat	BKN	MIL	Edge
eFG Delta	-3.4	-0.3	MIL -3.1
ORB Delta	-1.5	-5.6	BKN +4.1
TOV Delta	+3.0	+0.4	BKN +2.6
FTR Delta	-0.2	-7.0	BKN +6.8
Matchup ORtg	111.8	115.1	MIL -3.3
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat	BKN	MIL	Edge
Clutch ORtg	102.3	116.1	MIL -13.8
Clutch DRtg	126.1	109.0	MIL -17.1
Clutch NetRtg	-23.8	+7.1	MIL -30.9
HUSTLE
Stat	BKN	MIL	Edge
Deflections	17.6	16.6	BKN +1.0
Loose Balls	3.9	3.7	BKN +0.1
Contested 2PT	25.3	22.1	BKN +3.2
Contested 3PT	15.5	15.1	BKN +0.4
Screen Assists	6.5	6.3	BKN +0.2
Charges Drawn	0.2	0.2	+0.0
REST & FATIGUE
Stat	BKN	MIL	Edge
B2B Win%	0.0%	33.3%	MIL -0.333
1-Day Rest Win%	28.6%	38.5%	MIL -0.099
3+ Day Rest Win%	14.3%	66.7%	MIL -0.524
Rest Advantage	1d / fat 31.66	0d / fat 58.74	+0.8 pts

SHOOTING
Stat	BKN	MIL	Edge
FG%	44.3%	47.7%	MIL -0.034
3PT%	34.0%	38.7%	MIL -0.047
3PT Rate	45.5%	45.7%	MIL -0.003
FG3A/game	38.4	39.1	MIL -0.7
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat	BKN	MIL	Edge
Opp PPG	115.9	116.8	BKN +0.9
Opp FG%	49.7%	47.3%	MIL -0.024
Opp 3P%	38.1%	37.5%	MIL -0.006
Opp TOV	14.5	13.1	BKN +1.4
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat	BKN	MIL	Edge
Home ORtg	110.1	115.3	MIL -5.2
Home DRtg	116.6	119.2	BKN +2.6
Home NetRtg	-6.4	-3.9	MIL -2.5
Road ORtg	106.2	109.0	MIL -2.8
Road NetRtg	-13.6	-8.3	MIL -5.3
RECENT FORM
Stat	BKN	MIL	Edge
L5 ORtg	105.7	115.6	MIL -9.9
L5 DRtg	119.7	119.0	MIL -0.7
L5 NetRtg	-14.0	-3.4	MIL -10.6
L10 ORtg	104.7	113.1	MIL -8.4
L10 NetRtg	-13.9	-7.3	MIL -6.6
Sagarin Overall	78.69	83.45	MIL -4.76
Sagarin Predictor	78.38	83.07	MIL -4.69
Sagarin Strong Recent	77.29	80.46	MIL -3.17
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred)	-1.09	-2.61	BKN +1.52
DRatings Overall	-0.91	-0.48	MIL -0.43
DRatings Inference	-1.07	-0.67	MIL -0.40
DR Trend (Inf-Overall)	-0.17	-0.19	BKN +0.03
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat	BKN	MIL	Edge
Margin Std Dev	17.4	16.6	BKN +0.8
Skewness	0.09	-0.21	—
Kurtosis	-3.07	-3.09	—
Blowout Win%	7.3%	13.4%	MIL -0.1
Blowout Loss%	39.0%	31.7%	MIL -0.1
QUARTER SCORING
Stat	BKN	MIL	Edge
Q1 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q2 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q3 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q4 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta	0.0	0.0	—

2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM 5 alerts

3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 Pending

4 COMPARISON Pending

5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

6 RESULT Awaiting

MIA @ TOR 2026-04-07T23:30Z

1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed

PROJECTIONS (our math)

Home: TOR | Away: MIA

MIA 101.1 — TOR 107.1

Total: 208.2 | Spread: -7.0 | ML: 60.7%

Pace: 98.8 poss | HCA: +0.9 pts

EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat	TOR	MIA	Edge
ORtg	—	—	—
DRtg	—	—	—
NetRtg	—	—	—
Pace	—	—	—
Record	0-0	0-0	—
MOV	-1.8	2.4	MIA -4.2
Consistency	0.00	16.00	MIA -16.00
Adj 4 Factors	0.29	0.24	TOR +0.04
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat	TOR	MIA	Edge
eFG%	54.6%	54.2%	TOR +0.004
TOV%	13.7%	13.1%	MIA -0.006
OREB%	30.0%	29.6%	TOR +0.004
FTA Rate	0.265	0.268	MIA -0.003
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat	TOR	MIA	Edge
Opp eFG%	54.0%	54.0%	0.000
Opp TOV%	16.1%	14.4%	TOR +0.017
Opp OREB%	30.7%	29.7%	MIA -0.010
Opp FTA Rate	0.279	0.240	MIA -0.039
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat	TOR	MIA	Edge
eFG Delta	+0.5	-0.2	TOR +0.7
ORB Delta	+0.6	-1.3	TOR +1.9
TOV Delta	-0.7	-3.1	TOR +2.4
FTR Delta	+2.2	-0.9	TOR +3.1
Matchup ORtg	113.3	112.5	TOR +0.8
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat	TOR	MIA	Edge
Clutch ORtg	106.9	111.5	MIA -4.6
Clutch DRtg	99.1	117.5	TOR +18.4
Clutch NetRtg	+7.7	-6.1	TOR +13.8
HUSTLE
Stat	TOR	MIA	Edge
Deflections	20.4	17.8	TOR +2.7
Loose Balls	3.9	4.1	MIA -0.2
Contested 2PT	23.7	24.7	MIA -0.9
Contested 3PT	15.1	17.7	MIA -2.6
Screen Assists	6.9	3.0	TOR +4.0
Charges Drawn	0.3	0.5	MIA -0.2
REST & FATIGUE
Stat	TOR	MIA	Edge
B2B Win%	33.3%	66.7%	MIA -0.334
1-Day Rest Win%	56.8%	48.5%	TOR +0.083
3+ Day Rest Win%	100.0%	25.0%	TOR +0.750
Rest Advantage	1d / fat 57.69	2d / fat 11.89	-1.4 pts

SHOOTING
Stat	TOR	MIA	Edge
FG%	46.5%	46.8%	MIA -0.004
3PT%	35.6%	36.1%	MIA -0.006
3PT Rate	34.3%	40.6%	MIA -0.064
FG3A/game	29.7	37.9	MIA -8.2
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat	TOR	MIA	Edge
Opp PPG	111.8	118.5	TOR +6.7
Opp FG%	46.7%	46.5%	MIA -0.002
Opp 3P%	34.9%	35.9%	TOR +0.010
Opp TOV	16.1	15.0	TOR +1.1
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat	TOR	MIA	Edge
Home ORtg	115.4	117.9	MIA -2.5
Home DRtg	110.9	113.1	TOR +2.2
Home NetRtg	+4.5	+4.8	MIA -0.3
Road ORtg	114.5	113.6	TOR +0.9
Road NetRtg	+1.2	-0.5	TOR +1.7
RECENT FORM
Stat	TOR	MIA	Edge
L5 ORtg	119.3	126.3	MIA -7.0
L5 DRtg	110.5	120.9	TOR +10.4
L5 NetRtg	+8.8	+5.4	TOR +3.4
L10 ORtg	120.8	123.6	MIA -2.8
L10 NetRtg	+12.0	-0.3	TOR +12.3
Sagarin Overall	92.77	91.00	TOR +1.77
Sagarin Predictor	93.15	90.95	TOR +2.20
Sagarin Strong Recent	93.29	91.23	TOR +2.06
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred)	+0.14	+0.28	MIA -0.14
DRatings Overall	0.20	0.06	TOR +0.13
DRatings Inference	0.29	0.05	TOR +0.25
DR Trend (Inf-Overall)	+0.10	-0.01	TOR +0.11
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat	TOR	MIA	Edge
Margin Std Dev	12.4	16.8	MIA -4.4
Skewness	1.28	0.22	—
Kurtosis	-4.41	-3.08	—
Blowout Win%	14.3%	25.6%	MIA -0.1
Blowout Loss%	0.0%	14.6%	TOR +0.1
QUARTER SCORING
Stat	TOR	MIA	Edge
Q1 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q2 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q3 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q4 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta	0.0	0.0	—

2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM 9 alerts

3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 Pending

4 COMPARISON Pending

5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

6 RESULT Awaiting

CHA @ BOS 2026-04-08T00:00Z

1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed

PROJECTIONS (our math)

Home: BOS | Away: CHA

CHA 88.5 — BOS 111.2

Total: 199.7 | Spread: -22.4 | ML: 80.2%

Pace: 93.7 poss | HCA: -0.3 pts

EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat	BOS	CHA	Edge
ORtg	—	—	—
DRtg	—	—	—
NetRtg	—	—	—
Pace	—	—	—
Record	0-0	0-0	—
MOV	2.9	4.8	CHA -1.9
Consistency	0.00	17.80	CHA -17.80
Adj 4 Factors	0.23	0.19	BOS +0.04
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat	BOS	CHA	Edge
eFG%	55.3%	55.2%	BOS +0.001
TOV%	12.9%	15.7%	BOS +0.028
OREB%	33.6%	35.8%	CHA -0.022
FTA Rate	0.207	0.244	CHA -0.037
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat	BOS	CHA	Edge
Opp eFG%	52.3%	54.0%	BOS +0.017
Opp TOV%	12.9%	13.0%	CHA -0.001
Opp OREB%	29.0%	27.8%	CHA -0.012
Opp FTA Rate	0.245	0.232	CHA -0.013
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat	BOS	CHA	Edge
eFG Delta	+1.1	+3.0	CHA -1.9
ORB Delta	+6.2	+6.8	CHA -0.6
TOV Delta	—	+2.8	—
FTR Delta	-2.5	+0.1	CHA -2.6
Matchup ORtg	118.7	115.6	BOS +3.1
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat	BOS	CHA	Edge
Clutch ORtg	112.9	101.8	BOS +11.1
Clutch DRtg	110.9	112.9	BOS +2.0
Clutch NetRtg	+1.9	-11.1	BOS +13.0
HUSTLE
Stat	BOS	CHA	Edge
Deflections	15.2	13.8	BOS +1.3
Loose Balls	4.0	4.3	CHA -0.3
Contested 2PT	24.1	28.6	CHA -4.5
Contested 3PT	16.4	15.9	BOS +0.5
Screen Assists	9.2	8.6	BOS +0.6
Charges Drawn	0.3	0.2	BOS +0.1
REST & FATIGUE
Stat	BOS	CHA	Edge
B2B Win%	100.0%	60.0%	BOS +0.400
1-Day Rest Win%	69.8%	51.4%	BOS +0.184
3+ Day Rest Win%	57.1%	50.0%	BOS +0.071
Rest Advantage	1d / fat 38.40	1d / fat 25.00	-0.4 pts

SHOOTING
Stat	BOS	CHA	Edge
FG%	43.4%	46.0%	CHA -0.026
3PT%	33.8%	37.8%	CHA -0.041
3PT Rate	52.5%	48.7%	BOS +0.038
FG3A/game	46.1	43.3	BOS +2.9
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat	BOS	CHA	Edge
Opp PPG	107.2	111.2	BOS +4.0
Opp FG%	44.2%	46.7%	BOS +0.025
Opp 3P%	35.8%	35.9%	BOS +0.001
Opp TOV	12.4	12.7	CHA -0.3
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat	BOS	CHA	Edge
Home ORtg	119.7	118.0	BOS +1.7
Home DRtg	111.4	114.0	BOS +2.6
Home NetRtg	+8.3	+4.0	BOS +4.3
Road ORtg	120.2	118.8	BOS +1.4
Road NetRtg	+8.2	+5.9	BOS +2.3
RECENT FORM
Stat	BOS	CHA	Edge
L5 ORtg	121.4	118.0	BOS +3.4
L5 DRtg	111.1	113.8	BOS +2.7
L5 NetRtg	+10.3	+4.2	BOS +6.1
L10 ORtg	124.7	120.1	BOS +4.6
L10 NetRtg	+11.7	+6.6	BOS +5.1
Sagarin Overall	96.30	94.17	BOS +2.13
Sagarin Predictor	96.36	94.70	BOS +1.66
Sagarin Strong Recent	97.28	97.27	BOS +0.01
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred)	+0.92	+2.57	CHA -1.65
DRatings Overall	0.58	0.37	BOS +0.21
DRatings Inference	0.68	0.57	BOS +0.11
DR Trend (Inf-Overall)	+0.10	+0.20	CHA -0.10
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat	BOS	CHA	Edge
Margin Std Dev	21.4	17.4	BOS +4.1
Skewness	0.77	0.36	—
Kurtosis	-4.85	-3.08	—
Blowout Win%	28.6%	31.7%	-0.0
Blowout Loss%	14.3%	13.4%	-0.0
QUARTER SCORING
Stat	BOS	CHA	Edge
Q1 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q2 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q3 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q4 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta	0.0	0.0	—

2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM 19 alerts

Jaylen Brown: **Boston Celtics Schedule:**

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Jaylen Brown: No game on April 8, 2026 (Tuesday). Most recent: Win 113-102 vs. Charlotte Hornets (April 7).[[1]](https://www.espn.ph/nba/recap?gameId=401811004)[[2]](https://www.basketball-reference.com/teams/BOS/2026_games.html)[[3]](https://seatgeek.com/boston-celtics-tickets/schedule?schedules=home)

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Jaylen Brown: Next game: April 9 at New York Knicks.[[2]](https://www.basketball-reference.com/teams/BOS/2026_games.html)

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Jaylen Brown: **Jaylen Brown Status:**

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Jaylen Brown: Available. No injury listed on recent reports.[[4]](https://985thesportshub.com/2026/04/06/celtics-injury-report)[[5]](https://www.basketball.org.nz/news/nba/nba-injury-report-april-8-2026) Played vs. Hornets: 35 points, 9 rebounds.[[1]](https://www.espn.ph/nba/recap?gameId=401811004)

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Sam Hauser: **Boston Celtics @ New York Knicks** (upcoming game, injury report issued April 8, 2026).[[1]](https://x.com/i/status/2041974073173983455)[[2]](https://www.espn.com/nba/team/injuries/_/name/bos)

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Sam Hauser: Questionable

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Sam Hauser: **Recent Game (April 7 vs. CHA):** Played 16 minutes, 5 points (2-7 FG, 1-5 3PT).[[3]](https://www.espn.com/nba/player/_/id/4065804/sam-hauser)[[4]](https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/hornets-vs-celtics-player-grades-081319486.html)

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Charlotte Hornets: **No game scheduled for Charlotte Hornets on April 8, 2026.**[[1]](https://www.basketball-reference.com/teams/CHO/2026_games.html)[[2]](https://www.nba.com/team/1610612766/hornets)[[3]](https://www.landofbasketball.com/results_by_team/2025_2026_hornets.htm)

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Detroit Pistons: **Next game:** April 10 vs. Detroit Pistons.[[2]](https://www.nba.com/team/1610612766/hornets)[[1]](https://www.basketball-reference.com/teams/CHO/2026_games.html)

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

CHA update: **Current injuries (as of April 7-8, 2026):**

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Coby White: Day-to-day

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

CHA update: Out

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Isaac Okoro: **Isaac Okoro (Chicago Bulls SF, not CHA):**[[1]](https://www.espn.com/nba/team/injuries/_/name/chi/chicago-bulls)[[2]](https://www.nba.com/player/1630171/isaac-okoro)

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Isaac Okoro: - **Game Status Tonight (Apr 8, 2026):** Not playing. Chicago Bulls have no game scheduled (last: Apr 7 @ WAS; next: Apr 9 @ WAS).[[3]](https://www.cbssports.com/nba/teams/CHI/chicago-bulls/schedule)[[4]](https://seatgeek.com/chicago-bulls-tickets/schedule)

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Isaac Okoro: Day-to-day

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Lachlan Olbrich: **Lachlan Olbrich is a center for the Chicago Bulls (CHI), not the Charlotte Hornets (CHA). No association with CHA found.**[[1]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lachlan_Olbrich)[[2]](https://africa.espn.com/nba/player/_/id/5091709/lachlan-olbrich)

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Lachlan Olbrich: out

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Lachlan Olbrich: probable

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 Pending

4 COMPARISON Pending

5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

6 RESULT Awaiting

UTA @ NOP 2026-04-08T00:00Z

1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed

PROJECTIONS (our math)

Home: NOP | Away: UTA

UTA 96.1 — NOP 117.6

Total: 213.8 | Spread: -24.3 | ML: 82.0%

Pace: 99.2 poss | HCA: +2.8 pts

EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat	NOP	UTA	Edge
ORtg	—	—	—
DRtg	—	—	—
NetRtg	—	—	—
Pace	—	—	—
Record	0-0	0-0	—
MOV	-4.5	-8.4	NOP +3.9
Consistency	13.30	16.20	UTA -2.90
Adj 4 Factors	0.31	0.21	NOP +0.10
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat	NOP	UTA	Edge
eFG%	52.7%	53.6%	UTA -0.009
TOV%	13.9%	14.9%	NOP +0.010
OREB%	31.1%	29.8%	NOP +0.013
FTA Rate	0.284	0.277	NOP +0.007
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat	NOP	UTA	Edge
Opp eFG%	55.5%	57.8%	NOP +0.023
Opp TOV%	14.2%	14.0%	NOP +0.002
Opp OREB%	32.6%	30.7%	UTA -0.019
Opp FTA Rate	0.258	0.292	NOP +0.034
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat	NOP	UTA	Edge
eFG Delta	-5.0	-1.7	UTA -3.3
ORB Delta	+0.1	-2.8	NOP +2.9
TOV Delta	+0.1	+0.6	UTA -0.5
FTR Delta	-1.4	+2.3	UTA -3.7
Matchup ORtg	119.8	115.3	NOP +4.5
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat	NOP	UTA	Edge
Clutch ORtg	97.5	106.4	UTA -8.9
Clutch DRtg	117.8	110.7	UTA -7.1
Clutch NetRtg	-20.3	-4.3	UTA -16.0
HUSTLE
Stat	NOP	UTA	Edge
Deflections	18.2	17.4	NOP +0.8
Loose Balls	4.2	4.0	NOP +0.1
Contested 2PT	22.6	21.2	NOP +1.4
Contested 3PT	17.0	17.1	UTA -0.2
Screen Assists	6.5	8.7	UTA -2.2
Charges Drawn	0.3	0.3	+0.0
REST & FATIGUE
Stat	NOP	UTA	Edge
B2B Win%	20.0%	60.0%	UTA -0.400
1-Day Rest Win%	29.7%	12.8%	NOP +0.169
3+ Day Rest Win%	25.0%	75.0%	UTA -0.500
Rest Advantage	1d / fat 50.00	1d / fat 30.39	-0.6 pts

SHOOTING
Stat	NOP	UTA	Edge
FG%	46.6%	46.7%	UTA -0.002
3PT%	34.7%	34.5%	NOP +0.002
3PT Rate	35.5%	40.3%	UTA -0.047
FG3A/game	32.1	36.7	UTA -4.5
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat	NOP	UTA	Edge
Opp PPG	120.0	126.0	NOP +6.0
Opp FG%	47.7%	49.4%	NOP +0.017
Opp 3P%	35.0%	37.2%	NOP +0.022
Opp TOV	14.5	14.6	UTA -0.1
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat	NOP	UTA	Edge
Home ORtg	114.4	115.8	UTA -1.4
Home DRtg	115.9	120.8	NOP +4.9
Home NetRtg	-1.4	-5.1	NOP +3.7
Road ORtg	112.1	109.5	NOP +2.6
Road NetRtg	-7.3	-11.3	NOP +4.0
RECENT FORM
Stat	NOP	UTA	Edge
L5 ORtg	115.6	108.6	NOP +7.0
L5 DRtg	119.3	121.0	NOP +1.7
L5 NetRtg	-3.7	-12.4	NOP +8.7
L10 ORtg	112.4	108.7	NOP +3.7
L10 NetRtg	-9.6	-13.6	NOP +4.0
Sagarin Overall	86.40	80.91	NOP +5.49
Sagarin Predictor	86.58	80.87	NOP +5.71
Sagarin Strong Recent	88.21	80.14	NOP +8.07
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred)	+1.63	-0.73	NOP +2.36
DRatings Overall	-0.40	-0.84	NOP +0.44
DRatings Inference	-0.44	-0.91	NOP +0.48
DR Trend (Inf-Overall)	-0.04	-0.08	NOP +0.04
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat	NOP	UTA	Edge
Margin Std Dev	13.5	16.7	UTA -3.3
Skewness	0.13	0.34	—
Kurtosis	-3.08	-3.06	—
Blowout Win%	11.0%	6.1%	+0.0
Blowout Loss%	20.7%	34.2%	NOP +0.1

2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM No alerts

3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 Pending

4 COMPARISON Pending

5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

6 RESULT Awaiting

SAC @ GSW 2026-04-08T02:00Z

1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed

PROJECTIONS (our math)

Home: GSW | Away: SAC

SAC 89.4 — GSW 115.7

Total: 205.0 | Spread: -28.1 | ML: 85.2%

Pace: 97.2 poss | HCA: +1.8 pts

EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat	GSW	SAC	Edge
ORtg	—	—	—
DRtg	—	—	—
NetRtg	—	—	—
Pace	—	—	—
Record	0-0	0-0	—
MOV	-0.6	-10.0	GSW +9.4
Consistency	15.00	14.70	GSW +0.30
Adj 4 Factors	0.28	0.28	-0.00
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat	GSW	SAC	Edge
eFG%	54.9%	52.5%	GSW +0.024
TOV%	15.6%	14.3%	SAC -0.013
OREB%	30.2%	29.8%	GSW +0.004
FTA Rate	0.238	0.256	SAC -0.018
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat	GSW	SAC	Edge
Opp eFG%	55.3%	57.2%	GSW +0.019
Opp TOV%	15.8%	13.9%	GSW +0.019
Opp OREB%	31.6%	31.5%	SAC -0.001
Opp FTA Rate	0.247	0.274	GSW +0.027
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat	GSW	SAC	Edge
eFG Delta	-2.2	-2.7	GSW +0.5
ORB Delta	-1.3	-1.8	GSW +0.5
TOV Delta	+1.7	-1.6	GSW +3.3
FTR Delta	-3.9	+0.5	SAC -4.4
Matchup ORtg	119.4	109.7	GSW +9.7
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat	GSW	SAC	Edge
Clutch ORtg	115.1	112.3	GSW +2.8
Clutch DRtg	112.5	107.1	SAC -5.4
Clutch NetRtg	+2.7	+5.2	SAC -2.5
HUSTLE
Stat	GSW	SAC	Edge
Deflections	19.1	15.5	GSW +3.6
Loose Balls	5.0	3.9	GSW +1.0
Contested 2PT	25.3	23.8	GSW +1.5
Contested 3PT	15.2	15.3	SAC -0.1
Screen Assists	7.5	7.7	SAC -0.2
Charges Drawn	0.6	0.3	GSW +0.3
REST & FATIGUE
Stat	GSW	SAC	Edge
B2B Win%	40.0%	33.3%	GSW +0.067
1-Day Rest Win%	47.2%	20.0%	GSW +0.272
3+ Day Rest Win%	20.0%	25.0%	SAC -0.050
Rest Advantage	0d / fat 61.84	0d / fat 55.76	-0.2 pts

SHOOTING
Stat	GSW	SAC	Edge
FG%	46.1%	46.7%	SAC -0.006
3PT%	35.6%	34.1%	GSW +0.015
3PT Rate	49.7%	33.9%	GSW +0.157
FG3A/game	44.1	30.2	GSW +13.9
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat	GSW	SAC	Edge
Opp PPG	115.2	121.0	GSW +5.8
Opp FG%	48.0%	49.4%	GSW +0.014
Opp 3P%	36.0%	37.9%	GSW +0.019
Opp TOV	15.9	14.0	GSW +1.9
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat	GSW	SAC	Edge
Home ORtg	116.8	111.4	GSW +5.4
Home DRtg	115.7	118.3	GSW +2.6
Home NetRtg	+1.1	-6.9	GSW +8.0
Road ORtg	110.9	109.7	GSW +1.2
Road NetRtg	-2.1	-12.6	GSW +10.5
RECENT FORM
Stat	GSW	SAC	Edge
L5 ORtg	116.5	113.9	GSW +2.6
L5 DRtg	121.6	120.9	SAC -0.7
L5 NetRtg	-5.1	-7.0	GSW +1.9
L10 ORtg	113.7	113.0	GSW +0.7
L10 NetRtg	-6.3	-10.8	GSW +4.5
Sagarin Overall	88.05	81.81	GSW +6.24
Sagarin Predictor	88.25	81.46	GSW +6.79
Sagarin Strong Recent	84.20	82.28	GSW +1.92
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred)	-4.05	+0.82	SAC -4.87
DRatings Overall	-0.13	-0.78	GSW +0.65
DRatings Inference	-0.23	-0.90	GSW +0.67
DR Trend (Inf-Overall)	-0.10	-0.12	GSW +0.02
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat	GSW	SAC	Edge
Margin Std Dev	14.8	14.5	GSW +0.3
Skewness	0.17	-0.31	—
Kurtosis	-3.08	-3.08	—
Blowout Win%	15.8%	2.4%	GSW +0.1
Blowout Loss%	14.6%	30.5%	GSW +0.2

2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM No alerts

3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 Pending

4 COMPARISON Pending

5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

6 RESULT Awaiting

OKC @ LAL 2026-04-08T02:30Z

1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed

PROJECTIONS (our math)

Home: LAL | Away: OKC

OKC 112.6 — LAL 104.5

Total: 217.1 | Spread: +6.3 | ML: 40.3%

Pace: 96.9 poss | HCA: +1.8 pts

EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat	LAL	OKC	Edge
ORtg	—	—	—
DRtg	—	—	—
NetRtg	—	—	—
Pace	—	—	—
Record	0-0	0-0	—
MOV	-4.9	16.7	OKC -21.6
Consistency	0.00	0.00	0.00
Adj 4 Factors	0.27	0.25	LAL +0.03
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat	LAL	OKC	Edge
eFG%	57.3%	56.1%	LAL +0.012
TOV%	14.6%	12.4%	OKC -0.022
OREB%	28.5%	26.4%	LAL +0.021
FTA Rate	0.320	0.261	LAL +0.059
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat	LAL	OKC	Edge
Opp eFG%	55.5%	51.9%	OKC -0.036
Opp TOV%	14.7%	16.5%	OKC -0.018
Opp OREB%	30.0%	30.3%	LAL +0.003
Opp FTA Rate	0.241	0.248	LAL +0.007
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat	LAL	OKC	Edge
eFG Delta	+5.6	+0.4	LAL +5.2
ORB Delta	-1.7	-3.4	LAL +1.7
TOV Delta	-2.1	-2.1	0.0
FTR Delta	+7.1	+2.4	LAL +4.7
Matchup ORtg	107.9	119.2	OKC -11.3
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat	LAL	OKC	Edge
Clutch ORtg	129.3	124.5	LAL +4.8
Clutch DRtg	103.3	100.7	OKC -2.6
Clutch NetRtg	+26.0	+23.8	LAL +2.2
HUSTLE
Stat	LAL	OKC	Edge
Deflections	17.1	20.7	OKC -3.7
Loose Balls	4.1	4.5	OKC -0.4
Contested 2PT	22.0	27.3	OKC -5.3
Contested 3PT	14.4	19.0	OKC -4.6
Screen Assists	8.8	8.2	LAL +0.6
Charges Drawn	0.7	0.5	LAL +0.2
REST & FATIGUE
Stat	LAL	OKC	Edge
B2B Win%	66.7%	33.3%	LAL +0.334
1-Day Rest Win%	61.5%	83.3%	OKC -0.218
3+ Day Rest Win%	80.0%	100.0%	OKC -0.200
Rest Advantage	1d / fat 37.08	2d / fat 13.83	-0.7 pts

SHOOTING
Stat	LAL	OKC	Edge
FG%	47.2%	51.0%	OKC -0.038
3PT%	38.5%	38.4%	LAL +0.002
3PT Rate	34.8%	41.8%	OKC -0.070
FG3A/game	27.0	36.5	OKC -9.5
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat	LAL	OKC	Edge
Opp PPG	114.6	107.9	OKC -6.7
Opp FG%	48.3%	43.7%	OKC -0.046
Opp 3P%	35.2%	36.9%	LAL +0.017
Opp TOV	14.6	16.7	OKC -2.1
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat	LAL	OKC	Edge
Home ORtg	117.8	117.5	LAL +0.3
Home DRtg	114.2	105.8	OKC -8.4
Home NetRtg	+3.6	+11.7	OKC -8.1
Road ORtg	116.2	118.1	OKC -1.9
Road NetRtg	-0.6	+10.8	OKC -11.4
RECENT FORM
Stat	LAL	OKC	Edge
L5 ORtg	116.0	120.7	OKC -4.7
L5 DRtg	111.3	112.9	LAL +1.6
L5 NetRtg	+4.6	+7.8	OKC -3.2
L10 ORtg	116.5	120.7	OKC -4.2
L10 NetRtg	+3.2	+10.8	OKC -7.6
Sagarin Overall	92.92	101.77	OKC -8.85
Sagarin Predictor	92.81	101.87	OKC -9.06
Sagarin Strong Recent	93.00	102.36	OKC -9.36
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred)	+0.19	+0.49	OKC -0.30
DRatings Overall	0.32	1.05	OKC -0.73
DRatings Inference	0.37	1.15	OKC -0.78
DR Trend (Inf-Overall)	+0.05	+0.10	OKC -0.05
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat	LAL	OKC	Edge
Margin Std Dev	14.6	9.3	LAL +5.2
Skewness	0.33	1.01	—
Kurtosis	-4.02	-4.12	—
Blowout Win%	10.0%	50.0%	OKC -0.4
Blowout Loss%	40.0%	0.0%	OKC -0.4
QUARTER SCORING
Stat	LAL	OKC	Edge
Q1 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q2 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q3 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q4 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta	0.0	0.0	—

2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM No alerts

3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 Pending

4 COMPARISON Pending

5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

6 RESULT Awaiting

DAL @ LAC 2026-04-08T02:30Z

1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed

PROJECTIONS (our math)

Home: LAC | Away: DAL

DAL 104.0 — LAC 108.0

Total: 211.9 | Spread: -6.7 | ML: 60.3%

Pace: 97.0 poss | HCA: +2.6 pts

EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat	LAC	DAL	Edge
ORtg	—	—	—
DRtg	—	—	—
NetRtg	—	—	—
Pace	—	—	—
Record	0-0	0-0	—
MOV	1.2	-5.5	LAC +6.7
Consistency	16.90	11.90	LAC +5.00
Adj 4 Factors	0.23	0.28	DAL -0.05
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat	LAC	DAL	Edge
eFG%	55.9%	52.7%	LAC +0.032
TOV%	14.7%	14.1%	DAL -0.006
OREB%	28.4%	27.9%	LAC +0.005
FTA Rate	0.295	0.287	LAC +0.008
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat	LAC	DAL	Edge
Opp eFG%	54.5%	54.6%	LAC +0.001
Opp TOV%	14.6%	12.9%	LAC +0.017
Opp OREB%	31.9%	29.8%	DAL -0.021
Opp FTA Rate	0.248	0.238	DAL -0.010
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat	LAC	DAL	Edge
eFG Delta	+1.5	-1.8	LAC +3.3
ORB Delta	-1.3	-4.1	LAC +2.8
TOV Delta	+1.7	-0.6	LAC +2.3
FTR Delta	+6.1	+4.5	LAC +1.6
Matchup ORtg	117.0	110.0	LAC +7.0
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat	LAC	DAL	Edge
Clutch ORtg	110.1	102.8	LAC +7.3
Clutch DRtg	115.0	111.4	DAL -3.6
Clutch NetRtg	-4.9	-8.6	LAC +3.7
HUSTLE
Stat	LAC	DAL	Edge
Deflections	18.4	14.1	LAC +4.3
Loose Balls	3.8	4.2	DAL -0.5
Contested 2PT	25.7	27.0	DAL -1.4
Contested 3PT	16.3	16.0	LAC +0.2
Screen Assists	6.3	8.9	DAL -2.6
Charges Drawn	0.1	0.3	DAL -0.2
REST & FATIGUE
Stat	LAC	DAL	Edge
B2B Win%	20.0%	33.3%	DAL -0.133
1-Day Rest Win%	65.8%	34.2%	LAC +0.316
3+ Day Rest Win%	20.0%	20.0%	0.000
Rest Advantage	1d / fat 45.78	2d / fat 39.94	-0.2 pts

SHOOTING
Stat	LAC	DAL	Edge
FG%	48.4%	46.6%	LAC +0.019
3PT%	36.8%	34.4%	LAC +0.024
3PT Rate	40.4%	35.5%	LAC +0.049
FG3A/game	33.8	31.9	LAC +1.9
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat	LAC	DAL	Edge
Opp PPG	112.6	119.6	LAC +7.0
Opp FG%	46.9%	47.8%	LAC +0.009
Opp 3P%	36.4%	35.0%	DAL -0.014
Opp TOV	14.3	13.4	LAC +0.9
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat	LAC	DAL	Edge
Home ORtg	117.8	112.0	LAC +5.8
Home DRtg	114.1	115.2	LAC +1.1
Home NetRtg	+3.7	-3.2	LAC +6.9
Road ORtg	114.9	108.6	LAC +6.3
Road NetRtg	-1.5	-7.0	LAC +5.5
RECENT FORM
Stat	LAC	DAL	Edge
L5 ORtg	115.9	119.5	DAL -3.6
L5 DRtg	113.9	120.7	LAC +6.8
L5 NetRtg	+2.0	-1.2	LAC +3.2
L10 ORtg	116.0	112.0	LAC +4.0
L10 NetRtg	+2.4	-6.5	LAC +8.9
Sagarin Overall	91.37	84.65	LAC +6.72
Sagarin Predictor	91.97	84.71	LAC +7.26
Sagarin Strong Recent	90.25	83.98	LAC +6.27
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred)	-1.72	-0.73	DAL -0.99
DRatings Overall	0.14	-0.58	LAC +0.72
DRatings Inference	0.17	-0.71	LAC +0.88
DR Trend (Inf-Overall)	+0.03	-0.13	LAC +0.16
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat	LAC	DAL	Edge
Margin Std Dev	16.4	12.2	LAC +4.2
Skewness	0.16	-0.05	—
Kurtosis	-3.08	-3.08	—
Blowout Win%	21.9%	4.9%	LAC +0.2
Blowout Loss%	20.7%	19.5%	-0.0
QUARTER SCORING
Stat	LAC	DAL	Edge
Q1 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q2 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q3 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q4 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta	0.0	0.0	—

2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM 13 alerts

Clippers Injury: **LA Clippers Injury Report vs. OKC Thunder - April 8, 2026**

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Ruled Out: Ruled Out

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Bradley Beal: - Bradley Beal: Left Hip Fracture[[1]](https://x.com/i/status/2041972134764015784)[[2]](https://x.com/i/status/2041980603738828821)[[3]](https://pickdawgz.com/nba-picks/oklahoma-city-thunder-vs-la-clippers-prediction-4-8-2026-todays-nba-picks-2026-04-08)

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Darius Garland: - Darius Garland: Left Toe (Injury Management)[[1]](https://x.com/i/status/2041972134764015784)[[4]](https://x.com/i/status/2041970828565487999)[[5]](https://x.com/i/status/2041980788053602591)

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Isaiah Jackson: - Isaiah Jackson: Right Ankle Sprain[[1]](https://x.com/i/status/2041972134764015784)[[4]](https://x.com/i/status/2041970828565487999)[[2]](https://x.com/i/status/2041980603738828821)

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Jaxson Hayes: **Jaxson Hayes**

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Jaxson Hayes: - **Current Team**: Los Angeles Lakers (LAL), not LA Clippers (LAC).[[1]](https://www.nba.com/player/1629637/jaxson-hayes)[[2]](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jaxson_Hayes)[[3]](https://www.basketball-reference.com/teams/LAC/2026.html)

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Jaxson Hayes: Out

| Source: Grok x_search (targeted) | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Dallas Mavericks: ### Dallas Mavericks Injury Report vs. Phoenix Suns (April 8, 2026)[[1]](https://www.wfaa.com/article/sports/nba/mavericks/mavs-kfaa-phoenix-suns-watch/287-40163511-0143-4e07-8212-bba6b144d3ac)[[2]](https://www.cbssports.com/nba/teams/DAL/dallas-mavericks/injuries)[[3]](https://www.espn.com/nba/team

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Ruled Out: Ruled Out

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Kyrie Irving: out

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Dereck Lively II: out

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

Caleb Martin: - Caleb Martin (SF, Heel/Foot)[[4]](https://basketballsphere.com/en/nba-injury-report-april-8-2026)[[2]](https://www.cbssports.com/nba/teams/DAL/dallas-mavericks/injuries)

| Source: Grok x_search | 2026-04-08 21:13:03

3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 Pending

4 COMPARISON Pending

5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

6 RESULT Awaiting

HOU @ PHX 2026-04-08T03:00Z

1 DATA & MATCHUP CARD 11AM ✓ Computed

PROJECTIONS (our math)

Home: PHX | Away: HOU

HOU 97.4 — PHX 95.0

Total: 192.3 | Spread: +0.2 | ML: 49.7%

Pace: 94.6 poss | HCA: +2.2 pts

EFFICIENCY RATINGS
Stat	PHX	HOU	Edge
ORtg	—	—	—
DRtg	—	—	—
NetRtg	—	—	—
Pace	—	—	—
Record	0-0	0-0	—
MOV	-17.3	-2.5	HOU -14.8
Consistency	0.00	0.00	0.00
Adj 4 Factors	0.22	0.29	HOU -0.07
FOUR FACTORS (offense)
Stat	PHX	HOU	Edge
eFG%	53.7%	54.2%	HOU -0.005
TOV%	14.7%	15.7%	PHX +0.010
OREB%	33.1%	38.8%	HOU -0.057
FTA Rate	0.225	0.260	HOU -0.035
FOUR FACTORS (defense — lower is better)
Stat	PHX	HOU	Edge
Opp eFG%	54.1%	53.0%	HOU -0.011
Opp TOV%	16.5%	13.7%	PHX +0.028
Opp OREB%	32.3%	29.9%	HOU -0.024
Opp FTA Rate	0.276	0.251	HOU -0.025
MATCHUP DELTAS (off vs opp def)
Stat	PHX	HOU	Edge
eFG Delta	+0.7	—	—
ORB Delta	+2.8	+6.1	HOU -3.3
TOV Delta	+0.8	-0.9	PHX +1.7
FTR Delta	-2.5	-1.9	HOU -0.6
Matchup ORtg	111.8	115.5	HOU -3.7
CLUTCH (last 5 min, margin ≤5)
Stat	PHX	HOU	Edge
Clutch ORtg	104.0	108.2	HOU -4.2
Clutch DRtg	112.4	117.0	PHX +4.6
Clutch NetRtg	-8.4	-8.8	PHX +0.4
HUSTLE
Stat	PHX	HOU	Edge
Deflections	20.3	16.8	PHX +3.5
Loose Balls	4.6	5.0	HOU -0.4
Contested 2PT	21.1	26.1	HOU -5.0
Contested 3PT	14.0	15.6	HOU -1.6
Screen Assists	8.4	6.3	PHX +2.1
Charges Drawn	0.2	0.2	+0.0
REST & FATIGUE
Stat	PHX	HOU	Edge
B2B Win%	33.3%	33.3%	0.000
1-Day Rest Win%	60.5%	67.5%	HOU -0.070
3+ Day Rest Win%	57.1%	60.0%	HOU -0.029
Rest Advantage	2d / fat 45.98	0d / fat 60.09	+0.4 pts

SHOOTING
Stat	PHX	HOU	Edge
FG%	44.6%	40.9%	PHX +0.038
3PT%	34.0%	30.1%	PHX +0.039
3PT Rate	43.5%	38.6%	PHX +0.049
FG3A/game	37.5	33.2	PHX +4.3
OPPONENT STATS (what defense allows)
Stat	PHX	HOU	Edge
Opp PPG	111.1	110.0	HOU -1.1
Opp FG%	47.0%	46.0%	HOU -0.010
Opp 3P%	34.7%	35.1%	PHX +0.004
Opp TOV	16.3	13.4	PHX +2.9
HOME/AWAY SPLITS
Stat	PHX	HOU	Edge
Home ORtg	114.7	117.6	HOU -2.9
Home DRtg	111.1	109.8	HOU -1.3
Home NetRtg	+3.6	+7.8	HOU -4.2
Road ORtg	113.8	117.4	HOU -3.6
Road NetRtg	-0.8	+3.0	HOU -3.8
RECENT FORM
Stat	PHX	HOU	Edge
L5 ORtg	113.1	123.6	HOU -10.5
L5 DRtg	111.3	112.7	PHX +1.4
L5 NetRtg	+1.7	+10.9	HOU -9.2
L10 ORtg	116.4	126.8	HOU -10.4
L10 NetRtg	+3.3	+16.0	HOU -12.7
Sagarin Overall	90.56	94.18	HOU -3.62
Sagarin Predictor	90.61	94.33	HOU -3.72
Sagarin Strong Recent	89.88	92.82	HOU -2.94
Sag Trend (Recent-Pred)	-0.73	-1.51	PHX +0.78
DRatings Overall	0.12	0.41	HOU -0.29
DRatings Inference	0.17	0.39	HOU -0.22
DR Trend (Inf-Overall)	+0.05	-0.02	PHX +0.07
VARIANCE & BLOWOUTS
Stat	PHX	HOU	Edge
Margin Std Dev	15.7	13.5	PHX +2.2
Skewness	-0.42	0.59	—
Kurtosis	-3.07	-5.13	—
Blowout Win%	19.5%	16.7%	+0.0
Blowout Loss%	17.1%	16.7%	-0.0
QUARTER SCORING
Stat	PHX	HOU	Edge
Q1 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q2 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q3 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q4 Avg	0.0	0.0	0.0
Q4 vs Q1 Delta	0.0	0.0	—

2 RESEARCH INTEL 5PM 9 alerts

3 BLIND ANALYSIS T-30 Pending

4 COMPARISON Pending

5 OPUS VERDICT Pending

6 RESULT Awaiting