NBA Custom Calculations

De-vigged probabilities, model vs market comparison, steam detection, edge output — last 24 hours
Edges (24h)
100
Executable
20
Steam Moves
0
Avg Net Edge
10.13%
De-Vig Methods
implied, shin

Team Form Deltas

Positive = playing above season baseline (hot). Negative = slumping below baseline. Sorted by DRatings delta.

Team DR Standard DR Inference DR Delta Sag Predictor Sag Recent Sag Delta DR Overall DR Vegas SOS
New York Knicks 0.5356 0.9040 ▲ +0.3684 99.62101.62▲ +2.00 0.6314 0.4576 0.0482
San Antonio Spurs 0.8140 1.1331 ▲ +0.3191 99.92102.27▲ +2.35 0.8853 0.7111 0.0334
Charlotte Hornets 0.2795 0.5746 ▲ +0.2951 94.7097.27▲ +2.57 0.3718 0.2641 0.0127
Detroit Pistons 0.5343 0.7700 ▲ +0.2357 97.0496.84– -0.20 0.6225 0.5659 0.0098
Oklahoma City Thunder 0.9658 1.1515 ▲ +0.1857 101.87102.36– +0.49 1.0538 1.0467 0.0832
Boston Celtics 0.5175 0.6817 ▲ +0.1642 96.3697.28▲ +0.92 0.5809 0.5454 0.0665
Denver Nuggets 0.4200 0.5694 ▲ +0.1494 95.0893.75▼ -1.33 0.4863 0.4716 0.0372
Toronto Raptors 0.1537 0.2948 ▲ +0.1411 93.1593.29– +0.14 0.1971 0.1440 0.0700
Cleveland Cavaliers 0.4401 0.5301 ▲ +0.0900 94.6094.72– +0.12 0.5067 0.5519 0.0163
Phoenix Suns 0.0901 0.1744 ▲ +0.0843 90.6189.88▼ -0.73 0.1219 0.1021 -0.0275
Houston Rockets 0.3097 0.3922 ▲ +0.0825 94.3392.82▼ -1.51 0.4086 0.5268 0.0002
Los Angeles Clippers 0.0920 0.1682 ▲ +0.0762 91.9790.25▼ -1.72 0.1417 0.1664 0.0205
Miami Heat 0.0068 0.0493 – +0.0425 90.9591.23– +0.28 0.0639 0.1372 0.0278
Orlando Magic 0.1714 0.1818 – +0.0104 91.6192.03– +0.42 0.1691 0.1542 0.0590
Atlanta Hawks 0.2298 0.2331 – +0.0033 92.2492.30– +0.06 0.2115 0.1711 0.0122
New Orleans Pelicans -0.4265 -0.4353 – -0.0088 86.5888.21▲ +1.63 -0.3950 -0.3221 -0.0230
Los Angeles Lakers 0.3970 0.3717 – -0.0253 92.8193.00– +0.19 0.3248 0.2036 -0.0080
Minnesota Timberwolves 0.3306 0.3019 – -0.0287 92.9493.52▲ +0.58 0.2924 0.2437 0.0314
Golden State Warriors -0.1995 -0.2306 – -0.0311 88.2584.20▼ -4.05 -0.1340 0.0299 -0.0208
Portland Trail Blazers 0.0899 0.0471 – -0.0428 90.2893.12▲ +2.84 0.0606 0.0440 0.0418
Philadelphia 76ers 0.1590 0.0780 ▼ -0.0810 89.3690.93▲ +1.57 0.0768 -0.0090 -0.0143
Indiana Pacers -0.7178 -0.8067 ▼ -0.0889 83.8384.02– +0.19 -0.7416 -0.7010 0.0314
Utah Jazz -0.7778 -0.9119 ▼ -0.1341 80.8780.14▼ -0.73 -0.8354 -0.8183 0.0026
Dallas Mavericks -0.5347 -0.7091 ▼ -0.1744 84.7183.98▼ -0.73 -0.5784 -0.4928 0.0250
Chicago Bulls -0.4562 -0.6670 ▼ -0.2108 83.7682.31▼ -1.45 -0.5163 -0.4274 0.0342
Sacramento Kings -0.6362 -0.9012 ▼ -0.2650 81.4682.28▲ +0.82 -0.7848 -0.8214 0.0182
Washington Wizards -0.9496 -1.2159 ▼ -0.2663 77.8976.82▼ -1.07 -1.0644 -1.0312 -0.0100
Brooklyn Nets -0.7937 -1.0705 ▼ -0.2768 78.3877.29▼ -1.09 -0.9052 -0.8548 0.0661
Milwaukee Bucks -0.3616 -0.6709 ▼ -0.3093 83.0780.46▼ -2.61 -0.4791 -0.4082 0.0133
Memphis Grizzlies -0.7117 -1.0432 ▼ -0.3315 81.7876.68▼ -5.10 -0.8101 -0.6784 0.0365

Edge Scanner Output

Ticker Type Line Side De-Vig Model Prob Kalshi Price Raw Edge Net Edge Exec? Tail Pinnacle Steam Time
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC122 teamTotal 122 no implied 99.2% 78.0% 21.21% 19.68% no low 106.08706599296711 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC119 teamTotal 119 no implied 97.5% 70.0% 27.48% 25.44% no low 106.08706599296711 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC116 teamTotal 116 no implied 93.3% 57.0% 36.35% 33.54% no low 106.08706599296711 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC113 teamTotal 113 no implied 85.3% 48.0% 37.26% 34.16% no low 106.08706599296711 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC110 teamTotal 110 no implied 72.3% 37.0% 35.34% 32.15% no medium 106.08706599296711 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC107 teamTotal 107 no implied 55.5% 27.0% 28.50% 25.67% no high 106.08706599296711 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC104 teamTotal 104 no implied 37.6% 19.0% 18.59% 16.46% YES high 106.08706599296711 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC101 teamTotal 101 no implied 22.0% 12.0% 10.03% 8.68% YES medium 106.08706599296711 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-LAL98 teamTotal 98 no implied 54.1% 42.0% 12.08% 9.89% YES high 96.94577685978626 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-LAL95 teamTotal 95 no implied 42.5% 31.0% 11.50% 9.45% YES high 96.94577685978626 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-LAL92 teamTotal 92 no implied 31.5% 22.0% 9.54% 7.81% YES medium 96.94577685978626 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-LAL89 teamTotal 89 yes implied 22.0% 13.0% 9.00% 7.66% no low 96.94577685978626 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-LAL113 teamTotal 113 no implied 94.1% 87.0% 7.07% 6.21% no low 96.94577685978626 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-LAL110 teamTotal 110 no implied 89.8% 81.0% 8.77% 7.58% no low 96.94577685978626 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-LAL107 teamTotal 107 no implied 83.6% 74.0% 9.58% 8.06% no low 96.94577685978626 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-LAL104 teamTotal 104 no implied 75.3% 65.0% 10.35% 8.51% no low 96.94577685978626 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-LAL101 teamTotal 101 no implied 65.3% 51.0% 14.32% 12.08% YES medium 96.94577685978626 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY09DETCLE-DET113 teamTotal 113 no implied 93.3% 83.0% 10.31% 9.20% no low 100.54598682189065 -- 16:29:07
KXNBAGAME-26MAY11DETCLE-DET ml 0 no shin 36.8% 15.0% 21.82% 19.62% YES high 0.3682 -- 16:29:07
KXNBAGAME-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE ml 0 yes shin 36.8% 14.0% 22.82% 20.60% YES high 0.6318 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC125 teamTotal 125 no implied 99.8% 86.0% 13.79% 12.81% no low 106.08706599296711 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-DET97 teamTotal 97 no implied 66.5% 68.0% -1.48% -2.97% no medium 100.54598682189065 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-DET94 teamTotal 94 no implied 21.5% 24.0% -2.46% -3.61% no low 100.54598682189065 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-DET115 teamTotal 115 no implied 95.9% 95.0% 0.90% 0.57% no low 100.54598682189065 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-DET112 teamTotal 112 no implied 91.6% 95.0% -3.40% -3.72% no low 100.54598682189065 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-DET109 teamTotal 109 no implied 84.5% 89.0% -4.45% -5.10% no low 100.54598682189065 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-DET106 teamTotal 106 no implied 25.6% 23.0% 2.58% 1.20% no medium 100.54598682189065 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-DET103 teamTotal 103 no implied 38.4% 34.0% 4.39% 2.61% no high 100.54598682189065 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-DET100 teamTotal 100 no implied 52.6% 47.0% 5.62% 3.67% no high 100.54598682189065 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE97 teamTotal 97 yes implied 85.5% 89.0% -3.54% -4.20% no low 105.40328087125735 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE94 teamTotal 94 yes implied 92.4% 91.0% 1.41% 0.83% no low 105.40328087125735 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE118 teamTotal 118 no implied 94.3% 86.0% 8.33% 7.41% no low 105.40328087125735 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE115 teamTotal 115 no implied 88.6% 75.0% 13.62% 12.07% no low 105.40328087125735 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE112 teamTotal 112 no implied 79.7% 58.0% 21.65% 19.31% YES medium 105.40328087125735 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE109 teamTotal 109 no implied 67.4% 42.0% 25.44% 22.70% YES high 105.40328087125735 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE106 teamTotal 106 no implied 53.0% 30.0% 22.99% 20.39% YES high 105.40328087125735 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE103 teamTotal 103 no implied 38.1% 23.0% 15.13% 13.07% YES high 105.40328087125735 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE100 teamTotal 100 yes implied 24.9% 18.0% 6.85% 5.42% YES medium 105.40328087125735 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-DET91 teamTotal 91 no implied 12.5% 9.0% 3.53% 2.73% no low 100.54598682189065 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-CLE105 teamTotal 105 yes implied 60.1% 55.0% 5.05% 3.16% no high 102.97463384657401 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-DET99 teamTotal 99 yes implied 81.3% 84.0% -2.74% -3.65% no low 106.37473968113069 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-DET96 teamTotal 96 yes implied 89.4% 92.0% -2.59% -3.09% no low 106.37473968113069 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-DET120 teamTotal 120 no implied 95.0% 100.0% -5.05% -5.05% no low 106.37473968113069 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-DET117 teamTotal 117 no implied 90.0% 87.0% 2.95% 2.13% no low 106.37473968113069 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-DET114 teamTotal 114 no implied 82.1% 78.0% 4.06% 2.80% no low 106.37473968113069 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-DET111 teamTotal 111 no implied 71.1% 66.0% 5.11% 3.42% no medium 106.37473968113069 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-DET108 teamTotal 108 no implied 57.8% 52.0% 5.75% 3.81% no high 106.37473968113069 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-DET105 teamTotal 105 no implied 56.6% 59.0% -2.43% -4.05% no high 106.37473968113069 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-DET102 teamTotal 102 no implied 70.1% 75.0% -4.93% -6.15% no medium 106.37473968113069 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-CLE99 teamTotal 99 yes implied 30.9% 34.0% -3.13% -4.56% no medium 102.97463384657401 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-CLE96 teamTotal 96 yes implied 81.0% 80.0% 0.97% -0.16% no low 102.97463384657401 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-CLE93 teamTotal 93 yes implied 89.5% 92.0% -2.49% -3.00% no low 102.97463384657401 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-CLE117 teamTotal 117 no implied 96.1% 100.0% -3.89% -3.89% no low 102.97463384657401 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-CLE114 teamTotal 114 no implied 91.7% 85.0% 6.71% 5.75% no low 102.97463384657401 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-CLE111 teamTotal 111 no implied 84.4% 75.0% 9.35% 7.87% no low 102.97463384657401 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-CLE108 teamTotal 108 no implied 73.6% 69.0% 4.62% 3.02% no medium 102.97463384657401 -- 16:29:07
KXNBATEAMTOTAL-26MAY13CLEDET-CLE102 teamTotal 102 no implied 45.1% 42.0% 3.12% 1.29% no high 102.97463384657401 -- 16:29:07
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC8 spread 7.5 no shin 88.7% 37.0% 51.69% 47.77% no low -9.5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC5 spread 4.5 no shin 84.0% 27.0% 57.03% 52.74% no low -9.5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC14 spread 13.5 yes shin 94.9% 57.0% 37.93% 35.08% no low -9.5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC11 spread 10.5 no shin 92.3% 46.0% 46.28% 42.79% no low -9.5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-DET1 spread 0.5 no shin 34.0% 10.0% 24.01% 21.87% no low 5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE9 spread 8.5 yes shin 59.1% 40.0% 19.12% 16.64% no low -5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE8 spread 7.5 yes shin 56.3% 37.0% 19.32% 16.84% no low -5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE7 spread 6.5 yes shin 53.5% 33.0% 20.50% 17.99% YES medium -5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE6 spread 5.5 yes shin 50.6% 27.0% 23.65% 21.06% YES high -5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE5 spread 4.5 yes shin 47.8% 24.0% 23.80% 21.26% YES high -5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE4 spread 3.5 yes shin 45.0% 22.0% 22.97% 20.51% YES medium -5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE3 spread 2.5 yes shin 42.1% 19.0% 23.15% 20.76% no low -5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE2 spread 1.5 yes shin 39.4% 13.0% 26.38% 23.98% no low -5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE10 spread 9.5 yes shin 61.9% 46.0% 15.87% 13.53% no low -5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE1 spread 0.5 yes shin 36.7% 14.0% 22.66% 20.45% no low -5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-226 total 226 no shin 16.0% 8.0% 7.97% 6.94% no low 212 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-223 total 223 no shin 21.7% 12.0% 9.73% 8.39% no low 212 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-220 total 220 no shin 28.5% 19.0% 9.53% 7.91% no low 212 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-217 total 217 no shin 36.2% 25.0% 11.21% 9.31% no low 212 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-214 total 214 yes shin 44.5% 37.0% 7.49% 5.53% YES medium 212 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-211 total 211 yes shin 53.0% 48.0% 5.02% 3.09% no high 212 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-208 total 208 yes shin 61.4% 58.0% 3.41% 1.60% no low 212 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-205 total 205 yes shin 69.3% 69.0% 0.30% -1.21% no low 212 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-202 total 202 yes shin 23.6% 22.0% 1.62% 0.33% no low 212 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-199 total 199 yes shin 17.5% 15.0% 2.54% 1.50% no low 212 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11DETCLE-196 total 196 yes shin 12.6% 9.0% 3.57% 2.77% no low 212 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC13 spread 12.5 no shin 94.2% 53.0% 41.15% 38.05% no low -9.5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-225 total 225 no shin 84.7% 73.0% 11.65% 10.05% no low 211 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-222 total 222 no shin 79.0% 68.0% 11.02% 9.25% no low 211 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-219 total 219 no shin 72.3% 61.0% 11.34% 9.36% no low 211 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-216 total 216 no shin 64.8% 56.0% 8.75% 6.76% no low 211 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-213 total 213 no shin 56.5% 47.0% 9.53% 7.43% YES medium 211 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-210 total 210 yes shin 48.0% 40.0% 8.01% 5.99% YES high 211 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-207 total 207 yes shin 39.6% 33.0% 6.58% 4.72% no low 211 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-204 total 204 yes shin 31.6% 26.0% 5.61% 3.98% no low 211 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-201 total 201 yes shin 24.4% 20.0% 4.42% 3.05% no low 211 -- 14:20:57
KXNBATOTAL-26MAY11OKCLAL-198 total 198 yes shin 18.2% 15.0% 3.22% 2.13% no low 211 -- 14:20:57
KXNBAGAME-26MAY11OKCLAL-OKC ml 0 yes shin 21.3% 18.0% 3.31% 2.09% no high 0.7869 -- 14:20:57
KXNBAGAME-26MAY11OKCLAL-LAL ml 0 no shin 21.3% 18.0% 3.31% 2.09% no high 0.2131 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-CLE18 spread 17.5 yes shin 80.9% 78.0% 2.88% 1.63% no low -5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-DET8 spread 7.5 yes shin 81.9% 77.0% 4.92% 3.60% no low 5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-DET5 spread 4.5 no shin 24.3% 6.0% 18.26% 16.66% no high 5 -- 14:20:57
KXNBASPREAD-26MAY11DETCLE-DET2 spread 1.5 no shin 31.4% 10.0% 21.43% 19.45% no low 5 -- 14:20:57